| __________________________________________ |
| 13000 |
| 15000 |
| 17000 |
Monthly close for the Nikkei 225 Stock Index is plotted in gray. The forecast for the target month is
shown in green. See other links related to this stock index below.
shown in green. See other links related to this stock index below.
| Nikkei 225 Stock Index - 5 Year History |
| |||||||||||||||||||||||
| Nikkei 225 Index Forecast |
| 11000 |
| 9000 |
| 19000 |
| 7000 |
| |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Market Commentary 4815
August, 2010 Data:
Part 1
SUMMARY
All Time High 38424 (May, 1990)
August, 2010 close 8824
Decline From All Time High 77%
10 Year Return -49%
5 Year Low 8110 (March, 2009)
Gain From 5 Year Low 9%
Part 2
MARKET HIGHLIGHTS
The 12 month forecast for the Nikkei 225 Index is in the table at the top of this
page. ForecastChart.com is forecasting a Nikkei 225 Stock Index of 8019. The
table shows a HDTFA of 1570 which suggests that the September, 2011 Nikkei
225 could easily close anywhere between 9589 and 6449. Links to Forecasts
for twenty-two other stock indexes may be found on the right side of this page.
The highest all time monthly close in the Nikkei 225 Index was 38424 in May, of
1990. The August, 2010 close was 8824. That's a decline of 29600 points or
77% below the Nikkei 225 Stock Index all time high. The Nikkei 225 Index is
down 49% over the last 10 years. It has lost 16% over the last 12 months.
The August close was 713.24 points lower than the July, 2010 close of 9537,
resulting in a 7.48% decline for August.
The 5 year market low for the Nikkei 225 Stock Index was 8110 in March of
2009. The August, 2010 close at 8824.06 represents a 9% gain since March,
2009.
ForecastChart.com's historical research covers the Nikkei 225 back to
September, 1984. All calculations are based on the monthly market close in the
Nikkei 225 Index, excluding dividends.
This page provides a five year chart and a forecast for the Nikkei 225 Stock
Index. For links to longer term charts, look at the links under the five year chart
(above). One link opens a ten year chart. Another opens our longest term
graph on the Nikkei 225 Index. Just one glance at our long term charts can
provide tremendous insight into the historical trends of the financial markets.
The table above presents historical data on the Nikkei 225 Stock Index
categorized by the months of the calendar.
Part 3
ROLLING RETURNS, 1984 - 2010: Nikkei 225 Index
Rolling Period Last / Percentile Best / Average / Worst
1 Year -16% / 27th 57% / 3% / -42%
2 Year -33% / 16th 110% / 5% / -55%
4 Year -45% / 4th 200% / 10% / -52%
8 Year -17% / 59th 84% / -16% / -59%
16 Year -56% / 20th 71% / -36% / -64%
How do you read the table?
For example: Rolling 2 year period returns are shown on the second row. In the
latest rolling 2 year period, (9/2008 - 8/2010), the Nikkei 225 Index returned
-33%. That period scored in the 16th percentile, meaning that it scored better
than 16% of all rolling 2 years periods since 1984. The Best rolling 2 Year
period since 1984 returned 110%. The worst returned -55%. The average
rolling 2 year period returned 5%.
What is a rolling period?
It's an overlapping period in a data base. For example: In the 2 year period
included in 2000 - 2001, there are 13 complete rolling 12 Month Periods. The
first is January, 2000 - December, 2000. The second is February, 2000 -
January, 2001. The third is March, 2000 - February, 2001 and so on. The last
complete rolling 12 Month Period in the 2000 - 2001 period is January, 2001 -
December, 2001.
How is this information useful?
Best and worst case scenarios may be estimated based on historical facts.
Also, the relationship of the periods is sometimes very helpful. Suppose that the
worst rolling 8 year period in the last 50 years returned -30%. Suppose also
that the latest 4 year period has returned -50%. Market psychology at this point
may be one of great fear or possibly even panic. If the market stays flat for 4
more years, it will break the 8 year decline record by a whopping 20%! (-50%
minus -30% equals -20%.) 50 plus year records are not often broken. That
provides reason to hope that the market will recover that 20% over the next 4
years. If it does, then the 8 year loss will be 30%. The longest index histories
are found in the DJIA, FTSE 100 with FT 30, DJTA, DJUA, S&P 500, & NASDAQ
100
The number of periods in each category for the Nikkei 225 Index are as follows:
1 Year: 301
2 Year: 289
4 Year: 265
8 Year: 217
16 Year: 121
Dividends are not included.
