Tampa, FL - House Price Index (HPI) - 31 Year Chart
Tampa Real Estate Market Forecast
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The House Price Index (HPI) shows changes in Tampa-St. Petersburg-Clearwater, FL single family
home prices in
logarithmic scale. The March, 1995 index value equals 100.  Updated Saturday,
December 29, 2012. See real estate forecasts, analysis, statistics and appreciation rates below.
Tampa Real Estate Index: 31 Year Chart
Home Values Appreciation Rate - US Cities
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Tampa Real Estate Market: Trend, Analysis & Statistics
1/75      1/1980        1/1985        1/1990        1/1995         1/2000        1/2005        1/2010         1/15
Commentary  13449
4th Quarter, 2012 Housing Statistics: Tampa, Florida


Part 1: HOUSING MARKET FORECAST

12 Month Forecast:        UP
Forecast Accuracy:      86%

Forecast-Chart.com publishes forecasts for the trend in home prices in 380
Metropolitan Statistical Areas. The House Price Trend will be either UP or
DOWN. The forecast for the trend in the Tampa housing market for the 12
months ending with the 4th Quarter of 2013 is UP. The Accuracy of the Trend
Forecast for Tampa is 86%. In other words, when tested against historical data,
the forecasting methodology was correct 86% of the time. Accordingly,
Forecast-Chart.com estimates that the probability for rising house prices in
Tampa is 86% during this period. If this Housing Market Forecast is correct,
home prices will be higher in the 4th Quarter of 2013 than they were in the 4th
Quarter of 2012. Check this page each quarter for updates to the Tampa Real
Estate Market Forecast.


3 Year Forecast:            UP
Forecast Accuracy:      88%

The forecast for the trend in the Tampa housing market for the 3 years ending
with the 4th Quarter of 2015 is UP. The Accuracy of the Trend Forecast for
Tampa is 88%. In other words, when tested against historical data, the
forecasting methodology was correct 88% of the time. Accordingly,
Forecast-Chart.com estimates that the probability for rising house prices in
Tampa is 88% during this period. If this Housing Market Forecast is correct,
home values will be higher in the 4th Quarter of 2015 than they were in the 4th
Quarter of 2012. Check this page each quarter for updates to the Tampa Real
Estate Market Forecast.




Part 2: MARKET SUMMARY
4th Quarter, 2012 Housing Data: Tampa, Florida


Historical Home Price Appreciation
Last Quarter                         0.70%
Last Year                              0.6%
Last 5 Years                         -36%
Last 10 Years                       6%
Last 20 Years                       75%
Decline From All Time High   40.49%


Annual Home Price Appreciation Rates
1983      6.03%
1984      -2.55%
1985      10.02%
1986      3.90%
1987      2.74%
1988      1.99%
1989      3.40%
1990      -0.76%
1991      3.13%
1992      1.54%
1993      2.66%
1994      -1.37%
1995      4.55%
1996      2.03%
1997      4.57%
1998      5.30%
1999      6.08%
2000      8.92%
2001      10.33%
2002      9.13%
2003      10.37%
2004      17.55%
2005      25.80%
2006      9.08%
2007      -7.17%
2008      -20.16%
2009      -10.47%
2010      -6.34%
2011      -4.79%
2012      0.57%


Real Estate Appreciation, Rank & Percentile
Last Quarter                              0.70%         Rank: 159 of 381 (58th Percentile)
Last Year  . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .  0.6%           Rank: 170 of 381 (55th Percentile)
Last 5 Years                              -36%           Rank: 347 of 381 (8th Percentile)
Last 10 Years  . . . . . . . . . . . .   6%              Rank: 300 of 381 (21st Percentile)
Last 20 Years                            75%            Rank: 200 of 368 (45th Percentile)
Decline From All Time High        40.49%

Home Price appreciation rates for Tampa-St. Petersburg-Clearwater, FL are
shown above for five time periods. For example: Tampa appreciated 0.70% in
the Last Quarter. At that rate, the Tampa Real Estate Market was ranked 159th
out of 381 metropolitan areas for Real Estate Appreciation. Tampa was in the
58th percentile. So Tampa, FL performed better in the Last Quarter than 58%
of the 381 metropolitan areas covered in Forecast-Chart.com.

























Part 3: MARKET HIGHLIGHTS
4th Quarter, 2012 Housing Statistics: Tampa, Florida

The data and analysis on this page pertains to Tampa-St.
Petersburg-Clearwater, FL, hereinafter referred to as "Tampa". The all time
high in the Tampa Home Price Index was 289.8 in the 4th Quarter, of 2006. The
4th Quarter, 2012 index value was 172.4. That's a decline of 117.32 points or
40.49% below the Tampa Home Price Index all time high.  The Home Price Index
indicates that the Tampa Market is up 6% over the last 10 years. Home prices
in the Tampa Real Estate Market have gained 0.57% over the last 12 months.
Over the last thirty years, it is up 133%.

