.
Commentary  6092 ec
February, 2018 Data:

FORECAST:           -2.1%
TARGET MONTH: March,2019
.                               0.8%

Forecast for US Education & Communication Inflation Rate for the year ending
in the target month indicated based on the Consumer Price Index for All Urban
Consumers: Education & Communication, not seasonally adjusted.

Forecast-Chart is forecasting that Education & Communication Inflation Rates
will be roughly -2.13% over the next year. The table shows a HDTFA of 0.84%
which suggests that the inflation rate for education & communication prices in
the US for the 12 months ending March, 2019 could easily fall between -1.28%
and -2.97%. Links to Forecasts for many other economic indicators may be
found at the top of this page. The education & communication price index used
in this article is the Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers: Education &
Communication, hereinafter referred as the education & communication price
index.

Annual US Education & Communication Inflation Rate
Last Month                                       -2.7%
Last Year . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . -1.8%
Last 5 Years                                     0.3%
Last 10 Years . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 1.3%
Last 20 Years                                   1.6%

Annual Education & Communication Inflation Rate: Highs & Lows
High (Last 12 Months)                      -1.7%   (November, 2017)
Low (Last 12 Months)                       -2.6%   (August, 2017)
High (Since January, 1994)            4.3%   (January, 1995)
Low (Since January, 1994)            -2.6%   (August, 2017)

The annual Education & Communication Inflation Rate for the 12 months ended
in February, 2018 was -1.78%. That's 0.05% percent lower than the 12 months
ended in January, 2018 which inflated at a rate of -1.73%. It is 1.46% percent
lower than the 12 months ended in February, 2017 which inflated at a rate of
-0.32%.  The sideways movement in inflation rates from January to February
indicates that the short term inflation trend in education & communication prices
has been flat. If that trend continues, we should see an inflation rate for the 12
months ended in March, 2018 that is close to -1.83%.

The USA Education & Communication Inflation Rate one year ago was -0.32%.
Over the last year, inflation in the education & communication price index was
-1.78%. The average rate over the last 10 years was 1.26%.  Lower inflation
over the last 12 months compared to the average inflation over the last 10
years serves as an indicator that the long term trend in the Education &
Communication Inflation Rate is down. Inflation expectations should be adjusted
accordingly.

Forecast-Chart's historical research covers Education & Communication
Inflation Rate data back to January, 1994. The average annual inflation rate in
education & communication prices during that period of history was 1.95%. The
highest rate was 4.34%. The lowest rate was -2.59%.  The high was attained in
the 12 months ended in January of 1995. The low was achieved in the 12
months ended in August of 2017. Recent rates experienced in the 12 months
ended in February of 2018 are low relative to the historical 1.95% average.

This page provides a five year chart and a forecast for the US Education &
Communication Inflation Rate. For links to longer term charts, look at the links
under the five year chart (above). One link opens a ten year chart. Another
opens our longest term graph on the Education & Communication Inflation
Rate. Just one glance at Forecast-Chart's long term charts can provide
tremendous insight into the historical trends of the financial markets.

The US Government's inflation economics policy attempts to control inflation.
High inflation and negative inflation (deflation) can have damaging effects on
the economy.




















Updated Monday, March 19, 2018.
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Annual US Inflation Rate for the cost of Education & Communication is plotted monthly in gray
(Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers: Education & Communication). The forecast for the
target month is shown in green. Other links related to this economic indicator are below.
Inflation: All Urban Consumers: Education & Communication - 5 Year History
US Education & Communication Inflation
1%
2%
3%
4%
-2%
-1%
0%
Current Analysis & Forecast: US Education & Communication Inflation
-4%
-3%
1/14
1/2015
1/2016
1/2017
1/2018
1/2019
1/2020
1/21