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Annual US Inflation Rate is plotted monthly in gray (Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers:
All Items). The forecast for the target month is shown in green. Other links related to this economic
indicator are below.
CPI for All Urban Consumers: All Items - 5 Year History
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CPI for All Urban Consumers: All Items Forecast
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Forecast for the US Inflation Rate for the year ending in the target month indicated (Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers: All Items, not seasonally adjusted.
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Updated Friday, March 5, 2010.
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US Inflation Rate Forecast
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Historical US Inflation Rates
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1921 1922 1923 1924 1925 1926 1927 1928 1929 1930 1931 1932 1933 1934 1935 1936 1937 1938 1939 1940 1941 1942 1943 1944 1945 1946 1947 1948 1949
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-11.1 -0.6 3.0 0.0 3.5 -2.2 -1.1 -1.2 0.0 -7.0 -10.1 -9.8 2.3 3.0 1.5 2.2 0.7 -1.4 -0.7 1.4 11.3 7.6 3.0 2.3 2.2 18.1 10.2 1.3 -2.1
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1950 1951 1952 1953 1954 1955 1956 1957 1958 1959 1960 1961 1962 1963 1964 1965 1966 1967 1968 1969 1970 1971 1972 1973 1974 1975 1976 1977 1978
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8.1 4.3 0.4 1.1 -0.7 0.4 3.0 3.6 1.4 1.0 1.7 0.7 1.3 1.6 1.0 1.9 3.5 3.6 4.4 6.2 5.3 3.3 3.6 9.4 11.8 6.7 5.2 6.8 9.3
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1979 1980 1981 1982 1983 1984 1985 1986 1987 1988 1989 1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007
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13.9 11.8 8.4 3.7 4.2 3.5 3.9 1.5 4.0 4.7 5.2 5.7 2.6 3.3 2.5 2.8 2.7 3.0 1.6 1.7 2.7 3.7 1.1 2.6 1.9 3.0 4.0 2.1 4.3
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Annual US Inflation Rate is shown in this table: 1921 to present
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Commentary 2892
Part 1: OVERALL INFLATION RATE
January, 2010 Data:
The forecast for the US Inflation Rate is in the table at the top of this page. We
are forecasting that US Inflation Rates will be roughly 1.52% over the next year.
The table shows a HDTFA of 0.52% which suggests that US inflation for the 12
months ending February, 2011 could easily fall between 2.05% and 1.00%.
Links to Forecasts for many other economic indicators may be found on the left
side of this page.
The annual US Inflation Rate for the 12 months ended in January, 2010 was
2.63%. That's 0.10% percent lower than the 12 months ended in December,
2009 which inflated at a rate of 2.72%. It is 2.60% percent higher than the 12
months ended in January, 2009 which inflated at a rate of 0.03%. The fall in
inflation rates from December to January indicates that the short term inflation
trend has been down. If that trend continues, we should see an inflation rate for
the 12 months ended in February, 2010 that is close to 2.53%.
The US Inflation Rate one year ago was 0.03%. Over the last year it was 2.63%.
The average rate over the last 10 years was 2.57%. Higher inflation over the
last 12 months compared to the average inflation over the last 10 years serves
as an indicator that the long term trend in the US Inflation Rate is up. Inflation
expectations should be adjusted accordingly.
ForecastChart.com's historical research covers US Inflation Rate data back to
January, 1922. The average annual inflation rate during that period of history
was 2.95%. The highest rate was 19.67%. The lowest rate was -11.05%. The
high was attained in the 12 months ended in March of 1947. The low was
achieved in the 12 months ended in January of 1922. Recent rates experienced
in the 12 months ended in January of 2010 are similar to the historical 2.95%
average.
Part 2: INFLATION RATE BY CATEGORY
January, 2010 Data:
There are many types of inflation that are included in the ANNUAL US
INFLATION RATE. There's Food, Apparel, Education, Energy, Transportation,
Medical Care, Recreation and Housing Inflation. All these are included in the
overall US Inflation rate.
