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Market Commentary  26278
September, 2017 Data:

12 MONTH FORECAST
The 12 month forecast for the 2 Year Treasury Interest Rate is in the table at
the top of this page. Forecast-Chart.com is forecasting that 2 Year US T-Note
Yields will be roughly 1.39% in one year. The table shows a HDTFA of 0.43%
which suggests that the October, 2018 rate could easily fall between 1.83% and
0.96%. Forecasts for many other interest rates may be found by clicking
INTEREST RATE FORECAST at the top of this page.

HISTORICAL 2 YEAR TREASURY RATE
Average (Last 12 Months)        1.23%.
Average (Last 10 Years)          0.85%
High (Last 12 Months)             1.38% (September, 2017)
Low (Last 12 Months)              0.84% (October, 2016)
High (Since June, 1976)    16.46% (September, 1981)
Low (Since June, 1976)      0.21% (September, 2011)

MONTHLY 2 YEAR TREASURY RATE
Oct, 2016     0.84%
Nov, 2016     0.98%
Dec, 2016     1.20%
Jan,  2017     1.21%
Feb, 2017     1.20%
Mar, 2017     1.31%
Apr,  2017     1.24%
May, 2017     1.30%
Jun,  2017     1.34%
Jul,   2017     1.37%
Aug, 2017     1.34%
Sep, 2017     1.38%
























HIGHLIGHTS
The 2 Year Treasury Yield for September, 2017 averaged 1.38%. That's 4
basis points higher than the August, 2017 rate of 1.34%, and 61 basis points
higher than the September, 2016 rate of 0.77%.  The rise in rates from August
to September indicates that the short term rate trend has been up. If that
market trend continues, we should see an average daily rate in October, 2017
that is close to 1.42%.

The average 2 Year Treasury Rate for the last 12 months was 1.23%. The
average rate over the last 10 years was 0.85%.  Higher rates over the last 12
months compared to the average rates over the last 10 years serve as an
indicator that the long term rate trend in 2 Year Treasury Rates is up.

The highest annual rate over the last 12 months was 1.38%. The lowest was
0.84%. The high annual rate was attained in September, 2017. The market low
was achieved in October, 2016.

Forecast-Chart.com's historical research covers 2 Year Treasury Rate data
back to June, 1976. The average annual rate during that period of history was
5.45%. The highest rate was 16.46%. The lowest rate was 0.21%.  The market
high was attained in September of 1981. The market low was achieved in
September of 2011. Recent rates experienced in September of 2017 are low
relative to the historical 5.45% average.

This page provides a five year chart and a forecast for 2 Year Treasury Interest
Rates. For links to longer term charts, look at the links under the five year chart
(above). One link opens a ten year chart. Another opens our longest term
graph on 2 Year US T-Note Yields. Just one glance at our long term charts can
provide tremendous insight into the historical trends of the financial markets.
The data table above presents the history of the 2 Year Treasury Note Yield in
numerical format.











Source: Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (US), 2-Year
Treasury Constant Maturity Rate [GS2], retrieved from FRED, Federal Reserve
Bank of St. Louis; https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/GS2

SignalTrend  Inc. 2008 - 2017; All rights reserved.


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Average daily rate per month for 2 year treasury rates is shown in gray.  The forecast for the  target
month is shown in green.
2 Year Treasury Rate (T Note Yield) - 5 Year History
2 Year Treasury Note Interest Rate Forecast
Target Month
Forecast
HDTFA
Forecast for the average daily interest rate for
the 2 year treasury note during the target
month shown at the left.
Oct 2018
1.39%
.43%
Updated Tuesday, Oct 10, 2017.
2 Year Treasury Note Yield Forecast (US T-Note Interest Rate)
0%
1%
2%
3%
4%
5%
6%
2 Year Treasury Rate Forecast
Compare US Interest Rates
Historical 2 Year US Treasury Interest Rates
Year
Percent
Year
Percent
Year
Percent
Year
Percent
1977
1978
1979
1980
1981
1982
1983
1984
1985
1986
6.45
8.34
10.13
11.77
14.56
12.80
10.21
11.65
9.27
6.87
1987
1988
1989
1990
1991
1992
1993
1994
1995
1996
7.41
8.10
8.58
8.16
6.49
4.77
4.05
5.94
6.16
5.84
1997
1998
1999
2000
2001
2002
2003
2004
2005
2006
5.99
5.13
5.43
6.26
3.82
2.64
1.65
2.38
3.85
4.82
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
2015
2016
4.36
2.00
0.96
0.70
0.45
0.28
0.31
0.46
0.69
0.84
Average annual rates for the 2 Year Treasury are shown in this table: 1977 to present
Current Analysis & Forecast: 2 Year Treasury Note Yield
1/14
1/2015
1/2016
1/2017
1/2018
1/2019
1/2020
1/21