Are You Unemployed?
A note of encouragement from the Editor:
After my son turned sixteen, I told him it was time to get a job. It was summer
and jobs were hard to find. The unemployment rate was about 6% at the time.
But the unemployment rate for teenagers was 19.5%! The summer is the
hardest time of the year for a teenager to find a job. The kids who held the jobs
during the school year want more hours, since school is out and they have
more time on their hands. There is also an increase in applications from the
students who didn't work during the school year but want a summer job. The
outlook for a first time summer job was dismal. On a Monday, I told my 16
year old to apply for ten jobs every day until he got one. He said he couldn't
come up with ten places to apply.
He applied for ten jobs per day for five days. He received a job on...
Click Here for the rest of the story.
Commentary 12189
March, 2013 Data:
The forecast for the US unemployment rate is in the table at the top of this
page. Forecast-Chart.com is forecasting that National Unemployment Rates will
be roughly 7.83% over the next year. The table shows a HDTFA of 1.36% which
suggests that US unemployment for the 12 months ending April, 2014 could
easily fall between 9.19% and 6.48%. Links to Forecasts for many other
economic indicators may be found by clicking the Economic Forecast link at the
top of this page.
Annual Unemployment Rates
Last Month 7.6%
Last Year . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 7.9%
Last 5 Years 8.5%
Last 10 Years . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 6.8%
Last 20 Years 6.0%
Historical Unemployment Rate: Highs & Lows
High (Last 12 Months) 8.6% (July, 2012)
Low (Last 12 Months) 7.4% (November, 2012)
High (Since January, 1948) 10.8% (November, 1982)
Low (Since January, 1948) 2.5% (May, 1953)
The annual US unemployment rate in March, 2013 was 7.60%. That's 0.50%
percent lower than the February, 2013 unemployment rate of 8.10%. It is 0.80%
percent lower than the March, 2012 unemployment rate of 8.40%. The fall in
unemployment rates from February to March indicates that the short term
unemployment rate trend has been down. If that trend continues, we should see
an unemployment rate in April, 2013 that is close to 7.10%.
The National Unemployment Rate one year ago was 8.40%. The average rate
over the last year was 7.93%. The average rate over the last 10 years was
6.79%. Higher rates over the last 12 months compared to the average rates
over the last 10 years serve as an indicator that the long term trend in the US
unemployment rate is up. Unemployment rate expectations should be adjusted
accordingly.
Forecast-Chart.com's historical research covers US unemployment rate data
back to January, 1948. The average annual unemployment rate during that
period of history was 5.81%. The highest rate was 10.80%. The lowest rate was
2.50%. The high was attained in November of 1982. The low was achieved in
May of 1953. Recent rates experienced in March of 2013 are high relative to
the historical 5.81% average.
This page provides a five year chart and a twelve month forecast for US
unemployment rates. For links to more information on US unemployment rates,
look at the links under the five year chart (above). One link opens a ten year
chart. Another opens a sixty year graph of the National Unemployment Rate.
UNEMPLOYMENT RATES BY AGE AND SEX
(Not Seasonally Adjusted)
Unemployment Rates: Males 20 Years & Over
2012-04 7.4%
2012-05 7.5%
2012-06 7.5%
2012-07 7.4%
2012-08 7.2%
2012-09 6.9%
2012-10 6.8%
2012-11 6.8%
2012-12 7.3%
2013-01 8.4%
2013-02 7.9%
2013-03 7.5%
Unemployment Rates: Females 20 Years & Over
2012-04 6.9%
2012-05 7.1%
2012-06 7.6%
2012-07 8.2%
2012-08 7.9%
2012-09 7.1%
2012-10 7.1%
2012-11 6.7%
2012-12 6.9%
2013-01 7.4%
2013-02 7.0%
2013-03 6.7%
Unemployment Rates: Teenagers (16-19)
2012-04 23.2%
2012-05 24.4%
2012-06 26.5%
2012-07 24.5%
2012-08 24.0%
2012-09 23.8%
2012-10 23.5%
2012-11 23.0%
2012-12 22.0%
2013-01 24.2%
2013-02 25.1%
2013-03 23.3%
Unemployment Rates: Total U. S.
