2 Year Treasury Note Yield Forecast (US T-Note Interest Rate)

Market Commentary 30774
February, 2019 Data:

12 MONTH FORECAST
The 12 month forecast for the 2 Year Treasury Interest Rate is in the table at
the top of this page. Forecast-Chart.com is forecasting that 2 Year US T-Note
Yields will be roughly 2.53% in one year. The table shows a HDTFA of 0.86%
which suggests that the March, 2020 rate could easily fall between 3.39% and
1.66%. Forecasts for many other interest rates may be found by clicking
INTEREST RATE FORECAST at the top of this page.

HISTORICAL 2 YEAR TREASURY RATE
Average (Last 12 Months)        2.60%.
Average (Last 10 Years)          0.89%
High (Last 12 Months)             2.86% (October, 2018)
Low (Last 12 Months)              2.28% (March, 2018)
High (Since June, 1976)    16.46% (September, 1981)
Low (Since June, 1976)      0.21% (September, 2011)

MONTHLY 2 YEAR TREASURY RATE
Mar, 2018     2.28%
Apr, 2018     2.38%
May, 2018     2.51%
Jun, 2018     2.53%
Jul,   2018     2.61%
Aug, 2018     2.64%
Sep, 2018     2.77%
Oct, 2018     2.86%
Nov, 2018     2.86%
Dec, 2018     2.68%
Jan, 2019     2.54%
Feb, 2019     2.50%

HIGHLIGHTS
The 2 Year Treasury Yield for February, 2019 averaged 2.5%. That's 4 basis
points lower than the January, 2019 rate of 2.54%, and 32 basis points higher
than the February, 2018 rate of 2.18%. The fall in rates from January to
February indicates that the short term rate trend has been down. If that market
trend continues, we should see an average daily rate in March, 2019 that is
close to 2.46%.

The average 2 Year Treasury Rate for the last 12 months was 2.60%. The
average rate over the last 10 years was 0.89%. Higher rates over the last 12
months compared to the average rates over the last 10 years serve as an
indicator that the long term rate trend in 2 Year Treasury Rates is up.

The highest annual rate over the last 12 months was 2.86%. The lowest was
2.28%. The high annual rate was attained in October, 2018. The market low
was achieved in March, 2018.

Forecast-Chart.com's historical research covers 2 Year Treasury Rate data
back to June, 1976. The average annual rate during that period of history was
5.35%. The highest rate was 16.46%. The lowest rate was 0.21%. The market
high was attained in September of 1981. The market low was achieved in
September of 2011. Recent rates experienced in February of 2019 are low
relative to the historical 5.35% average.

This page provides a five year chart and a forecast for 2 Year Treasury Interest
Rates. For links to longer term charts, look at the links under the five year chart
(above). One link opens a ten year chart. Another opens our longest term
graph on 2 Year US T-Note Yields. Just one glance at our long term charts can
provide tremendous insight into the historical trends of the financial markets.
The data table above presents the history of the 2 Year Treasury Note Yield in
numerical format.

Data Source: Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (US), 2-Year
Treasury Constant Maturity Rate [GS2], retrieved from FRED, Federal Reserve
Bank of St. Louis; https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/GS2

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