| . |
| HDTFA: Historical Data Test Forecast Accuracy |
Historical Data Test Forecast Accuracy (HDTFA)
represents the average accuracy of the forecasting
methods when tested against historical data.
For example, a HDTFA of .5% for an interest rate
forecast suggests that interest rates will be, on average,
within .5% of the forecast. So, an interest rate forecast of
10% with a HDTFA of .5% suggests that rates will, on
average, be between 9.5% and 10.5% during the target
month. (10% - .5% = 9.5%; 10% + .5% = 10.5%)
represents the average accuracy of the forecasting
methods when tested against historical data.
For example, a HDTFA of .5% for an interest rate
forecast suggests that interest rates will be, on average,
within .5% of the forecast. So, an interest rate forecast of
10% with a HDTFA of .5% suggests that rates will, on
average, be between 9.5% and 10.5% during the target
month. (10% - .5% = 9.5%; 10% + .5% = 10.5%)
| ______________________________________________________________________________ Search Report a Problem with this Page Site Map Contact us Privacy Policy Terms of Use/Disclosure SignalTrend Inc. 2008 - 2015, All Rights Reserved |
