|HDTFA: Historical Data Test Forecast Accuracy
Historical Data Test Forecast Accuracy (HDTFA)
represents the average accuracy of the forecasting
methods when tested against historical data.
For example, a HDTFA of .5% for an interest rate
forecast suggests that interest rates will be, on average,
within .5% of the forecast. So, an interest rate forecast of
10% with a HDTFA of .5% suggests that rates will, on
average, be between 9.5% and 10.5% during the target
month. (10% - .5% = 9.5%; 10% + .5% = 10.5%)
|Forecasts, charts and analysis...