Seattle, WA - House Price Index (HPI) - 33 Year Chart
Seattle Real Estate Market Forecast
100
1000
The House Price Index (HPI) shows changes in Seattle-Bellevue-Everett, WA single family home
prices in
logarithmic scale. The March, 1995 index value equals 100.  Updated Saturday, December
29, 2012. See real estate forecasts, analysis, statistics and appreciation rates below.
Seattle Real Estate Index: 33 Year Chart
Home Values Appreciation Rate - US Cities
10
Seattle Real Estate Market: Trend, Analysis & Statistics
1/75      1/1980        1/1985        1/1990        1/1995         1/2000        1/2005        1/2010         1/15
Commentary  13425
4th Quarter, 2012 Housing Statistics: Seattle, Washington


Part 1: HOUSING MARKET FORECAST

12 Month Forecast:        UP
Forecast Accuracy:      91%

Forecast-Chart.com publishes forecasts for the trend in home prices in 380
Metropolitan Statistical Areas. The House Price Trend will be either UP or
DOWN. The forecast for the trend in the Seattle housing market for the 12
months ending with the 4th Quarter of 2013 is UP. The Accuracy of the Trend
Forecast for Seattle is 91%. In other words, when tested against historical data,
the forecasting methodology was correct 91% of the time. Accordingly,
Forecast-Chart.com estimates that the probability for rising house prices in
Seattle is 91% during this period. If this Housing Market Forecast is correct,
home prices will be higher in the 4th Quarter of 2013 than they were in the 4th
Quarter of 2012. Check this page each quarter for updates to the Seattle Real
Estate Market Forecast.


3 Year Forecast:            UP
Forecast Accuracy:      91%

The forecast for the trend in the Seattle housing market for the 3 years ending
with the 4th Quarter of 2015 is UP. The Accuracy of the Trend Forecast for
Seattle is 91%. In other words, when tested against historical data, the
forecasting methodology was correct 91% of the time. Accordingly,
Forecast-Chart.com estimates that the probability for rising house prices in
Seattle is 91% during this period. If this Housing Market Forecast is correct,
home values will be higher in the 4th Quarter of 2015 than they were in the 4th
Quarter of 2012. Check this page each quarter for updates to the Seattle Real
Estate Market Forecast.




Part 2: MARKET SUMMARY
4th Quarter, 2012 Housing Data: Seattle, Washington


Historical Home Price Appreciation
Last Quarter                         1.38%
Last Year                              2.0%
Last 5 Years                         -23%
Last 10 Years                       25%
Last 20 Years                       113%
Decline From All Time High   23.07%


Annual Home Price Appreciation Rates
1983      -0.20%
1984      4.05%
1985      2.50%
1986      3.88%
1987      5.06%
1988      8.13%
1989      23.44%
1990      19.03%
1991      2.13%
1992      1.83%
1993      2.04%
1994      1.72%
1995      3.82%
1996      2.92%
1997      8.38%
1998      9.22%
1999      8.50%
2000      7.62%
2001      5.90%
2002      4.74%
2003      5.56%
2004      10.62%
2005      17.37%
2006      13.73%
2007      4.47%
2008      -7.45%
2009      -10.40%
2010      -4.47%
2011      -4.81%
2012      2.02%


Real Estate Appreciation, Rank & Percentile
Last Quarter                              1.38%         Rank: 83 of 381 (78th Percentile)
Last Year  . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .  2.0%           Rank: 82 of 381 (78th Percentile)
Last 5 Years                              -23%           Rank: 302 of 381 (20th Percentile)
Last 10 Years  . . . . . . . . . . . .   25%            Rank: 124 of 381 (67th Percentile)
Last 20 Years                            113%          Rank: 50 of 368 (86th Percentile)
Decline From All Time High        23.07%

Home Price appreciation rates for Seattle-Bellevue-Everett, WA are shown
above for five time periods. For example: Seattle appreciated 1.38% in the Last
Quarter. At that rate, the Seattle Real Estate Market was ranked 83rd out of
381 metropolitan areas for Real Estate Appreciation. Seattle was in the 78th
percentile. So Seattle, WA performed better in the Last Quarter than 78% of the
381 metropolitan areas covered in Forecast-Chart.com.

























Part 3: MARKET HIGHLIGHTS
4th Quarter, 2012 Housing Statistics: Seattle, Washington

The data and analysis on this page pertains to Seattle-Bellevue-Everett, WA,
hereinafter referred to as "Seattle". The all time high in the Seattle Home Price
Index was 264.0 in the 4th Quarter, of 2007. The 4th Quarter, 2012 index value
was 203.1. That's a decline of 60.91 points or 23.07% below the Seattle Home
Price Index all time high.  The Home Price Index indicates that the Seattle
Market is up 25% over the last 10 years. Home prices in the Seattle Real Estate
Market have gained 2.02% over the last 12 months. Over the last thirty years, it
is up 309%.

The 4th Quarter index value was 2.76 points higher than the 3rd Quarter, 2012
index value of 200.35, resulting in a 1.38% rise in the 4th Quarter for the
Seattle Market.