Market Commentary 4739
July, 2010 Data:
Part 1
SUMMARY
All Time High 38424 (May, 1990)
July, 2010 close 9537
Decline From All Time High 75%
10 Year Return -41%
5 Year Low 8110 (March, 2009)
Gain From 5 Year Low 18%
Part 2
MARKET HIGHLIGHTS
The 12 month forecast for the Nikkei 225 Index is in the table at the top of this
page. ForecastChart.com is forecasting a Nikkei 225 Stock Index of 9029. The
table shows a HDTFA of 1766 which suggests that the August, 2011 Nikkei 225
could easily close anywhere between 10795 and 7263. Links to Forecasts for
twenty-two other stock indexes may be found on the right side of this page.
The highest all time monthly close in the Nikkei 225 Index was 38424 in May, of
1990. The July, 2010 close was 9537. That's a decline of 28887 points or 75%
below the Nikkei 225 Stock Index all time high. The Nikkei 225 Index is down
41% over the last 10 years. It has lost 8% over the last 12 months.
The July close was 154.66 points higher than the June, 2010 close of 9383,
resulting in a 1.65% rise in July.
The 5 year market low for the Nikkei 225 Stock Index was 8110 in March of
2009. The July, 2010 close at 9537.3 represents a 18% gain since March, 2009.
ForecastChart.com's historical research covers the Nikkei 225 back to
September, 1984. All calculations are based on the monthly market close in the
Nikkei 225 Index, excluding dividends.
This page provides a five year chart and a forecast for the Nikkei 225 Stock
Index. For links to longer term charts, look at the links under the five year chart
(above). One link opens a ten year chart. Another opens our longest term
graph on the Nikkei 225 Index. Just one glance at our long term charts can
provide tremendous insight into the historical trends of the financial markets.
The table above presents historical data on the Nikkei 225 Stock Index
categorized by the months of the calendar.
Part 3
ROLLING RETURNS, 1984 - 2010: Nikkei 225 Index
Rolling Period Last / Percentile Best / Average / Worst
1 Year -8% / 38th 57% / 3% / -42%
2 Year -29% / 23rd 110% / 5% / -55%
4 Year -36% / 22nd 200% / 10% / -52%
8 Year -16% / 61st 84% / -16% / -59%
16 Year -51% / 36th 71% / -36% / -64%
How do you read the table?
For example: Rolling 2 year period returns are shown on the second row. In the
latest rolling 2 year period, (8/2008 - 7/2010), the Nikkei 225 Index returned
-29%. That period scored in the 23rd percentile, meaning that it scored better
than 23% of all rolling 2 years periods since 1984. The Best rolling 2 Year
period since 1984 returned 110%. The worst returned -55%. The average
rolling 2 year period returned 5%.
What is a rolling period?
It's an overlapping period in a data base. For example: In the 2 year period
included in 2000 - 2001, there are 13 complete rolling 12 Month Periods. The
first is January, 2000 - December, 2000. The second is February, 2000 -
January, 2001. The third is March, 2000 - February, 2001 and so on. The last
complete rolling 12 Month Period in the 2000 - 2001 period is January, 2001 -
December, 2001.
How is this information useful?
Best and worst case scenarios may be estimated based on historical facts.
Also, the relationship of the periods is sometimes very helpful. Suppose that the
worst rolling 8 year period in the last 50 years returned -30%. Suppose also
that the latest 4 year period has returned -50%. Market psychology at this point
may be one of great fear or possibly even panic. If the market stays flat for 4
more years, it will break the 8 year decline record by a whopping 20%! (-50%
minus -30% equals -20%.) 50 plus year records are not often broken. That
provides reason to hope that the market will recover that 20% over the next 4
years. If it does, then the 8 year loss will be 30%. The longest index histories
are found in the DJIA, FTSE 100 with FT 30, DJTA, DJUA, S&P 500, & NASDAQ
100
The number of periods in each category for the Nikkei 225 Index are as follows:
1 Year: 300
2 Year: 288
4 Year: 264
8 Year: 216
16 Year: 120
Dividends are not included.
