Oxnard, CA - House Price Index (HPI) - 32 Year Chart
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Oxnard Real Estate Market Forecast
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The House Price Index (HPI) shows changes in Oxnard-Thousand Oaks-Ventura, CA single family
home prices in logarithmic scale. The March, 1995 index value equals 100. Updated Friday,
December 28, 2012. See real estate forecasts, analysis, statistics and appreciation rates below.
Oxnard Real Estate Market: Trend, Analysis & Statistics
1/75 1/1980 1/1985 1/1990 1/1995 1/2000 1/2005 1/2010 1/15
Commentary 13366
4th Quarter, 2012 Housing Statistics: Oxnard, California
Part 1: HOUSING MARKET FORECAST
12 Month Forecast: UP
Forecast Accuracy: 83%
Forecast-Chart.com publishes forecasts for the trend in home prices in 380
Metropolitan Statistical Areas. The House Price Trend will be either UP or
DOWN. The forecast for the trend in the Oxnard housing market for the 12
months ending with the 4th Quarter of 2013 is UP. The Accuracy of the Trend
Forecast for Oxnard is 83%. In other words, when tested against historical data,
the forecasting methodology was correct 83% of the time. Accordingly,
Forecast-Chart.com estimates that the probability for rising house prices in
Oxnard is 83% during this period. If this Housing Market Forecast is correct,
home prices will be higher in the 4th Quarter of 2013 than they were in the 4th
Quarter of 2012. Check this page each quarter for updates to the Oxnard Real
Estate Market Forecast.
3 Year Forecast: UP
Forecast Accuracy: 82%
The forecast for the trend in the Oxnard housing market for the 3 years ending
with the 4th Quarter of 2015 is UP. The Accuracy of the Trend Forecast for
Oxnard is 82%. In other words, when tested against historical data, the
forecasting methodology was correct 82% of the time. Accordingly,
Forecast-Chart.com estimates that the probability for rising house prices in
Oxnard is 82% during this period. If this Housing Market Forecast is correct,
home values will be higher in the 4th Quarter of 2015 than they were in the 4th
Quarter of 2012. Check this page each quarter for updates to the Oxnard Real
Estate Market Forecast.
Part 2: MARKET SUMMARY
4th Quarter, 2012 Housing Data: Oxnard, California
Historical Home Price Appreciation
Last Quarter 1.45%
Last Year 1.5%
Last 5 Years -27%
Last 10 Years 15%
Last 20 Years 86%
Decline From All Time High 36.28%
Annual Home Price Appreciation Rates
1983 4.35%
1984 5.26%
1985 6.10%
1986 9.38%
1987 15.02%
1988 27.55%
1989 14.98%
1990 -4.89%
1991 -2.91%
1992 -3.96%
1993 -5.38%
1994 -4.73%
1995 2.83%
1996 -0.55%
1997 4.20%
1998 8.74%
1999 10.04%
2000 11.29%
2001 9.24%
2002 15.43%
2003 18.52%
2004 26.20%
2005 17.19%
2006 0.56%
2007 -10.16%
2008 -20.71%
2009 -3.07%
2010 -1.11%
2011 -5.80%
2012 1.49%
Real Estate Appreciation, Rank & Percentile
Last Quarter 1.45% Rank: 78 of 381 (79th Percentile)
Last Year . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 1.5% Rank: 108 of 381 (71st Percentile)
Last 5 Years -27% Rank: 323 of 381 (15th Percentile)
Last 10 Years . . . . . . . . . . . . 15% Rank: 221 of 381 (42nd Percentile)
Last 20 Years 86% Rank: 141 of 368 (61st Percentile)
Decline From All Time High 36.28%
Home Price appreciation rates for Oxnard-Thousand Oaks-Ventura, CA are
shown above for five time periods. For example: Oxnard appreciated 1.45% in
the Last Quarter. At that rate, the Oxnard Real Estate Market was ranked 78th
out of 381 metropolitan areas for Real Estate Appreciation. Oxnard was in the
79th percentile. So Oxnard, CA performed better in the Last Quarter than 79%
of the 381 metropolitan areas covered in Forecast-Chart.com.
Part 3: MARKET HIGHLIGHTS
4th Quarter, 2012 Housing Statistics: Oxnard, California
The data and analysis on this page pertains to Oxnard-Thousand
Oaks-Ventura, CA, hereinafter referred to as "Oxnard". The all time high in the
Oxnard Home Price Index was 324.0 in the 2nd Quarter, of 2006. The 4th
Quarter, 2012 index value was 206.5. That's a decline of 117.54 points or
36.28% below the Oxnard Home Price Index all time high. The Home Price
Index indicates that the Oxnard Market is up 15% over the last 10 years. Home
prices in the Oxnard Real Estate Market have gained 1.49% over the last 12
months. Over the last thirty years, it is up 254%.
The 4th Quarter index value was 2.95 points higher than the 3rd Quarter, 2012
index value of 203.52, resulting in a 1.45% rise in the 4th Quarter for the
Oxnard Market.
The Oxnard Home Price Index has increased for the last 2 consecutive
quarters. The current record holder for consecutive increases in the Home
Price Index is Bismarck, ND, with increases in the last 11 consecutive quarters.
The current record holder for consecutive declines in the Home Price Index is
Tallahassee, FL, with declines in the last 5 consecutive quarters.
The highest annual home appreciation rate in the Oxnard Real Estate Market
was 33% in the twelve months ended with the 3rd Quarter of 2004. The worst
annual home appreciation rate in the Oxnard Market was -22% in the twelve
months ended with the 3rd Quarter of 2008.
The highest home appreciation in the Oxnard Real Estate Market over a three
year period was 78% in the three years ended with the 2nd Quarter of 1979.
The worst home appreciation over a three year period in the Oxnard Market
was -33% in the three years ended with the 2nd Quarter of 2009.
This page provides a long term graph of the Oxnard Home Price Index (above).
For information about California home values, look at the links under that chart.
One link opens a forecast for home appreciation rates in the state of California.
Another link opens the home price index chart for California. Just one glance at
Forecast-Chart.com's long term charts can provide tremendous insight into the
historical trends of residential property values. Bookmark this page! Then
Forecast-Chart.com's detailed research and statistics about Oxnard Home
Prices will be at your fingertips when you need them.
Historical data on the Oxnard Home Price Index is available back to the 2nd
Quarter, of 1976. All calculations are based on the quarterly value of the House
Price Index for the Oxnard Market. The terms House Price Index and Home
Price Index, as used in this site, refer to the Federal Housing Finance Agency
(FHFA) House Price Index.
Significant time is required to research quarterly sales price and appraisal data
from mortgage transactions in the Oxnard Real Estate Market and hundreds of
other cities. As a result, Home Price data is not available for a number of
months after the end of each quarter.
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