Sebastian, FL - House Price Index (HPI) - 22 Year Chart
Sebastian Real Estate Market Forecast
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The House Price Index (HPI) shows changes in Sebastian-Vero Beach, FL single family home prices
in
logarithmic scale. The March, 1995 index value equals 100.  Updated Saturday, December 29,
2012. See real estate forecasts, analysis, statistics and appreciation rates below.
Sebastian Real Estate Index: 22 Year Chart
Home Values Appreciation Rate - US Cities
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Sebastian Real Estate Market: Trend, Analysis & Statistics
1/75      1/1980        1/1985        1/1990        1/1995         1/2000        1/2005        1/2010         1/15
Commentary  13426
4th Quarter, 2012 Housing Statistics: Sebastian, Florida


Part 1: HOUSING MARKET FORECAST

12 Month Forecast:        UP
Forecast Accuracy:      70%

Forecast-Chart.com publishes forecasts for the trend in home prices in 380
Metropolitan Statistical Areas. The House Price Trend will be either UP or
DOWN. The forecast for the trend in the Sebastian housing market for the 12
months ending with the 4th Quarter of 2013 is UP. The Accuracy of the Trend
Forecast for Sebastian is 70%. In other words, when tested against historical
data, the forecasting methodology was correct 70% of the time. Accordingly,
Forecast-Chart.com estimates that the probability for rising house prices in
Sebastian is 70% during this period. If this Housing Market Forecast is correct,
home prices will be higher in the 4th Quarter of 2013 than they were in the 4th
Quarter of 2012. Check this page each quarter for updates to the Sebastian
Real Estate Market Forecast.


3 Year Forecast:            UP
Forecast Accuracy:      77%

The forecast for the trend in the Sebastian housing market for the 3 years
ending with the 4th Quarter of 2015 is UP. The Accuracy of the Trend Forecast
for Sebastian is 77%. In other words, when tested against historical data, the
forecasting methodology was correct 77% of the time. Accordingly,
Forecast-Chart.com estimates that the probability for rising house prices in
Sebastian is 77% during this period. If this Housing Market Forecast is correct,
home values will be higher in the 4th Quarter of 2015 than they were in the 4th
Quarter of 2012. Check this page each quarter for updates to the Sebastian
Real Estate Market Forecast.




Part 2: MARKET SUMMARY
4th Quarter, 2012 Housing Data: Sebastian, Florida


Historical Home Price Appreciation
Last Quarter                         3.54%
Last Year                              2.9%
Last 5 Years                         -37%
Last 10 Years                       0%
Last 20 Years                       49%
Decline From All Time High   46.83%


Annual Home Price Appreciation Rates
1983        n/a
1984        n/a
1985      4.28%
1986      2.39%
1987      1.72%
1988      0.46%
1989      10.39%
1990      -3.70%
1991      6.70%
1992      2.61%
1993      1.27%
1994      -1.13%
1995      2.75%
1996      -0.34%
1997      7.87%
1998      1.40%
1999      0.91%
2000      10.24%
2001      10.50%
2002      8.00%
2003      13.75%
2004      24.10%
2005      29.29%
2006      -0.61%
2007      -12.88%
2008      -22.23%
2009      -11.28%
2010      -4.49%
2011      -6.89%
2012      2.93%


Real Estate Appreciation, Rank & Percentile
Last Quarter                              3.54%         Rank: 8 of 381 (98th Percentile)
Last Year  . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .  2.9%           Rank: 46 of 381 (88th Percentile)
Last 5 Years                              -37%           Rank: 350 of 381 (8th Percentile)
Last 10 Years  . . . . . . . . . . . .   0%            Rank: 328 of 381 (13th Percentile)
Last 20 Years                            49%            Rank: 318 of 368 (13th Percentile)
Decline From All Time High        46.83%

Home Price appreciation rates for Sebastian-Vero Beach, FL are shown above
for five time periods. For example: Sebastian appreciated 3.54% in the Last
Quarter. At that rate, the Sebastian Real Estate Market was ranked 8th out of
381 metropolitan areas for Real Estate Appreciation. Sebastian was in the 98th
percentile. So Sebastian, FL performed better in the Last Quarter than 98% of
the 381 metropolitan areas covered in Forecast-Chart.com.

























Part 3: MARKET HIGHLIGHTS
4th Quarter, 2012 Housing Statistics: Sebastian, Florida

The data and analysis on this page pertains to Sebastian-Vero Beach, FL,
hereinafter referred to as "Sebastian". The all time high in the Sebastian Home
Price Index was 278.6 in the 1st Quarter, of 2006. The 4th Quarter, 2012 index
value was 148.1. That's a decline of 130.47 points or 46.83% below the
Sebastian Home Price Index all time high.  The Home Price Index indicates that
the Sebastian Market is down 0% over the last 10 years. Home prices in the
Sebastian Real Estate Market have gained 2.93% over the last 12 months.