Prices can be rising rapidly in certain inflation categories but actually falling in
others. If you are young and healthy, you may spend more heavily on
education, apparel, recreation or transportation. Senior's spend a greater
portion of their budget on medical care.
Your inflation rate could be much higher than the overall rate!
Falling home values may result in a declining cost of housing. But not for you, if
you already own your own home! Your mortgage payments don't decline just
because the value of your home has fallen.
Housing deflation may lower the overall inflation rate. In that case, inflation for a
homeowner may be much higher than the overall inflation rate!
The key question is this: WHAT IS YOUR INFLATION RATE?
INFLATION BY CATEGORY is shown below:
ANNUAL
RATE*
1.7% Apparel Inflation
2.3% Education & Communication Inflation
19.1% Energy Inflation
-0.2% Food and Beverages Inflation
-0.4% Food Inflation
-0.5% Housing Inflation
3.5% Medical Care Inflation
-0.4% Recreation Inflation
14.3% Transportation Inflation
2.63%. All Items
* Annual inflation rates for the 12 months ended in January, 2010.
FORECASTS & CHARTS FOR EACH INFLATION CATEGORY may be found by
clicking the link titled Inflation: Food, Energy, Housing, Medical, etc above. The
link is under the inflation chart, near the top of this page.
This page provides a five year chart and a forecast for the US Inflation Rate.
For links to longer term charts, look at the links under the five year chart
(above). One link opens a ten year chart. Another opens our longest term
graph on the US Inflation Rate. Just one glance at our long term charts can
provide tremendous insight into the historical trends of the financial markets.
The data table above presents the history of US Inflation Rates in numerical
format.
The US Government's inflation economics policy attempts to control inflation.
High inflation and negative inflation (deflation) can have damaging effects on
the economy.
Commentary 2282
December, 2009 Data:
The forecast for the US Inflation Rate is in the table at the top of this page. We
are forecasting that US Inflation Rates will be roughly 1.76% over the next year.
The table shows a HDTFA of 0.61% which suggests that US inflation for the 12
months ending January, 2011 could easily fall between 2.37% and 1.15%. Links
to Forecasts for many other economic indicators may be found on the left side
of this page.
The annual US Inflation Rate for the 12 months ended in December, 2009 was
2.72%. That's 0.88% percent higher than the 12 months ended in November,
2009 which inflated at a rate of 1.84%. It is 2.63% percent higher than the 12
months ended in December, 2008 which inflated at a rate of 0.09%. The rise in
inflation rates from November to December indicates that the short term
inflation trend has been up. If that trend continues, we should see an inflation
rate for the 12 months ended in January, 2010 that is close to 3.60%.
The US Inflation Rate one year ago was 0.09%. Over the last year it was 2.72%.
The average rate over the last 10 years was 2.57%. Higher inflation over the
last 12 months compared to the average inflation over the last 10 years serves
as an indicator that the long term trend in the US Inflation Rate is up. Inflation
expectations should be adjusted accordingly.
ForecastChart.com's historical research covers US Inflation Rate data back to
January, 1922. The average annual inflation rate during that period of history
was 2.95%. The highest rate was 19.67%. The lowest rate was -11.05%. The
high was attained in the 12 months ended in March of 1947. The low was
achieved in the 12 months ended in January of 1922. Recent rates experienced
in the 12 months ended in December of 2009 are similar to the historical 2.95%
average..
This page provides a five year chart and a forecast for the US Inflation Rate.
For links to longer term charts, look at the links under the five year chart
(above). One link opens a ten year chart. Another opens our longest term
graph on the US Inflation Rate. Just one glance at our long term charts can
provide tremendous insight into the historical trends of the financial markets.
The data table above presents the history of US Inflation Rates in numerical
format.
The US Government's inflation economics policy attempts to control inflation.
High inflation and negative inflation (deflation) can have damaging effects on
the economy.
Commentary 2206
November, 2009 Data:
The forecast for the US Inflation Rate is in the table at the top of this page. We
are forecasting that US Inflation Rates will be roughly 1.62% over the next year.
The table shows a HDTFA of 0.56% which suggests that US inflation for the 12
months ending December, 2010 could easily fall between 2.18% and 1.06%.
