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Commentary  6092 r
RECREATION INFLATION RATE
November, 2015 Data:

The forecast for the US Recreation Inflation Rate is in the table at the top of this
page. Forecast-Chart is forecasting that Recreation Inflation Rates will be
roughly 0.28% over the next year. The table shows a HDTFA of 0.76% which
suggests that the inflation rate for recreation prices in the US for the 12 months
ending December, 2016 could easily fall between 1.04% and -0.48%. Links to
Forecasts for many other economic indicators may be found at the top of this
page. The recreation price index used in this article is the Consumer Price
Index for All Urban Consumers: Recreation, hereinafter referred as the
recreation price index.

Annual US Recreation Inflation Rate
Last Month                                       -4.9%
Last Year . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 0.5%
Last 5 Years                                     0.4%
Last 10 Years . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 0.6%
Last 20 Years                                   1.0%

Annual Recreation Inflation Rate: Highs & Lows
High (Last 12 Months)                      0.7%   (August, 2015)
Low (Last 12 Months)                       -0.1%   (February, 2015)
High (Since January, 1994)            3.4%   (July, 1996)
Low (Since January, 1994)            -1.3%   (September, 2010)

The annual Recreation Inflation Rate for the 12 months ended in November,
2015 was 0.52%. That's 0.09% percent lower than the 12 months ended in
October, 2015 which inflated at a rate of 0.61%. It is 0.78% percent higher than
the 12 months ended in November, 2014 which inflated at a rate of -0.26%.  
The sideways movement in inflation rates from October to November indicates
that the short term inflation trend in recreation prices has been flat. If that trend
continues, we should see an inflation rate for the 12 months ended in
December, 2015 that is close to 0.43%.

The USA Recreation Inflation Rate one year ago was -0.26%. Over the last
year, inflation in the recreation price index was 0.52%. The average rate over
the last 10 years was 0.59%.  Similar inflation over the last 12 months
compared to the average inflation over the last 10 years serves as an indicator
that the long term trend in the Recreation Inflation Rate is flat. Inflation
expectations should be adjusted accordingly.

Forecast-Chart's historical research covers Recreation Inflation Rate data back
to January, 1994. The average annual inflation rate in recreation prices during
that period of history was 1.13%. The highest rate was 3.39%. The lowest rate
was -1.32%.  The high was attained in the 12 months ended in July of 1996.
The low was achieved in the 12 months ended in September of 2010. Recent
rates experienced in the 12 months ended in November of 2015 are low relative
to the historical 1.13% average.

This page provides a five year chart and a forecast for the US Recreation
Inflation Rate. For links to longer term charts, look at the links under the five
year chart (above). One link opens a ten year chart. Another opens our longest
term graph on the Recreation Inflation Rate. Just one glance at
Forecast-Chart's long term charts can provide tremendous insight into the
historical trends of the financial markets.

The US Government's inflation economics policy attempts to control inflation.
High inflation and negative inflation (deflation) can have damaging effects on
the economy.





















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Annual US Inflation Rate for the cost of Recreation is plotted monthly in gray (Consumer Price Index
for All Urban Consumers: Recreation). The forecast for the target month is shown in green. Other
links related to this economic indicator are below.
Inflation Rate for All Urban Consumers: Recreation - 5 Year History
Recreation Inflation Rate Forecast
Target Month
Forecast
HDTFA
Forecast for US Recreation Inflation Rate for the year
ending in the target month indicated based on the
Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers:
Recreation, not seasonally adjusted.
Dec 2016
0.28%
0.76%
Updated Wednesday, January 27, 2016.
US Recreation Cost Inflation
0%
1%
2%
3%
-1%
-2%
Current Analysis & Forecast: US Recreation Cost Inflation Rate
1/10
1/2011
1/2012
1/2013
1/2014
1/2015
1/2016
1/17