Fayetteville, AR - House Price Index (HPI) - 28 Year Chart
Fayetteville Real Estate Market & Home Price Forecast (AR)
100
1000
The House Price Index (HPI) shows changes in Fayetteville-Springdale-Rogers, AR-MO single family
home prices in
logarithmic scale. The March, 1995 index value equals 100.  Updated Friday,
December 28, 2012. See Real estate forecasts, analysis, statistics and appreciation rates below.
Fayetteville Real Estate Index: 28 Year Chart
Home Values Appreciation Rate - US Cities
10
Fayetteville Real Estate Market: Trend, Analysis & Statistics
1/75      1/1980        1/1985        1/1990        1/1995         1/2000        1/2005        1/2010         1/15
Commentary  13223
4th Quarter, 2012 Housing Statistics: Fayetteville, Arkansas


Part 1: HOUSING MARKET FORECAST

12 Month Forecast:        UP
Forecast Accuracy:      82%

Forecast-Chart.com publishes forecasts for the trend in home prices in 380
Metropolitan Statistical Areas. The House Price Trend will be either UP or
DOWN. The forecast for the trend in the Fayetteville housing market for the 12
months ending with the 4th Quarter of 2013 is UP. The Accuracy of the Trend
Forecast for Fayetteville is 82%. In other words, when tested against historical
data, the forecasting methodology was correct 82% of the time. Accordingly,
Forecast-Chart.com estimates that the probability for rising house prices in
Fayetteville is 82% during this period. If this Housing Market Forecast is correct,
home prices will be higher in the 4th Quarter of 2013 than they were in the 4th
Quarter of 2012. Check this page each quarter for updates to the Fayetteville
Real Estate Market Forecast.


3 Year Forecast:          DOWN
Forecast Accuracy:      93%

The forecast for the trend in the Fayetteville housing market for the 3 years
ending with the 4th Quarter of 2015 is DOWN. The Accuracy of the Trend
Forecast for Fayetteville is 93%. In other words, when tested against historical
data, the forecasting methodology was correct 93% of the time. Accordingly,
Forecast-Chart.com estimates that the probability for falling house prices in
Fayetteville is 93% during this period. If this Housing Market Forecast is correct,
home values will be lower in the 4th Quarter of 2015 than they were in the 4th
Quarter of 2012. Check this page each quarter for updates to the Fayetteville
Real Estate Market Forecast.




Part 2: MARKET SUMMARY
4th Quarter, 2012 Housing Data: Fayetteville, Arkansas


Historical Home Price Appreciation
Last Quarter                                     0.27%
Last Year . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .  0.8%
Last 5 Years                                     -15%
Last 10 Years . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 13%
Last 20 Years                                   72%
Decline From All Time High               16.74%


Annual Home Price Appreciation Rates
1983        n/a
1984        n/a
1985      6.29%
1986      1.58%
1987      -2.98%
1988      7.85%
1989      7.01%
1990      0.88%
1991      2.20%
1992      4.05%
1993      6.86%
1994      8.73%
1995      3.26%
1996      2.43%
1997      3.26%
1998      2.57%
1999      0.68%
2000      4.70%
2001      5.89%
2002      4.68%
2003      6.23%
2004      10.95%
2005      9.96%
2006      4.89%
2007      -1.48%
2008      -4.38%
2009      -6.71%
2010      -3.53%
2011      -2.53%
2012      0.80%


Real Estate Appreciation, Rank & Percentile
Last Quarter                              0.27%         Rank: 219 of 381 (42nd Percentile)
Last Year  . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .  0.8%           Rank: 150 of 381 (60th Percentile)
Last 5 Years                              -15%           Rank: 244 of 381 (36th Percentile)
Last 10 Years  . . . . . . . . . . . .   13%            Rank: 238 of 381 (37th Percentile)
Last 20 Years                            72%            Rank: 215 of 368 (41st Percentile)
Decline From All Time High        16.74%

Home Price appreciation rates for Fayetteville-Springdale-Rogers, AR-MO are
shown above for five time periods. For example: Fayetteville appreciated 0.27%
in the Last Quarter. At that rate, the Fayetteville Real Estate Market was ranked
219th out of 381 metropolitan areas for Real Estate Appreciation. Fayetteville
was in the 42nd percentile. So Fayetteville, AR performed better in the Last
Quarter than 42% of the 381 metropolitan areas covered in
Forecast-Chart.com.

























Part 3: MARKET HIGHLIGHTS
4th Quarter, 2012 Housing Statistics: Fayetteville, Arkansas

The data and analysis on this page pertains to Fayetteville-Springdale-Rogers,
AR-MO, hereinafter referred to as "Fayetteville". The all time high in the
Fayetteville Home Price Index was 179.1 in the 1st Quarter, of 2007. The 4th
Quarter, 2012 index value was 149.1. That's a decline of 29.97 points or
16.74% below the Fayetteville Home Price Index all time high.  The Home Price
Index indicates that the Fayetteville Market is up 13% over the last 10 years.
Home prices in the Fayetteville Real Estate Market have gained 0.80% over the
last 12 months. Over the last thirty years, it is up 117%.