Market Commentary 4129
June, 2010 Data:
Part 1
SUMMARY
All Time High 38424 (May, 1990)
June, 2010 close 9383
Decline From All Time High 76%
10 Year Return -48%
5 Year Low 8110 (March, 2009)
Gain From 5 Year Low 16%
Part 2
MARKET HIGHLIGHTS
The 12 month forecast for the Nikkei 225 Index is in the table at the top of this
page. ForecastChart.com is forecasting a Nikkei 225 Stock Index of 8690. The
table shows a HDTFA of 1704 which suggests that the July, 2011 Nikkei 225
could easily close anywhere between 10393 and 6986. Links to Forecasts for
twenty-two other stock indexes may be found on the right side of this page.
The highest all time monthly close in the Nikkei 225 Index was 38424 in May, of
1990. The June, 2010 close was 9383. That's a decline of 29041 points or 76%
below the Nikkei 225 Stock Index all time high. The Nikkei 225 Index is down
48% over the last 10 years. It has lost 6% over the last 12 months.
The June close was 386.06 points lower than the May, 2010 close of 9769,
resulting in a 3.95% decline for June.
The 5 year market low for the Nikkei 225 Stock Index was 8110 in March of
2009. The June, 2010 close at 9382.64 represents a 16% gain since March,
2009.
ForecastChart.com's historical research covers the Nikkei 225 back to
September, 1984. All calculations are based on the monthly market close in the
Nikkei 225 Index, excluding dividends.
This page provides a five year chart and a forecast for the Nikkei 225 Stock
Index. For links to longer term charts, look at the links under the five year chart
(above). One link opens a ten year chart. Another opens our longest term
graph on the Nikkei 225 Index. Just one glance at our long term charts can
provide tremendous insight into the historical trends of the financial markets.
The table above presents historical data on the Nikkei 225 Stock Index
categorized by the months of the calendar.
Part 3
ROLLING RETURNS, 1984 - 2010: Nikkei 225 Index
Rolling Period Last / Percentile Best / Average / Worst
1 Year -6% / 41st 57% / 3% / -42%
2 Year -30% / 20th 110% / 6% / -55%
4 Year -37% / 20th 200% / 10% / -52%
8 Year -17% / 59th 84% / -16% / -59%
16 Year -53% / 31st 71% / -36% / -64%
How do you read the table?
For example: Rolling 2 year period returns are shown on the second row. In the
latest rolling 2 year period, (7/2008 - 6/2010), the Nikkei 225 Index returned
-30%. That period scored in the 20th percentile, meaning that it scored better
than 20% of all rolling 2 years periods since 1984. The Best rolling 2 Year
period since 1984 returned 110%. The worst returned -55%. The average
rolling 2 year period returned 6%.
What is a rolling period?
It's an overlapping period in a data base. For example: In the 2 year period
included in 2000 - 2001, there are 13 complete rolling 12 Month Periods. The
first is January, 2000 - December, 2000. The second is February, 2000 -
January, 2001. The third is March, 2000 - February, 2001 and so on. The last
complete rolling 12 Month Period in the 2000 - 2001 period is January, 2001 -
December, 2001.
How is this information useful?
Best and worst case scenarios may be estimated based on historical facts.
Also, the relationship of the periods is sometimes very helpful. Suppose that the
worst rolling 8 year period in the last 50 years returned -30%. Suppose also
that the latest 4 year period has returned -50%. Market psychology at this point
may be one of great fear or possibly even panic. If the market stays flat for 4
more years, it will break the 8 year decline record by a whopping 20%! (-50%
minus -30% equals -20%.) 50 plus year records are not often broken. That
provides reason to hope that the market will recover that 20% over the next 4
years. If it does, then the 8 year loss will be 30%. The longest index histories
are found in the DJIA, FTSE 100 with FT 30, DJTA, DJUA, S&P 500, & NASDAQ
100
The number of periods in each category for the Nikkei 225 Index are as follows:
1 Year: 299
2 Year: 287
4 Year: 263
8 Year: 215
16 Year: 119
Dividends are not included.
Market Commentary 4053
May, 2010 Data:
Part 1
SUMMARY
All Time High 38424 (May, 1990)
May, 2010 close 9769
Decline From All Time High 75%
10 Year Return -52%
5 Year Low 8110 (March, 2009)
Gain From 5 Year Low 20%
Part 2
MARKET HIGHLIGHTS
The 12 month forecast for the Nikkei 225 Index is in the table at the top of this
page. ForecastChart.com is forecasting a Nikkei 225 Stock Index of 8906. The
table shows a HDTFA of 1755 which suggests that the June, 2011 Nikkei 225
could easily close anywhere between 10661 and 7152. Links to Forecasts for
twenty-two other stock indexes may be found on the right side of this page.
