Montgomery, AL - House Price Index (HPI) - 22 Year Chart
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              Montgomery Real Estate Market Forecast
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        The House Price Index (HPI) shows changes in Montgomery, AL single family home prices in 
logarithmic scale. The March, 1995 index value equals 100.  Updated Friday, December 28, 2012. 
See real estate forecasts, analysis, statistics and appreciation rates below.
         
        
        
                
        Montgomery Real Estate Market: Trend, Analysis & Statistics
        
        1/75      1/1980        1/1985        1/1990        1/1995         1/2000        1/2005        1/2010         1/15
        
        Commentary  13338
4th Quarter, 2012 Housing Statistics: Montgomery, Alabama
Part 1: HOUSING MARKET FORECAST
12 Month Forecast:      DOWN
Forecast Accuracy:      84%
Forecast-Chart.com publishes forecasts for the trend in home prices in 380 
Metropolitan Statistical Areas. The House Price Trend will be either UP or 
DOWN. The forecast for the trend in the Montgomery housing market for the 12 
months ending with the 4th Quarter of 2013 is DOWN. The Accuracy of the 
Trend Forecast for Montgomery is 84%. In other words, when tested against 
historical data, the forecasting methodology was correct 84% of the time. 
Accordingly, Forecast-Chart.com estimates that the probability for falling house 
prices in Montgomery is 84% during this period. If this Housing Market Forecast 
is correct, home prices will be lower in the 4th Quarter of 2013 than they were in 
the 4th Quarter of 2012. Check this page each quarter for updates to the 
Montgomery Real Estate Market Forecast.
3 Year Forecast:          DOWN
Forecast Accuracy:      88%
The forecast for the trend in the Montgomery housing market for the 3 years 
ending with the 4th Quarter of 2015 is DOWN. The Accuracy of the Trend 
Forecast for Montgomery is 88%. In other words, when tested against historical 
data, the forecasting methodology was correct 88% of the time. Accordingly, 
Forecast-Chart.com estimates that the probability for falling house prices in 
Montgomery is 88% during this period. If this Housing Market Forecast is 
correct, home values will be lower in the 4th Quarter of 2015 than they were in 
the 4th Quarter of 2012. Check this page each quarter for updates to the 
Montgomery Real Estate Market Forecast.
Part 2: MARKET SUMMARY
4th Quarter, 2012 Housing Data: Montgomery, Alabama
Historical Home Price Appreciation
Last Quarter                         0.22%
Last Year                              -3.0%
Last 5 Years                         -10%
Last 10 Years                       13%
Last 20 Years                       46%
Decline From All Time High   11.59%
Annual Home Price Appreciation Rates
1983        n/a
1984        n/a
1985        n/a
1986        n/a
1987      1.66%
1988      -0.16%
1989      3.40%
1990      1.18%
1991      3.12%
1992      3.58%
1993      3.35%
1994      2.84%
1995      4.71%
1996      0.35%
1997      2.97%
1998      3.50%
1999      -0.04%
2000      1.37%
2001      5.54%
2002      2.01%
2003      2.29%
2004      4.56%
2005      7.15%
2006      7.74%
2007      1.75%
2008      0.64%
2009      -4.30%
2010      -1.25%
2011      -2.82%
2012      -3.01%
Real Estate Appreciation, Rank & Percentile
Last Quarter                              0.22%         Rank: 223 of 381 (41st Percentile)
Last Year  . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .  -3.0%          Rank: 350 of 381 (8th Percentile)
Last 5 Years                              -10%           Rank: 202 of 381 (47th Percentile)
Last 10 Years  . . . . . . . . . . . .   13%            Rank: 243 of 381 (36th Percentile)
Last 20 Years                            46%            Rank: 324 of 368 (11th Percentile)
Decline From All Time High        11.59%
Home Price appreciation rates for Montgomery, AL are shown above for five 
time periods. For example: Montgomery appreciated 0.22% in the Last Quarter. 
At that rate, the Montgomery Real Estate Market was ranked 223rd out of 381 
metropolitan areas for Real Estate Appreciation. Montgomery was in the 41st 
percentile. So Montgomery, AL performed better in the Last Quarter than 41% 
of the 381 metropolitan areas covered in Forecast-Chart.com.
Part 3: MARKET HIGHLIGHTS
4th Quarter, 2012 Housing Statistics: Montgomery, Alabama
The all time high in the Montgomery Home Price Index was 157.9 in the 1st 
Quarter, of 2008. The 4th Quarter, 2012 index value was 139.6. That's a 
decline of 18.29 points or 11.59% below the Montgomery Home Price Index all 
time high.  The Home Price Index indicates that the Montgomery Market is up 
13% over the last 10 years. Home Prices in the Montgomery Real Estate Market 
have lost 3.01% over the last 12 months.
The 4th Quarter index value was 0.31 points higher than the 3rd Quarter, 2012 
index value of 139.27, resulting in a 0.22% rise in the 4th Quarter for the 
Montgomery Market.
The Montgomery Home Price Index has increased for the last 2 consecutive 
quarters. The current record holder for consecutive increases in the Home 
Price Index is Bismarck, ND, with increases in the last 11 consecutive quarters. 