The Seattle Home Price Index has increased for the last 2 consecutive quarters.
The current record holder for consecutive increases in the Home Price Index is
Bismarck, ND, with increases in the last 11 consecutive quarters. The current
record holder for consecutive declines in the Home Price Index is Tallahassee,
FL, with declines in the last 5 consecutive quarters.

The highest annual home appreciation rate in the Seattle Real Estate Market
was 33% in the twelve months ended with the 2nd Quarter of 1978. The worst
annual home appreciation rate in the Seattle Market was -11% in the twelve
months ended with the 1st Quarter of 2010.

The highest home appreciation in the Seattle Real Estate Market over a three
year period was 95% in the three years ended with the 4th Quarter of 1978.
The worst home appreciation over a three year period in the Seattle Market was
-23% in the three years ended with the 1st Quarter of 2011.

This page provides a long term graph of the Seattle Home Price Index (above).
For information about Washington home values, look at the links under that
chart. One link opens a forecast for home appreciation rates in the state of
Washington. Another link opens the home price index chart for Washington.
Just one glance at Forecast-Chart.com's long term charts can provide
tremendous insight into the historical trends of residential property values.
Bookmark this page! Then Forecast-Chart.com's detailed research and
statistics about Seattle Home Prices will be at your fingertips when you need
them.

Historical data on the Seattle Home Price Index is available back to the 4th
Quarter, of 1975. All calculations are based on the quarterly value of the House
Price Index for the Seattle Market. The terms House Price Index and Home Price
Index, as used in this site, refer to the Federal Housing Finance Agency (FHFA)
House Price Index.

Significant time is required to research quarterly sales price and appraisal data
from mortgage transactions in the Seattle Real Estate Market and hundreds of
other cities. As a result, Home Price data is not available for a number of
months after the end of each quarter.



Part 4: APPRECIATION RATES & RANKINGS
4th Quarter, 2012 Housing Data: Seattle, Washington

The appreciation of Seattle Home Prices relative to 380 other metropolitan
areas is detailed below. Each metropolitan area contains one or more cities.
Five different time periods are reviewed.  Each paragraph identifies the top and
bottom performing markets as well as the average and median performance for
all cities during each time period. The data and analysis on this page pertains
to Seattle-Bellevue-Everett, WA, hereinafter referred to as "Seattle".

Last Quarter:
During the 4th Quarter of 2012, Seattle Home Prices had a rank of 83, with
appreciation of 1.38%. The top performing real estate market during the 4th
Quarter was Bismarck, ND, with appreciation of 4.55%. The worst market during
that period was Hattiesburg, MS, with appreciation of -4.02%.
The median appreciation for all cities during the 4th Quarter was 0.47%. The
average appreciation for all markets during the quarter was 0.54%.

Last Year:
During the last 12 months, Seattle Home Prices had a rank of 82, with
appreciation during the year of 2.02%. The top performing market during the
last year was Bismarck, ND, with appreciation of 13.4%. The worst real estate
market during that period was Gainesville, FL, with appreciation of -6.8%.
The median appreciation for all markets during this period was 0.27%. The
average appreciation was 0.31%.

Last 5 Years:
Over the 5 years ended with the 4th Quarter of 2012, Seattle Home Prices
ranked 302, with a total appreciation of -23.1%. The top performing real estate
market during the 5 year period was Bismarck, ND, with appreciation of 24%.
The worst market during that period was Las Vegas, NV, with appreciation of
-54%.
The median appreciation for all cities during this time period was -9%. The
average appreciation over the 5 years was -12%.

Last 10 Years:
During the 10 years ended in the 4th Quarter of 2012, Seattle Home Prices had
a rank of 124, with appreciation during the decade of 25%. The top performing
market during the period was Midland, TX, with appreciation of 104%. The worst
real estate market during the 10 year time period was Detroit, MI, with
appreciation of -31%.
The median appreciation for all markets during the last 10 years was 18%. The
average appreciation for the cities over that time frame was 18%.

Last 20 Years:
During the 20 years ended in the 4th Quarter of 2012, Seattle Home Prices had
a rank of 50, with total appreciation over the 20 year period of 113%. The top
performing real estate market during the period was Casper, WY, with
appreciation of 210%. The worst market during the last 20 years was Las
Vegas, NV, with appreciation of 7%.
The median appreciation for all cities during the last 20 years was 78%. The
average appreciation for the markets over that time frame was 80%.

Historical research data on the Home Price Index for the Seattle Real Estate
Market is available back to the 4th Quarter, of 1975. All calculations are based
on the quarterly value of the House Price Index for Seattle. Real estate
appreciation figures represent total appreciation over each time period. (Unless
specifically stated, the appreciation figures do not represent annual or quarterly
rates of appreciation.)





























































_____________________________________________________________
Report a Problem with this Page    Contact Us     Privacy Policy    Terms of Use/Disclosure      
                                      
SignalTrend Inc.  2008 - 2012, All Rights Reserved
Forecasts, charts and analysis...