Madera, CA - House Price Index (HPI) - 24 Year Chart
Madera Real Estate Market Forecast
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The House Price Index (HPI) shows changes in Madera, CA single family home prices in logarithmic
scale. The March, 1995 index value equals 100.  Updated Friday, December 28, 2012. See real estate
forecasts, analysis, statistics and appreciation rates below.
Madera Real Estate Index: 24 Year Chart
Home Values Appreciation Rate - US Cities
10
Madera Real Estate Market: Trend, Analysis & Statistics
1/75      1/1980        1/1985        1/1990        1/1995         1/2000        1/2005        1/2010         1/15
Commentary  13320
4th Quarter, 2012 Housing Statistics: Madera, California


Part 1: HOUSING MARKET FORECAST

12 Month Forecast:        UP
Forecast Accuracy:      73%

Forecast-Chart.com publishes forecasts for the trend in home prices in 380
Metropolitan Statistical Areas. The House Price Trend will be either UP or
DOWN. The forecast for the trend in the Madera housing market for the 12
months ending with the 4th Quarter of 2013 is UP. The Accuracy of the Trend
Forecast for Madera is 73%. In other words, when tested against historical data,
the forecasting methodology was correct 73% of the time. Accordingly,
Forecast-Chart.com estimates that the probability for rising house prices in
Madera is 73% during this period. If this Housing Market Forecast is correct,
home prices will be higher in the 4th Quarter of 2013 than they were in the 4th
Quarter of 2012. Check this page each quarter for updates to the Madera Real
Estate Market Forecast.


3 Year Forecast:            UP
Forecast Accuracy:      77%

The forecast for the trend in the Madera housing market for the 3 years ending
with the 4th Quarter of 2015 is UP. The Accuracy of the Trend Forecast for
Madera is 77%. In other words, when tested against historical data, the
forecasting methodology was correct 77% of the time. Accordingly,
Forecast-Chart.com estimates that the probability for rising house prices in
Madera is 77% during this period. If this Housing Market Forecast is correct,
home values will be higher in the 4th Quarter of 2015 than they were in the 4th
Quarter of 2012. Check this page each quarter for updates to the Madera Real
Estate Market Forecast.




Part 2: MARKET SUMMARY
4th Quarter, 2012 Housing Data: Madera, California


Historical Home Price Appreciation
Last Quarter                         2.56%
Last Year                              3.1%
Last 5 Years                         -45%
Last 10 Years                       -1%
Last 20 Years                       36%
Decline From All Time High   51.13%


Annual Home Price Appreciation Rates
1983        n/a
1984        n/a
1985      3.48%
1986      1.81%
1987      -0.05%
1988      9.19%
1989      11.67%
1990      11.62%
1991      7.61%
1992      3.39%
1993      0.65%
1994      -3.44%
1995      4.80%
1996      -3.96%
1997      2.78%
1998      2.83%
1999      0.36%
2000      4.48%
2001      10.30%
2002      15.41%
2003      20.54%
2004      26.83%
2005      24.96%
2006      5.52%
2007      -10.46%
2008      -27.67%
2009      -14.76%
2010      -6.13%
2011      -8.24%
2012      3.10%


Real Estate Appreciation, Rank & Percentile
Last Quarter                              2.56%         Rank: 30 of 381 (92nd Percentile)
Last Year  . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .  3.1%           Rank: 40 of 381 (89th Percentile)
Last 5 Years                              -45%           Rank: 377 of 381 (1st Percentile)
Last 10 Years  . . . . . . . . . . . .   -1%            Rank: 332 of 381 (12th Percentile)
Last 20 Years                            36%            Rank: 352 of 368 (4th Percentile)
Decline From All Time High        51.13%

Home Price appreciation rates for Madera, CA are shown above for five time
periods. For example: Madera appreciated 2.56% in the Last Quarter. At that
rate, the Madera Real Estate Market was ranked 30th out of 381 metropolitan
areas for Real Estate Appreciation. Madera was in the 92nd percentile. So
Madera, CA performed better in the Last Quarter than 92% of the 381
metropolitan areas covered in Forecast-Chart.com.

























Part 3: MARKET HIGHLIGHTS
4th Quarter, 2012 Housing Statistics: Madera, California

The all time high in the Madera Home Price Index was 277.7 in the 3rd Quarter,
of 2006. The 4th Quarter, 2012 index value was 135.7. That's a decline of
141.98 points or 51.13% below the Madera Home Price Index all time high.  The
Home Price Index indicates that the Madera Market is down 1% over the last 10
years. Home prices in the Madera Real Estate Market have gained 3.10% over
the last 12 months.

The 4th Quarter index value was 3.39 points higher than the 3rd Quarter, 2012
index value of 132.31, resulting in a 2.56% rise in the 4th Quarter for the
Madera Market.

The Madera Home Price Index has increased for the last 2 consecutive
quarters. The current record holder for consecutive increases in the Home
Price Index is Bismarck, ND, with increases in the last 11 consecutive quarters.
The current record holder for consecutive declines in the Home Price Index is
Tallahassee, FL, with declines in the last 5 consecutive quarters.

The highest annual home appreciation rate in the Madera Real Estate Market
was 28% in the twelve months ended with the 3rd Quarter of 2005. The worst
annual home appreciation rate in the Madera Market was -28% in the twelve
months ended with the 3rd Quarter of 2008.

The highest home appreciation in the Madera Real Estate Market over a three
year period was 94% in the three years ended with the 1st Quarter of 2006.
The worst home appreciation over a three year period in the Madera Market
was -48% in the three years ended with the 2nd Quarter of 2010.

This page provides a long term graph of the Madera Home Price Index (above).
For information about California home values, look at the links under that chart.
One link opens a forecast for home appreciation rates in the state of California.
Another link opens the home price index chart for California. Just one glance at
Forecast-Chart.com's long term charts can provide tremendous insight into the
historical trends of residential property values. Bookmark this page! Then
Forecast-Chart.com's detailed research and statistics about Madera Home
Prices will be at your fingertips when you need them.

Historical data on the Madera Home Price Index is available back to the 1st
Quarter, of 1984. All calculations are based on the quarterly value of the House
Price Index for the Madera Market. The terms House Price Index and Home
Price Index, as used in this site, refer to the Federal Housing Finance Agency
(FHFA) House Price Index.

Significant time is required to research quarterly sales price and appraisal data
from mortgage transactions in the Madera Real Estate Market and hundreds of
other cities. As a result, Home Price data is not available for a number of
months after the end of each quarter.
































































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