The 4th Quarter index value was 5.06 points higher than the 3rd Quarter, 2012
index value of 143.05, resulting in a 3.54% rise in the 4th Quarter for the
Sebastian Market.

The Sebastian Home Price Index has increased for the last 2 consecutive
quarters. The current record holder for consecutive increases in the Home
Price Index is Bismarck, ND, with increases in the last 11 consecutive quarters.
The current record holder for consecutive declines in the Home Price Index is
Tallahassee, FL, with declines in the last 5 consecutive quarters.

The highest annual home appreciation rate in the Sebastian Real Estate Market
was 29% in the twelve months ended with the 4th Quarter of 2005. The worst
annual home appreciation rate in the Sebastian Market was -22% in the twelve
months ended with the 4th Quarter of 2008.

The highest home appreciation in the Sebastian Real Estate Market over a
three year period was 84% in the three years ended with the 1st Quarter of
2006. The worst home appreciation over a three year period in the Sebastian
Market was -40% in the three years ended with the 4th Quarter of 2009.

This page provides a long term graph of the Sebastian Home Price Index
(above). For information about Florida home values, look at the links under that
chart. One link opens a forecast for home appreciation rates in the state of
Florida. Another link opens the home price index chart for Florida. Just one
glance at Forecast-Chart.com's long term charts can provide tremendous
insight into the historical trends of residential property values. Bookmark this
page! Then Forecast-Chart.com's detailed research and statistics about
Sebastian Home Prices will be at your fingertips when you need them.

Historical data on the Sebastian Home Price Index is available back to the 3rd
Quarter, of 1986. All calculations are based on the quarterly value of the House
Price Index for the Sebastian Market. The terms House Price Index and Home
Price Index, as used in this site, refer to the Federal Housing Finance Agency
(FHFA) House Price Index.

Significant time is required to research quarterly sales price and appraisal data
from mortgage transactions in the Sebastian Real Estate Market and hundreds
of other cities. As a result, Home Price data is not available for a number of
months after the end of each quarter.



Part 4: APPRECIATION RATES & RANKINGS
4th Quarter, 2012 Housing Data: Sebastian, Florida

The appreciation of Sebastian Home Prices relative to 380 other metropolitan
areas is detailed below. Each metropolitan area contains one or more cities.
Five different time periods are reviewed.  Each paragraph identifies the top and
bottom performing markets as well as the average and median performance for
all cities during each time period. The data and analysis on this page pertains
to Sebastian-Vero Beach, FL, hereinafter referred to as "Sebastian".

Last Quarter:
During the 4th Quarter of 2012, Sebastian Home Prices had a rank of 8, with
appreciation of 3.54%. The top performing real estate market during the 4th
Quarter was Bismarck, ND, with appreciation of 4.55%. The worst market during
that period was Hattiesburg, MS, with appreciation of -4.02%.
The median appreciation for all cities during the 4th Quarter was 0.47%. The
average appreciation for all markets during the quarter was 0.54%.

Last Year:
During the last 12 months, Sebastian Home Prices had a rank of 46, with
appreciation during the year of 2.93%. The top performing market during the
last year was Bismarck, ND, with appreciation of 13.4%. The worst real estate
market during that period was Gainesville, FL, with appreciation of -6.8%.
The median appreciation for all markets during this period was 0.27%. The
average appreciation was 0.31%.

Last 5 Years:
Over the 5 years ended with the 4th Quarter of 2012, Sebastian Home Prices
ranked 350, with a total appreciation of -36.8%. The top performing real estate
market during the 5 year period was Bismarck, ND, with appreciation of 24%.
The worst market during that period was Las Vegas, NV, with appreciation of
-54%.
The median appreciation for all cities during this time period was -9%. The
average appreciation over the 5 years was -12%.

Last 10 Years:
During the 10 years ended in the 4th Quarter of 2012, Sebastian Home Prices
had a rank of 328, with appreciation during the decade of 0%. The top
performing market during the period was Midland, TX, with appreciation of
104%. The worst real estate market during the 10 year time period was Detroit,
MI, with appreciation of -31%.
The median appreciation for all markets during the last 10 years was 18%. The
average appreciation for the cities over that time frame was 18%.

Last 20 Years:
During the 20 years ended in the 4th Quarter of 2012, Sebastian Home Prices
had a rank of 318, with total appreciation over the 20 year period of 49%. The
top performing real estate market during the period was Casper, WY, with
appreciation of 210%. The worst market during the last 20 years was Las
Vegas, NV, with appreciation of 7%.
The median appreciation for all cities during the last 20 years was 78%. The
average appreciation for the markets over that time frame was 80%.

Historical research data on the Home Price Index for the Sebastian Real Estate
Market is available back to the 3rd Quarter, of 1986. All calculations are based
on the quarterly value of the House Price Index for Sebastian. Real estate
appreciation figures represent total appreciation over each time period. (Unless
specifically stated, the appreciation figures do not represent annual or quarterly
rates of appreciation.)




























































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