Links to Forecasts for many other economic indicators may be found on the left
side of this page.
The annual US Inflation Rate for the 12 months ended in November, 2009 was
1.84%. That's 2.02% percent higher than the 12 months ended in October,
2009 which inflated at a rate of -0.18%. It is 0.77% percent higher than the 12
months ended in November, 2008 which inflated at a rate of 1.07%. The rise in
inflation rates from October to November indicates that the short term inflation
trend has been up. If that trend continues, we should see an inflation rate for
the 12 months ended in December, 2009 that is close to 3.86%.
The US Inflation Rate one year ago was 1.07%. Over the last year it was 1.84%.
The average rate over the last 10 years was 2.57%. Lower inflation over the
last 12 months compared to the average inflation over the last 10 years serves
as an indicator that the long term trend in the US Inflation Rate is down. Inflation
expectations should be adjusted accordingly.
Our historical research covers US Inflation Rate data back to January, 1922.
The average annual inflation rate during that period of history was 2.95%. The
highest rate was 19.67%. The lowest rate was -11.05%. The high was attained
in the 12 months ended in March of 1947. The low was achieved in the 12
months ended in January of 1922. Recent rates experienced in the 12 months
ended in November of 2009 are low relative to the historical 2.95% average.
This page provides a five year chart and a forecast for the US Inflation Rate.
For links to longer term charts, look at the links under the five year chart
(above). One link opens a ten year chart. Another opens our longest term
graph on the US Inflation Rate. Just one glance at our long term charts can
provide tremendous insight into the historical trends of the financial markets.
The data table above presents the history of US Inflation Rates in numerical
format.
The US Government's inflation economics policy attempts to control inflation.
High inflation and negative inflation (deflation) can have damaging effects on
the economy.
Commentary 2130
October, 2009 Data:
The forecast for the US Inflation Rate is in the table at the top of this page. We
are forecasting that US Inflation Rates will be roughly 1.65% over the next year.
The table shows a HDTFA of 0.57% which suggests that US inflation for the 12
months ending November, 2010 could easily fall between 2.22% and 1.08%.
Links to Forecasts for many other economic indicators may be found on the left
side of this page.
The annual US Inflation Rate for the 12 months ended in October, 2009 was
-0.18%. That's 1.10% percent higher than the 12 months ended in September,
2009 which inflated at a rate of -1.29%. It is 3.84% percent lower than the 12
months ended in October, 2008 which inflated at a rate of 3.66%. The rise in
inflation rates from September to October indicates that the short term inflation
trend has been up. If that trend continues, we should see an inflation rate for
the 12 months ended in November, 2009 that is close to 0.92%.
The US Inflation Rate one year ago was 3.66%. Over the last year it was
-0.18%. The average rate over the last 10 years was 2.58%. Lower inflation
over the last 12 months compared to the average inflation over the last 10
years serves as an indicator that the long term trend in the US Inflation Rate is
down. Inflation expectations should be adjusted accordingly.
Our historical research covers US Inflation Rate data back to January, 1922.
The average annual inflation rate during that period of history was 2.96%. The
highest rate was 19.67%. The lowest rate was -11.05%. The high was attained
in the 12 months ended in March of 1947. The low was achieved in the 12
months ended in January of 1922. Recent rates experienced in the 12 months
ended in October of 2009 are low relative to the historical 2.96% average.
This page provides a five year chart and a forecast for the US Inflation Rate.
For links to longer term charts, look at the links under the five year chart
(above). One link opens a ten year chart. Another opens our longest term
graph on the US Inflation Rate. Just one glance at our long term charts can
provide tremendous insight into the historical trends of the financial markets.
The data table above presents the history of US Inflation Rates in numerical
format.
The US Government's inflation economics policy attempts to control inflation.
High inflation and negative inflation (deflation) can have damaging effects on
the economy.
Commentary 1139
September, 2009 Data:
The forecast for the US Inflation Rate is in the table at the top of this page. We
are forecasting that US Inflation Rates will be roughly 1.51% over the next year.
