.
Commentary  6092 fb
February, 2018 Data:

FORECAST:           1.1%
TARGET MONTH: March,2019
.                               1.7%

Forecast for US Food and Beverages Inflation Rate for the year ending in the
target month indicated based on the Consumer Price Index for All Urban
Consumers: Food and Beverages, not seasonally adjusted.

Forecast-Chart is forecasting that Food and Beverages Inflation Rates will be
roughly 1.14% over the next year. The table shows a HDTFA of 1.66% which
suggests that the inflation rate for food & beverages prices in the US for the 12
months ending March, 2019 could easily fall between 2.79% and -0.52%. Links
to Forecasts for many other economic indicators may be found at the top of this
page. The food & beverages price index used in this article is the Consumer
Price Index for All Urban Consumers: Food & Beverages, hereinafter referred
as the food & beverages price index.

Annual US Food and Beverages Inflation Rate
Last Month                                       -0.2%
Last Year . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 1.4%
Last 5 Years                                     1.3%
Last 10 Years . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 2.0%
Last 20 Years                                   2.3%

Annual Food and Beverages Inflation Rate: Highs & Lows
High (Last 12 Months)                      1.6%   (January, 2018)
Low (Last 12 Months)                       0.5%   (March, 2017)
High (Since January, 1968)            18.7%   (February, 1974)
Low (Since January, 1968)            -0.5%   (November, 2009)

The annual Food and Beverages Inflation Rate for the 12 months ended in
February, 2018 was 1.40%. That's 0.23% percent lower than the 12 months
ended in January, 2018 which inflated at a rate of 1.63%. It is 1.35% percent
higher than the 12 months ended in February, 2017 which inflated at a rate of
0.05%.  The sideways movement in inflation rates from January to February
indicates that the short term inflation trend in food & beverages prices has been
flat. If that trend continues, we should see an inflation rate for the 12 months
ended in March, 2018 that is close to 1.17%.

The USA Food and Beverages Inflation Rate one year ago was 0.05%. Over
the last year, inflation in the food & beverages price index was 1.40%. The
average rate over the last 10 years was 2.04%.  Lower inflation over the last 12
months compared to the average inflation over the last 10 years serves as an
indicator that the long term trend in the Food and Beverages Inflation Rate is
down. Inflation expectations should be adjusted accordingly.

Forecast-Chart's historical research covers Food and Beverages Inflation Rate
data back to January, 1968. The average annual inflation rate in food &
beverages prices during that period of history was 4.05%. The highest rate was
18.68%. The lowest rate was -0.47%.  The high was attained in the 12 months
ended in February of 1974. The low was achieved in the 12 months ended in
November of 2009. Recent rates experienced in the 12 months ended in
February of 2018 are low relative to the historical 4.05% average.

This page provides a five year chart and a forecast for the US Food and
Beverages Inflation Rate. For links to longer term charts, look at the links under
the five year chart (above). One link opens a ten year chart. Another opens our
longest term graph on the Food and Beverages Inflation Rate. Just one glance
at Forecast-Chart's long term charts can provide tremendous insight into the
historical trends of the financial markets.

The US Government's inflation economics policy attempts to control inflation.
High inflation and negative inflation (deflation) can have damaging effects on
the economy.




















Updated Monday, March 19, 2018.
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Annual US Inflation Rate for the cost of Food and Beverages is plotted monthly in gray (Consumer
Price Index for All Urban Consumers: Food and Beverages). The forecast for the target month is
shown in green. Other links related to this economic indicator are below.
Inflation Rate, All Urban Consumers: Food & Beverages - 5 Year History
US Food and Beverages Inflation
-1%
2%
3%
4%
5%
6%
0%
1%
Current Analysis & Forecast: US Food & Beverages Inflation Rate
1/14
1/2015
1/2016
1/2017
1/2018
1/2019
1/2020
1/21