Hot Springs, AR - House Price Index (HPI) - 16 Year Chart
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              Hot Springs Real Estate Market & Home Price Forecast
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        The House Price Index (HPI) shows changes in Hot Springs, AR single family home prices in 
logarithmic scale. The March, 1995 index value equals 100.  Updated Friday, December 28, 2012. 
See Real estate forecasts, analysis, statistics and appreciation rates below.
         
        
        
                
        Hot Springs Real Estate Market: Trend, Analysis & Statistics
        
        1/75      1/1980        1/1985        1/1990        1/1995         1/2000        1/2005        1/2010         1/15
        
        Commentary  13262
4th Quarter, 2012 Housing Statistics: Hot Springs, Arkansas
Part 1: HOUSING MARKET FORECAST
12 Month Forecast:      DOWN
Forecast Accuracy:      83%
Forecast-Chart.com publishes forecasts for the trend in home prices in 380 
Metropolitan Statistical Areas. The House Price Trend will be either UP or 
DOWN. The forecast for the trend in the Hot Springs housing market for the 12 
months ending with the 4th Quarter of 2013 is DOWN. The Accuracy of the 
Trend Forecast for Hot Springs is 83%. In other words, when tested against 
historical data, the forecasting methodology was correct 83% of the time. 
Accordingly, Forecast-Chart.com estimates that the probability for falling house 
prices in Hot Springs is 83% during this period. If this Housing Market Forecast 
is correct, home prices will be lower in the 4th Quarter of 2013 than they were in 
the 4th Quarter of 2012. Check this page each quarter for updates to the Hot 
Springs Real Estate Market Forecast.
3 Year Forecast:          DOWN
Forecast Accuracy:      85%
The forecast for the trend in the Hot Springs housing market for the 3 years 
ending with the 4th Quarter of 2015 is DOWN. The Accuracy of the Trend 
Forecast for Hot Springs is 85%. In other words, when tested against historical 
data, the forecasting methodology was correct 85% of the time. Accordingly, 
Forecast-Chart.com estimates that the probability for falling house prices in Hot 
Springs is 85% during this period. If this Housing Market Forecast is correct, 
home values will be lower in the 4th Quarter of 2015 than they were in the 4th 
Quarter of 2012. Check this page each quarter for updates to the Hot Springs 
Real Estate Market Forecast.
Part 2: MARKET SUMMARY
4th Quarter, 2012 Housing Data: Hot Springs, Arkansas
Historical Home Price Appreciation
Last Quarter                                     -1.43%
Last Year . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .  -0.8%
Last 5 Years                                     -8%
Last 10 Years . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 29%
Last 20 Years                                   107%
Decline From All Time High               8.61%
Annual Home Price Appreciation Rates
1983        n/a
1984        n/a
1985        n/a
1986        n/a
1987        n/a
1988        n/a
1989        n/a
1990        n/a
1991        n/a
1992        n/a
1993      9.41%
1994      3.77%
1995      10.04%
1996      5.80%
1997      4.62%
1998      -0.15%
1999      1.36%
2000      2.60%
2001      7.22%
2002      3.61%
2003      4.21%
2004      7.60%
2005      10.31%
2006      5.53%
2007      7.87%
2008      0.59%
2009      -6.16%
2010      0.56%
2011      -2.33%
2012      -0.84%
Real Estate Appreciation, Rank & Percentile
Last Quarter                              -1.43%        Rank: 357 of 381 (6th Percentile)
Last Year  . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .  -0.8%          Rank: 258 of 381 (32nd Percentile)
Last 5 Years                              -8%             Rank: 173 of 381 (54th Percentile)
Last 10 Years  . . . . . . . . . . . .   29%            Rank: 84 of 381 (78th Percentile)
Last 20 Years                            107%          Rank: 60 of 368 (83rd Percentile)
Decline From All Time High        8.61%
Home Price appreciation rates for Hot Springs, AR are shown above for five 
time periods. For example: Hot Springs appreciated -1.43% in the Last Quarter. 
At that rate, the Hot Springs Real Estate Market was ranked 357th out of 381 
metropolitan areas for Real Estate Appreciation. Hot Springs was in the 6th 
percentile. So Hot Springs, AR performed better in the Last Quarter than 6% of 
the 381 metropolitan areas covered in Forecast-Chart.com.
Part 3: MARKET HIGHLIGHTS
4th Quarter, 2012 Housing Statistics: Hot Springs, Arkansas
The all time high in the Hot Springs Home Price Index was 192.8 in the 4th 
Quarter, of 2008. The 4th Quarter, 2012 index value was 176.2. That's a 
decline of 16.59 points or 8.61% below the Hot Springs Home Price Index all 
time high.  The Home Price Index indicates that the Hot Springs Market is up 
29% over the last 10 years. Home Prices in the Hot Springs Real Estate Market 
have lost 0.84% over the last 12 months.
The 4th Quarter index value was 2.55 points lower than the 3rd Quarter, 2012 
index value of 178.74, resulting in a 1.43% decline for the 4th Quarter in the 
Hot Springs Market.
The Hot Springs Home Price Index declined in the last quarter after increasing 
in the previous quarter. The current record holder for consecutive declines in 