The table shows a HDTFA of 0.52% which suggests that US inflation for the 12
months ending October, 2010 could easily fall between 2.03% and 0.99%. Links
to Forecasts for many other economic indicators may be found on the left side
of this page.
The annual US Inflation Rate for the 12 months ended in September, 2009 was
-1.29%. That's 0.20% percent higher than the 12 months ended in August,
2009 which inflated at a rate of -1.48%. It is 6.22% percent lower than the 12
months ended in September, 2008 which inflated at a rate of 4.94%. The rise
in inflation rates from August to September indicates that the short term inflation
trend has been up. If that trend continues, we should see an inflation rate for
the 12 months ended in October, 2009 that is close to -1.09%.
The US Inflation Rate one year ago was 4.94%. Over the last year it was
-1.29%. The average rate over the last 10 years was 2.60%. Lower inflation
over the last 12 months compared to the average inflation over the last 10
years serves as an indicator that the long term trend in the US Inflation Rate is
down. Inflation expectations should be adjusted accordingly.
Our historical research covers US Inflation Rate data back to January, 1922.
The average annual inflation rate during that period of history was 2.96%. The
highest rate was 19.67%. The lowest rate was -11.05%. The high was attained
in the 12 months ended in March of 1947. The low was achieved in the 12
months ended in January of 1922. Recent rates experienced in the 12 months
ended in September of 2009 are low relative to the historical 2.96% average.
This page provides a five year chart and a forecast for the US Inflation Rate.
For links to longer term charts, look at the links under the five year chart
(above). One link opens a ten year chart. Another opens our longest term
graph on the US Inflation Rate. Just one glance at our long term charts can
provide tremendous insight into the historical trends of the financial markets.
The data table above presents the history of US Inflation Rates in numerical
format.
The US Government's inflation economics policy attempts to control inflation.
High inflation and negative inflation (deflation) can have damaging effects on
the economy.
Commentary 1063
August, 2009 Data:
The forecast for the US Inflation Rate is in the table at the top of this page. We
are forecasting that US Inflation Rates will be roughly 1.56% over the next year.
The table shows a HDTFA of 0.53% which suggests that US inflation for the 12
months ending September, 2010 could easily fall between 2.10% and 1.03%.
Links to Forecasts for many other economic indicators may be found on the left
side of this page.
The annual US Inflation Rate for the 12 months ended in August, 2009 was
-1.48%. That's 0.61% percent higher than the 12 months ended in July, 2009
which inflated at a rate of -2.10%. It is 6.86% percent lower than the 12 months
ended in August, 2008 which inflated at a rate of 5.37%. The rise in inflation
rates from July to August indicates that the short term inflation trend has been
up. If that trend continues, we should see an inflation rate for the 12 months
ended in September, 2009 that is close to -0.87%.
The US Inflation Rate one year ago was 5.37%. Over the last year it was
-1.48%. The average rate over the last 10 years was 2.63%. Lower inflation
over the last 12 months compared to the average inflation over the last 10
years serves as an indicator that the long term trend in the US Inflation Rate is
down. Inflation expectations should be adjusted accordingly.
Our historical research covers US Inflation Rate data back to January, 1922.
The average annual inflation rate during that period of history was 2.96%. The
highest rate was 19.67%. The lowest rate was -11.05%. The high was attained
in the 12 months ended in March of 1947. The low was achieved in the 12
months ended in January of 1922. Recent rates experienced in the 12 months
ended in August of 2009 are low relative to the historical 2.96% average.
This page provides a five year chart and a forecast for the US Inflation Rate.
For links to longer term charts, look at the links under the five year chart
(above). One link opens a ten year chart. Another opens our longest term
graph on the US Inflation Rate. Just one glance at our long term charts can
provide tremendous insight into the historical trends of the financial markets.
The data table above presents the history of US Inflation Rates in numerical
format.
The US Government's inflation economics policy attempts to control inflation.
High inflation and negative inflation (deflation) can have damaging effects on
the economy.