The highest all time monthly close in the Nikkei 225 Index was 38424 in May, of
1990. The May, 2010 close was 9769. That's a decline of 28655 points or 75%
below the Nikkei 225 Stock Index all time high. The Nikkei 225 Index is down
52% over the last 10 years. It has gained 3% over the last 12 months.
The May close was 1288.70 points lower than the April, 2010 close of 11057,
resulting in a 11.65% decline for May.
The 5 year market low for the Nikkei 225 Stock Index was 8110 in March of
2009. The May, 2010 close at 9768.7 represents a 20% gain since March,
2009.
ForecastChart.com's historical research covers the Nikkei 225 back to
September, 1984. All calculations are based on the monthly market close in the
Nikkei 225 Index, excluding dividends.
This page provides a five year chart and a forecast for the Nikkei 225 Stock
Index. For links to longer term charts, look at the links under the five year chart
(above). One link opens a ten year chart. Another opens our longest term
graph on the Nikkei 225 Index. Just one glance at our long term charts can
provide tremendous insight into the historical trends of the financial markets.
The table above presents historical data on the Nikkei 225 Stock Index
categorized by the months of the calendar.
Part 3
ROLLING RETURNS, 1984 - 2010: Nikkei 225 Index
Rolling Period Last / Percentile Best / Average / Worst
1 Year 3% / 50th 57% / 3% / -42%
2 Year -32% / 17th 110% / 6% / -55%
4 Year -40% / 12th 200% / 10% / -52%
8 Year -13% / 63rd 84% / -16% / -59%
16 Year -52% / 35th 71% / -35% / -64%
How do you read the table?
For example: Rolling 2 year period returns are shown on the second row. In the
latest rolling 2 year period, (6/2008 - 5/2010), the Nikkei 225 Index returned
-32%. That period scored in the 17th percentile, meaning that it scored better
than 17% of all rolling 2 years periods since 1984. The Best rolling 2 Year
period since 1984 returned 110%. The worst returned -55%. The average
rolling 2 year period returned 6%.
What is a rolling period?
It's an overlapping period in a data base. For example: In the 2 year period
included in 2000 - 2001, there are 13 complete rolling 12 Month Periods. The
first is January, 2000 - December, 2000. The second is February, 2000 -
January, 2001. The third is March, 2000 - February, 2001 and so on. The last
complete rolling 12 Month Period in the 2000 - 2001 period is January, 2001 -
December, 2001.
How is this information useful?
Best and worst case scenarios may be estimated based on historical facts.
Also, the relationship of the periods is sometimes very helpful. Suppose that the
worst rolling 8 year period in the last 50 years returned -30%. Suppose also
that the latest 4 year period has returned -50%. Market psychology at this point
may be one of great fear or possibly even panic. If the market stays flat for 4
more years, it will break the 8 year decline record by a whopping 20%! (-50%
minus -30% equals -20%.) 50 plus year records are not often broken. That
provides reason to hope that the market will recover that 20% over the next 4
years. If it does, then the 8 year loss will be 30%. The longest index histories
are found in the DJIA, FTSE 100 with FT 30, DJTA, DJUA, S&P 500, & NASDAQ
100
The number of periods in each category for the Nikkei 225 Index are as follows:
1 Year: 298
2 Year: 286
4 Year: 262
8 Year: 214
16 Year: 118
Dividends are not included.
Market Commentary 3977
April, 2010 Data:
Part 1
SUMMARY
All Time High 38424 (May, 1990)
April, 2010 close 11057
Decline From All Time High 71%
10 Year Return -44%
5 Year Low 8110 (March, 2009)
Gain From 5 Year Low 36%
Part 2
MARKET HIGHLIGHTS
The 12 month forecast for the Nikkei 225 Index is in the table at the top of this
page. ForecastChart.com is forecasting a Nikkei 225 Stock Index of 9967. The
table shows a HDTFA of 1969 which suggests that the May, 2011 Nikkei 225
could easily close anywhere between 11936 and 7998. Links to Forecasts for
twenty-two other stock indexes may be found on the right side of this page.