The 4th Quarter index value was 1.20 points higher than the 3rd Quarter, 2012
index value of 171.23, resulting in a 0.70% rise in the 4th Quarter for the
Tampa Market.

The Tampa Home Price Index has increased for the last 2 consecutive quarters.
The current record holder for consecutive increases in the Home Price Index is
Bismarck, ND, with increases in the last 11 consecutive quarters. The current
record holder for consecutive declines in the Home Price Index is Tallahassee,
FL, with declines in the last 5 consecutive quarters.

The highest annual home appreciation rate in the Tampa Real Estate Market
was 26% in the twelve months ended with the 4th Quarter of 2005. The worst
annual home appreciation rate in the Tampa Market was -20% in the twelve
months ended with the 4th Quarter of 2008.

The highest home appreciation in the Tampa Real Estate Market over a three
year period was 69% in the three years ended with the 2nd Quarter of 2006.
The worst home appreciation over a three year period in the Tampa Market was
-36% in the three years ended with the 2nd Quarter of 2010.

This page provides a long term graph of the Tampa Home Price Index (above).
For information about Florida home values, look at the links under that chart.
One link opens a forecast for home appreciation rates in the state of Florida.
Another link opens the home price index chart for Florida. Just one glance at
Forecast-Chart.com's long term charts can provide tremendous insight into the
historical trends of residential property values. Bookmark this page! Then
Forecast-Chart.com's detailed research and statistics about Tampa Home
Prices will be at your fingertips when you need them.

Historical data on the Tampa Home Price Index is available back to the 3rd
Quarter, of 1977. All calculations are based on the quarterly value of the House
Price Index for the Tampa Market. The terms House Price Index and Home Price
Index, as used in this site, refer to the Federal Housing Finance Agency (FHFA)
House Price Index.

Significant time is required to research quarterly sales price and appraisal data
from mortgage transactions in the Tampa Real Estate Market and hundreds of
other cities. As a result, Home Price data is not available for a number of
months after the end of each quarter.



Part 4: APPRECIATION RATES & RANKINGS
4th Quarter, 2012 Housing Data: Tampa, Florida

The appreciation of Tampa Home Prices relative to 380 other metropolitan
areas is detailed below. Each metropolitan area contains one or more cities.
Five different time periods are reviewed.  Each paragraph identifies the top and
bottom performing markets as well as the average and median performance for
all cities during each time period. The data and analysis on this page pertains
to Tampa-St. Petersburg-Clearwater, FL, hereinafter referred to as "Tampa".

Last Quarter:
During the 4th Quarter of 2012, Tampa Home Prices had a rank of 159, with
appreciation of 0.70%. The top performing real estate market during the 4th
Quarter was Bismarck, ND, with appreciation of 4.55%. The worst market during
that period was Hattiesburg, MS, with appreciation of -4.02%.
The median appreciation for all cities during the 4th Quarter was 0.47%. The
average appreciation for all markets during the quarter was 0.54%.

Last Year:
During the last 12 months, Tampa Home Prices had a rank of 170, with
appreciation during the year of 0.57%. The top performing market during the
last year was Bismarck, ND, with appreciation of 13.4%. The worst real estate
market during that period was Gainesville, FL, with appreciation of -6.8%.
The median appreciation for all markets during this period was 0.27%. The
average appreciation was 0.31%.

Last 5 Years:
Over the 5 years ended with the 4th Quarter of 2012, Tampa Home Prices
ranked 347, with a total appreciation of -35.9%. The top performing real estate
market during the 5 year period was Bismarck, ND, with appreciation of 24%.
The worst market during that period was Las Vegas, NV, with appreciation of
-54%.
The median appreciation for all cities during this time period was -9%. The
average appreciation over the 5 years was -12%.

Last 10 Years:
During the 10 years ended in the 4th Quarter of 2012, Tampa Home Prices had
a rank of 300, with appreciation during the decade of 6%. The top performing
market during the period was Midland, TX, with appreciation of 104%. The worst
real estate market during the 10 year time period was Detroit, MI, with
appreciation of -31%.
The median appreciation for all markets during the last 10 years was 18%. The
average appreciation for the cities over that time frame was 18%.

Last 20 Years:
During the 20 years ended in the 4th Quarter of 2012, Tampa Home Prices had
a rank of 200, with total appreciation over the 20 year period of 75%. The top
performing real estate market during the period was Casper, WY, with
appreciation of 210%. The worst market during the last 20 years was Las
Vegas, NV, with appreciation of 7%.
The median appreciation for all cities during the last 20 years was 78%. The
average appreciation for the markets over that time frame was 80%.

Historical research data on the Home Price Index for the Tampa Real Estate
Market is available back to the 3rd Quarter, of 1977. All calculations are based
on the quarterly value of the House Price Index for Tampa. Real estate
appreciation figures represent total appreciation over each time period. (Unless
specifically stated, the appreciation figures do not represent annual or quarterly
rates of appreciation.)




























































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