The current record holder for consecutive declines in the Home Price Index is 
Tallahassee, FL, with declines in the last 5 consecutive quarters.
The highest annual home appreciation rate in the Montgomery Real Estate 
Market was 9% in the twelve months ended with the 1st Quarter of 2006. The 
worst annual home appreciation rate in the Montgomery Market was -7% in the 
twelve months ended with the 1st Quarter of 2010.
The highest home appreciation in the Montgomery Real Estate Market over a 
three year period was 22% in the three years ended with the 2nd Quarter of 
2007. The worst home appreciation over a three year period in the Montgomery 
Market was -11% in the three years ended with the 2nd Quarter of 2012.
This page provides a long term graph of the Montgomery Home Price Index 
(above). For information about Alabama home values, look at the links under 
that chart. One link opens a forecast for home appreciation rates in the state of 
Alabama. Another link opens the home price index chart for Alabama. Just one 
glance at Forecast-Chart.com's long term charts can provide tremendous 
insight into the historical trends of residential property values. Bookmark this 
page! Then Forecast-Chart.com's detailed research and statistics about 
Montgomery Home Prices will be at your fingertips when you need them.
Historical data on the Montgomery Home Price Index is available back to the 
2nd Quarter, of 1986. All calculations are based on the quarterly value of the 
House Price Index for the Montgomery Market. The terms House Price Index 
and Home Price Index, as used in this site, refer to the Federal Housing 
Finance Agency (FHFA) House Price Index.
Significant time is required to research quarterly sales price and appraisal data 
from mortgage transactions in the Montgomery Real Estate Market and 
hundreds of other cities. As a result, Home Price data is not available for a 
number of months after the end of each quarter.
Part 4: APPRECIATION RATES & RANKINGS
4th Quarter, 2012 Housing Data: Montgomery, Alabama
The appreciation of Montgomery Home Prices relative to 380 other metropolitan 
areas is detailed below. Each metropolitan area contains one or more cities. 
Five different time periods are reviewed.  Each paragraph identifies the top and 
bottom performing markets as well as the average and median performance for 
all cities during each time period.
Last Quarter:
During the 4th Quarter of 2012, Montgomery Home Prices had a rank of 223, 
with appreciation of 0.22%. The top performing real estate market during the 
4th Quarter was Bismarck, ND, with appreciation of 4.55%. The worst market 
during that period was Hattiesburg, MS, with appreciation of -4.02%.
The median appreciation for all cities during the 4th Quarter was 0.47%. The 
average appreciation for all markets during the quarter was 0.54%.
Last Year:
During the last 12 months, Montgomery Home Prices had a rank of 350, with 
appreciation during the year of -3.01%. The top performing market during the 
last year was Bismarck, ND, with appreciation of 13.4%. The worst real estate 
market during that period was Gainesville, FL, with appreciation of -6.8%.
The median appreciation for all markets during this period was 0.27%. The 
average appreciation was 0.31%.
Last 5 Years:
Over the 5 years ended with the 4th Quarter of 2012, Montgomery Home Prices 
ranked 202, with a total appreciation of -10.3%. The top performing real estate 
market during the 5 year period was Bismarck, ND, with appreciation of 24%. 
The worst market during that period was Las Vegas, NV, with appreciation of 
-54%.
The median appreciation for all cities during this time period was -9%. The 
average appreciation over the 5 years was -12%.
Last 10 Years:
During the 10 years ended in the 4th Quarter of 2012, Montgomery Home 
Prices had a rank of 243, with appreciation during the decade of 13%. The top 
performing market during the period was Midland, TX, with appreciation of 
104%. The worst real estate market during the 10 year time period was Detroit, 
MI, with appreciation of -31%.
The median appreciation for all markets during the last 10 years was 18%. The 
average appreciation for the cities over that time frame was 18%.
Last 20 Years:
During the 20 years ended in the 4th Quarter of 2012, Montgomery Home 
Prices had a rank of 324, with total appreciation over the 20 year period of 
46%. The top performing real estate market during the period was Casper, WY, 
with appreciation of 210%. The worst market during the last 20 years was Las 
Vegas, NV, with appreciation of 7%.
The median appreciation for all cities during the last 20 years was 78%. The 
average appreciation for the markets over that time frame was 80%.
Historical research data on the Home Price Index for the Montgomery Real 
Estate Market is available back to the 2nd Quarter, of 1986. All calculations are 
based on the quarterly value of the House Price Index for Montgomery. Real 
estate appreciation figures represent total appreciation over each time period. 
(Unless specifically stated, the appreciation figures do not represent annual or 
quarterly rates of appreciation.)
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