Commentary 987
July, 2009 Data:
The forecast for the US Inflation Rate is in the table at the top of this page. We
are forecasting that US Inflation Rates will be roughly 1.28% over the next year.
The table shows a HDTFA of 0.43% which suggests that US inflation for the 12
months ending August, 2010 could easily fall between 1.71% and 0.85%. Links
to Forecasts for many other economic indicators may be found on the left side
of this page.
The annual US Inflation Rate for the 12 months ended in July, 2009 was
-2.10%. That's 0.67% percent lower than the 12 months ended in June, 2009
which inflated at a rate of -1.43%. It is 7.70% percent lower than the 12 months
ended in July, 2008 which inflated at a rate of 5.60%. The fall in inflation rates
from June to July indicates that the short term inflation trend has been down. If
that trend continues, we should see an inflation rate for the 12 months ended in
August, 2009 that is close to -2.77%.
The US Inflation Rate one year ago was 5.60%. Over the last year it was
-2.10%. The average rate over the last 10 years was 2.67%. Lower inflation
over the last 12 months compared to the average inflation over the last 10
years serves as an indicator that the long term trend in the US Inflation Rate is
down. Inflation expectations should be adjusted accordingly.
Our historical research covers US Inflation Rate data back to January, 1922.
The average annual inflation rate during that period of history was 2.97%. The
highest rate was 19.67%. The lowest rate was -11.05%. The high was attained
in the 12 months ended in March of 1947. The low was achieved in the 12
months ended in January of 1922. Recent rates experienced in the 12 months
ended in July of 2009 are low relative to the historical 2.97% average.
This page provides a five year chart and a forecast for the US Inflation Rate.
For links to longer term charts, look at the links under the five year chart
(above). One link opens a ten year chart. Another opens our longest term
graph on the US Inflation Rate. Just one glance at our long term charts can
provide tremendous insight into the historical trends of the financial markets.
The data table above presents the history of US Inflation Rates in numerical
format.
The US Government's inflation economics policy attempts to control inflation.
High inflation and negative inflation (deflation) can have damaging effects on
the economy.
June, 2009 Data:
The forecast for the US Inflation Rate is in the table at the top of this page. We
are forecasting that US Inflation Rates will be roughly 1.59% over the next year.
The table shows a HDTFA of 0.53% which suggests that US currency inflation
for the 12 months ending July, 2010 could easily fall between 2.13% and
1.06%. Links to Forecasts for many other economic indicators may be found on
the left side of this page.
The annual US Inflation Rate for the 12 months ended in June, 2009 was
-1.43%. That's 0.15% percent lower than the 12 months ended in May, 2009
which inflated at a rate of -1.28%. It is 6.45% percent lower than the 12 months
ended in June, 2008 which inflated at a rate of 5.02%. The fall in inflation rates
from May to June provides evidence that the short term inflation trend is down.
If that trend continues, we should see an inflation rate for the 12 months ended
in July, 2009 that is close to -1.57%.
The US Inflation Rate one year ago was 5.02%. Over the last year it was
-1.43%. The average rate over the last 10 years was 2.70%. Lower inflation
over the last 12 months compared to the average inflation over the last 10
years serves as an indicator that the long term trend in the US Inflation Rate is
down. Inflation expectations should be adjusted accordingly.
Our historical research covers US Inflation Rate data back to January, 1922.
The average annual inflation rate during that period of history was 2.97%. The
highest rate was 19.67%. The lowest rate was -11.05%. The high was attained
in the 12 months ended in March of 1947. The low was achieved in the 12
months ended in January of 1922. Recent rates experienced in the 12 months
ended in June of 2009 are low relative to the historical 2.97% average.
This page provides a five year chart and a forecast for the US Inflation Rate.
For links to longer term charts, look at the links under the five year chart
(above). One link opens a ten year chart. Another opens our longest term
graph on the US Inflation Rate. Just one glance at our long term charts can
provide tremendous insight into the historical trends of the financial markets.
The data table below presents the history of the US Inflation Rate in numerical
format.
The US Government's inflation economics policy attempts to control inflation.
High inflation and negative inflation (deflation) can have damaging effects on
the economy.
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