2012-04 7.7%
2012-05 7.9%
2012-06 8.4%
2012-07 8.6%
2012-08 8.2%
2012-09 7.6%
2012-10 7.5%
2012-11 7.4%
2012-12 7.6%
2013-01 8.5%
2013-02 8.1%
2013-03 7.6%
UNEMPLOYMENT RATES: States in ALPHABETICAL ORDER
March, 2012, Seasonally Adjusted
7.2% Alabama
6.2% Alaska
7.9% Arizona
7.2% Arkansas
9.4% California
7.1% Colorado
8.0% Connecticut
7.3% Delaware
8.5% District Of Columbia
7.5% Florida
8.4% Georgia
5.1% Hawaii
6.2% Idaho
9.5% Illinois
8.7% Indiana
4.9% Iowa
5.6% Kansas
8.0% Kentucky
6.2% Louisiana
7.1% Maine
6.6% Maryland
6.4% Massachusetts
8.5% Michigan
5.4% Minnesota
9.4% Mississippi
6.7% Missouri
5.6% Montana
3.8% Nebraska
9.7% Nevada
5.7% New Hampshire
9.0% New Jersey
6.9% New Mexico
8.2% New York
9.2% North Carolina
3.3% North Dakota
7.1% Ohio
5.0% Oklahoma
8.2% Oregon
7.9% Pennsylvania
9.1% Rhode Island
8.4% South Carolina
4.3% South Dakota
7.9% Tennessee
6.4% Texas
4.9% Utah
4.1% Vermont
5.3% Virginia
7.3% Washington
7.0% West Virginia
7.1% Wisconsin
4.9% Wyoming
STATE UNEMPLOYMENT RATES: Lowest to Highest
March, 2012, Seasonally Adjusted
3.3% North Dakota
3.8% Nebraska
4.1% Vermont
4.3% South Dakota
4.9% Iowa
4.9% Utah
4.9% Wyoming
5.0% Oklahoma
5.1% Hawaii
5.3% Virginia
5.4% Minnesota
5.6% Kansas
5.6% Montana
5.7% New Hampshire
6.2% Alaska
6.2% Idaho
6.2% Louisiana
6.4% Massachusetts
6.4% Texas
6.6% Maryland
6.7% Missouri
6.9% New Mexico
7.0% West Virginia
7.1% Colorado
7.1% Maine
7.1% Ohio
7.1% Wisconsin
7.2% Alabama
7.2% Arkansas
7.3% Delaware
7.3% Washington
7.5% Florida
7.9% Arizona
7.9% Pennsylvania
7.9% Tennessee
8.0% Connecticut
8.0% Kentucky
8.2% New York
8.2% Oregon
8.4% Georgia
8.4% South Carolina
8.5% District Of Columbia
8.5% Michigan
8.7% Indiana
9.0% New Jersey
9.1% Rhode Island
9.2% North Carolina
9.4% California
9.4% Mississippi
9.5% Illinois
9.7% Nevada
Monthly US National Unemployment rate is plotted in gray. The forecast for the target month is shown
in green. Other links related to this economic indicator are below.
US National Unemployment rate - 5 Year History
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US National Unemployment rate Forecast
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Forecast for US National Unemployment rate for the target month indicated. Measurement is in Percent (not seasonally adjusted).
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Updated Tuesday, May 7, 2013.
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US Unemployment Rate Forecast
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1948 1949 1950 1951 1952 1953 1954 1955 1956 1957 1958 1959 1960 1961 1962 1963 1964 1965 1966 1967
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3.8 6.1 5.2 3.3 3.0 2.9 5.6 4.4 4.1 4.3 6.8 5.5 5.5 6.7 5.6 5.6 5.2 4.5 3.8 3.8
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1968 1969 1970 1971 1972 1973 1974 1975 1976 1977 1978 1979 1980 1981 1982 1983 1984 1985 1986 1987
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3.6 3.5 5.0 6.0 5.6 4.9 5.6 8.5 7.7 7.1 6.1 5.9 7.2 7.6 9.7 9.6 7.5 7.2 7.0 6.2
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1988 1989 1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007
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5.5 5.3 5.6 6.9 7.5 6.9 6.1 5.6 5.4 4.9 4.5 4.2 4.0 4.7 5.8 6.0 5.5 5.1 4.6 4.6
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2008 2009 2010 2011 2012
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5.8 9.3 9.6 9.0 8.1
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Average US Unemployment Rate is shown in this table: 1948 to present
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Current Unemployment Rate News:
Forecasts, charts and analysis...
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