the Home Price Index is Tallahassee, FL, with declines in the last 5 consecutive 
quarters. The current record holder for consecutive increases in the Home 
Price Index is Bismarck, ND, with increases in the last 11 consecutive quarters.
The highest annual home appreciation rate in the Hot Springs Real Estate 
Market was 12% in the twelve months ended with the 1st Quarter of 1994. The 
worst annual home appreciation rate in the Hot Springs Market was -8% in the 
twelve months ended with the 2nd Quarter of 2010.
The highest home appreciation in the Hot Springs Real Estate Market over a 
three year period was 27% in the three years ended with the 1st Quarter of 
2007. The worst home appreciation over a three year period in the Hot Springs 
Market was -9% in the three years ended with the 1st Quarter of 2011.
This page provides a long term graph of the Hot Springs Home Price Index 
(above). For information about Arkansas home values, look at the links under 
that chart. One link opens a forecast for home appreciation rates in the state of 
Arkansas. Another link opens the home price index chart for Arkansas. Just one 
glance at Forecast-Chart.com's long term charts can provide tremendous 
insight into the historical trends of residential property values. Bookmark this 
page! Then Forecast-Chart.com's detailed research and statistics about Hot 
Springs Home Prices will be at your fingertips when you need them.
Historical data on the Hot Springs Home Price Index is available back to the 3rd 
Quarter, of 1992. All calculations are based on the quarterly value of the House 
Price Index for the Hot Springs Market. The terms House Price Index and Home 
Price Index, as used in this site, refer to the Federal Housing Finance Agency 
(FHFA) House Price Index.
Significant time is required to research quarterly sales price and appraisal data 
from mortgage transactions in the Hot Springs Real Estate Market and 
hundreds of other cities. As a result, Home Price data is not available for a 
number of months after the end of each quarter.
Part 4: APPRECIATION RATES & RANKINGS
4th Quarter, 2012 Housing Data: Hot Springs, Arkansas
The appreciation of Hot Springs Home Prices relative to 380 other metropolitan 
areas is detailed below. Each metropolitan area contains one or more cities. 
Five different time periods are reviewed.  Each paragraph identifies the top and 
bottom performing markets as well as the average and median performance for 
all cities during each time period.
Last Quarter:
During the 4th Quarter of 2012, Hot Springs Home Prices had a rank of 357, 
with appreciation of -1.43%. The top performing real estate market during the 
4th Quarter was Bismarck, ND, with appreciation of 4.55%. The worst market 
during that period was Hattiesburg, MS, with appreciation of -4.02%.
The median appreciation for all cities during the 4th Quarter was 0.47%. The 
average appreciation for all markets during the quarter was 0.54%.
Last Year:
During the last 12 months, Hot Springs Home Prices had a rank of 258, with 
appreciation during the year of -0.84%. The top performing market during the 
last year was Bismarck, ND, with appreciation of 13.4%. The worst real estate 
market during that period was Gainesville, FL, with appreciation of -6.8%.
The median appreciation for all markets during this period was 0.27%. The 
average appreciation was 0.31%.
Last 5 Years:
Over the 5 years ended with the 4th Quarter of 2012, Hot Springs Home Prices 
ranked 173, with a total appreciation of -8.1%. The top performing real estate 
market during the 5 year period was Bismarck, ND, with appreciation of 24%. 
The worst market during that period was Las Vegas, NV, with appreciation of 
-54%.
The median appreciation for all cities during this time period was -9%. The 
average appreciation over the 5 years was -12%.
Last 10 Years:
During the 10 years ended in the 4th Quarter of 2012, Hot Springs Home Prices 
had a rank of 84, with appreciation during the decade of 29%. The top 
performing market during the period was Midland, TX, with appreciation of 
104%. The worst real estate market during the 10 year time period was Detroit, 
MI, with appreciation of -31%.
The median appreciation for all markets during the last 10 years was 18%. The 
average appreciation for the cities over that time frame was 18%.
Last 20 Years:
During the 20 years ended in the 4th Quarter of 2012, Hot Springs Home Prices 
had a rank of 60, with total appreciation over the 20 year period of 107%. The 
top performing real estate market during the period was Casper, WY, with 
appreciation of 210%. The worst market during the last 20 years was Las 
Vegas, NV, with appreciation of 7%.
The median appreciation for all cities during the last 20 years was 78%. The 
average appreciation for the markets over that time frame was 80%.
Historical research data on the Home Price Index for the Hot Springs Real 
Estate Market is available back to the 3rd Quarter, of 1992. All calculations are 
based on the quarterly value of the House Price Index for Hot Springs. Real 
estate appreciation figures represent total appreciation over each time period. 
(Unless specifically stated, the appreciation figures do not represent annual or 
quarterly rates of appreciation.)
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