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Commentary  6092 h
HOUSING INFLATION RATE
November, 2015 Data:

The forecast for the US Housing Inflation Rate is in the table at the top of this
page. Forecast-Chart is forecasting that Housing Inflation Rates will be roughly
2.26% over the next year. The table shows a HDTFA of 1.43% which suggests
that the inflation rate for housing prices in the US for the 12 months ending
December, 2016 could easily fall between 3.69% and 0.83%. Links to Forecasts
for many other economic indicators may be found at the top of this page. The
housing price index used in this article is the Consumer Price Index for All Urban
Consumers: Housing, hereinafter referred as the housing price index.

Annual US Housing Inflation Rate
Last Month                                       0.6%
Last Year . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 2.2%
Last 5 Years                                     1.9%
Last 10 Years . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 2.0%
Last 20 Years                                   2.4%

Annual Housing Inflation Rate: Highs & Lows
High (Last 12 Months)                      2.5%   (December, 2014)
Low (Last 12 Months)                       1.9%   (May, 2015)
High (Since January, 1968)            18.3%   (June, 1980)
Low (Since January, 1968)            -0.7%   (July, 2009)

The annual Housing Inflation Rate for the 12 months ended in November, 2015
was 2.22%. That's 0.10% percent higher than the 12 months ended in October,
2015 which inflated at a rate of 2.12%. It is 0.35% percent lower than the 12
months ended in November, 2014 which inflated at a rate of 2.57%.  The
sideways movement in inflation rates from October to November indicates that
the short term inflation trend in housing prices has been flat. If that trend
continues, we should see an inflation rate for the 12 months ended in
December, 2015 that is close to 2.32%.

The USA Housing Inflation Rate one year ago was 2.57%. Over the last year,
inflation in the housing price index was 2.22%. The average rate over the last
10 years was 2.00%.  Similar inflation over the last 12 months compared to the
average inflation over the last 10 years serves as an indicator that the long
term trend in the Housing Inflation Rate is flat. Inflation expectations should be
adjusted accordingly.

Forecast-Chart's historical research covers Housing Inflation Rate data back to
January, 1968. The average annual inflation rate in housing prices during that
period of history was 4.41%. The highest rate was 18.30%. The lowest rate was
-0.69%.  The high was attained in the 12 months ended in June of 1980. The
low was achieved in the 12 months ended in July of 2009. Recent rates
experienced in the 12 months ended in November of 2015 are low relative to
the historical 4.41% average.

This page provides a five year chart and a forecast for the US Housing Inflation
Rate. For links to longer term charts, look at the links under the five year chart
(above). One link opens a ten year chart. Another opens our longest term
graph on the Housing Inflation Rate. Just one glance at Forecast-Chart's long
term charts can provide tremendous insight into the historical trends of the
financial markets.

The US Government's inflation economics policy attempts to control inflation.
High inflation and negative inflation (deflation) can have damaging effects on
the economy.





















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Annual US Inflation Rate for Housing is plotted monthly in gray (Consumer Price Index for All Urban
Consumers: Housing). The forecast for the target month is shown in green. Other links related to this
economic indicator are below.
Inflation Rate for All Urban Consumers: Housing - 5 Year History
Housing Inflation Rate Forecast
Target Month
Forecast
HDTFA
Forecast for the Housing Inflation Rate for the year
ending in the target month indicated based on the
Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers:
Housing, not seasonally adjusted.
Dec 2016
2.26%
1.43%
Updated Wednesday, January 27, 2016.
US Housing Inflation Forecast - USA
1%
2%
3%
4%
0%
-1%
-2%
Current Analysis & Forecast: US Housing Inflation Rate
1/10
1/2011
1/2012
1/2013
1/2014
1/2015
1/2016
1/17