The 4th Quarter index value was 0.40 points higher than the 3rd Quarter, 2012
index value of 148.70, resulting in a 0.27% rise in the 4th Quarter for the
Fayetteville Market.

The Fayetteville Home Price Index has increased for the last 2 consecutive
quarters. The current record holder for consecutive increases in the Home
Price Index is Bismarck, ND, with increases in the last 11 consecutive quarters.
The current record holder for consecutive declines in the Home Price Index is
Tallahassee, FL, with declines in the last 5 consecutive quarters.

The highest annual home appreciation rate in the Fayetteville Real Estate
Market was 19% in the twelve months ended with the 2nd Quarter of 1984. The
worst annual home appreciation rate in the Fayetteville Market was -9% in the
twelve months ended with the 1st Quarter of 2010.

The highest home appreciation in the Fayetteville Real Estate Market over a
three year period was 31% in the three years ended with the 1st Quarter of
2006. The worst home appreciation over a three year period in the Fayetteville
Market was -17% in the three years ended with the 1st Quarter of 2011.

This page provides a long term graph of the Fayetteville Home Price Index
(above). For information about Arkansas home values, look at the links under
that chart. One link opens a forecast for home appreciation rates in the state of
Arkansas. Another link opens the home price index chart for Arkansas. Just one
glance at Forecast-Chart.com's long term charts can provide tremendous
insight into the historical trends of residential property values. Bookmark this
page! Then Forecast-Chart.com's detailed research and statistics about
Fayetteville Home Prices will be at your fingertips when you need them.

Historical data on the Fayetteville Home Price Index is available back to the 4th
Quarter, of 1980. All calculations are based on the quarterly value of the House
Price Index for the Fayetteville Market. The terms House Price Index and Home
Price Index, as used in this site, refer to the Federal Housing Finance Agency
(FHFA) House Price Index.

Significant time is required to research quarterly sales price and appraisal data
from mortgage transactions in the Fayetteville Real Estate Market and
hundreds of other cities. As a result, Home Price data is not available for a
number of months after the end of each quarter.



Part 4: APPRECIATION RATES & RANKINGS
4th Quarter, 2012 Housing Data: Fayetteville, Arkansas

The appreciation of Fayetteville Home Prices relative to 380 other metropolitan
areas is detailed below. Each metropolitan area contains one or more cities.
Five different time periods are reviewed.  Each paragraph identifies the top and
bottom performing markets as well as the average and median performance for
all cities during each time period. The data and analysis on this page pertains
to Fayetteville-Springdale-Rogers, AR-MO, hereinafter referred to as
"Fayetteville".

Last Quarter:
During the 4th Quarter of 2012, Fayetteville Home Prices had a rank of 219,
with appreciation of 0.27%. The top performing real estate market during the
4th Quarter was Bismarck, ND, with appreciation of 4.55%. The worst market
during that period was Hattiesburg, MS, with appreciation of -4.02%.
The median appreciation for all cities during the 4th Quarter was 0.47%. The
average appreciation for all markets during the quarter was 0.54%.

Last Year:
During the last 12 months, Fayetteville Home Prices had a rank of 150, with
appreciation during the year of 0.80%. The top performing market during the
last year was Bismarck, ND, with appreciation of 13.4%. The worst real estate
market during that period was Gainesville, FL, with appreciation of -6.8%.
The median appreciation for all markets during this period was 0.27%. The
average appreciation was 0.31%.

Last 5 Years:
Over the 5 years ended with the 4th Quarter of 2012, Fayetteville Home Prices
ranked 244, with a total appreciation of -15.5%. The top performing real estate
market during the 5 year period was Bismarck, ND, with appreciation of 24%.
The worst market during that period was Las Vegas, NV, with appreciation of
-54%.
The median appreciation for all cities during this time period was -9%. The
average appreciation over the 5 years was -12%.

Last 10 Years:
During the 10 years ended in the 4th Quarter of 2012, Fayetteville Home Prices
had a rank of 238, with appreciation during the decade of 13%. The top
performing market during the period was Midland, TX, with appreciation of
104%. The worst real estate market during the 10 year time period was Detroit,
MI, with appreciation of -31%.
The median appreciation for all markets during the last 10 years was 18%. The
average appreciation for the cities over that time frame was 18%.

Last 20 Years:
During the 20 years ended in the 4th Quarter of 2012, Fayetteville Home Prices
had a rank of 215, with total appreciation over the 20 year period of 72%. The
top performing real estate market during the period was Casper, WY, with
appreciation of 210%. The worst market during the last 20 years was Las
Vegas, NV, with appreciation of 7%.
The median appreciation for all cities during the last 20 years was 78%. The
average appreciation for the markets over that time frame was 80%.

Historical research data on the Home Price Index for the Fayetteville Real
Estate Market is available back to the 4th Quarter, of 1980. All calculations are
based on the quarterly value of the House Price Index for Fayetteville. Real
estate appreciation figures represent total appreciation over each time period.
(Unless specifically stated, the appreciation figures do not represent annual or
quarterly rates of appreciation.)




























































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