The highest all time monthly close in the Nikkei 225 Index was 38424 in May, of
1990. The April, 2010 close was 11057. That's a decline of 27367 points or
71% below the Nikkei 225 Stock Index all time high. The Nikkei 225 Index is
down 44% over the last 10 years. It has gained 25% over the last 12 months.
The April close was 32.54 points lower than the March, 2010 close of 11090,
resulting in a 0.29% decline for April.
The 5 year market low for the Nikkei 225 Stock Index was 8110 in March of
2009. The April, 2010 close at 11057.4 represents a 36% gain since March,
2009.
ForecastChart.com's historical research covers the Nikkei 225 back to
September, 1984. All calculations are based on the monthly market close in the
Nikkei 225 Index, excluding dividends.
This page provides a five year chart and a forecast for the Nikkei 225 Stock
Index. For links to longer term charts, look at the links under the five year chart
(above). One link opens a ten year chart. Another opens our longest term
graph on the Nikkei 225 Index. Just one glance at our long term charts can
provide tremendous insight into the historical trends of the financial markets.
The table above presents historical data on the Nikkei 225 Stock Index
categorized by the months of the calendar.
Part 3
ROLLING RETURNS, 1984 - 2010: Nikkei 225 Index
Rolling Period Last / Percentile Best / Average / Worst
1 Year 25% / 81st 57% / 3% / -42%
2 Year -20% / 30th 110% / 6% / -55%
4 Year -36% / 22nd 200% / 10% / -52%
8 Year -7% / 70th 84% / -16% / -59%
16 Year -36% / 64th 71% / -35% / -64%
How do you read the table?
For example: Rolling 2 year period returns are shown on the second row. In the
latest rolling 2 year period, (5/2008 - 4/2010), the Nikkei 225 Index returned
-20%. That period scored in the 30th percentile, meaning that it scored better
than 30% of all rolling 2 years periods since 1984. The Best rolling 2 Year
period since 1984 returned 110%. The worst returned -55%. The average
rolling 2 year period returned 6%.
What is a rolling period?
It's an overlapping period in a data base. For example: In the 2 year period
included in 2000 - 2001, there are 13 complete rolling 12 Month Periods. The
first is January, 2000 - December, 2000. The second is February, 2000 -
January, 2001. The third is March, 2000 - February, 2001 and so on. The last
complete rolling 12 Month Period in the 2000 - 2001 period is January, 2001 -
December, 2001.
How is this information useful?
Best and worst case scenarios may be estimated based on historical facts.
Also, the relationship of the periods is sometimes very helpful. Suppose that the
worst rolling 8 year period in the last 50 years returned -30%. Suppose also
that the latest 4 year period has returned -50%. Market psychology at this point
may be one of panic. If the market stays flat for 4 more years, it will break the 8
year decline record by a whopping 20%! (-50% minus -30% equals -20%.) 50
plus year records are not often broken. That provides reason to hope that the
market will recover that 20% over the next 4 years. If it does, then the 8 year
loss will be 30%. The longest index histories are found in the DJIA, FTSE 100
with FT 30, DJTA, DJUA, S&P 500, & NASDAQ 100
The number of periods in each category for the Nikkei 225 Index are as follows:
1 Year: 297
2 Year: 285
4 Year: 261
8 Year: 213
16 Year: 117
Dividends are not included.
Market Commentary 3367
March, 2010 Data:
The 12 month forecast for the Nikkei 225 Index is in the table at the top of this
page. ForecastChart.com is forecasting a Nikkei 225 Stock Index of 10754. The
table shows a HDTFA of 2117 which suggests that the April, 2011 Nikkei 225
could easily close anywhere between 12871 and 8637. Links to Forecasts for
twenty-two other stock indexes may be found on the right side of this page.
The highest all time monthly close in the Nikkei 225 Index was 38424 in May, of
1990. The March, 2010 close was 11090. That's a decline of 27334 points or
71% below the Nikkei 225 Stock Index all time high. The Nikkei 225 Index is
down 42% over the last 10 years. It has gained 37% over the last 12 months.
The March close was 963.91 points higher than the February, 2010 close of
10126, resulting in a 9.52% rise in March.
The 5 year market low for the Nikkei 225 Stock Index was 8110 in March of
2009. The March, 2010 close at 11089.94 represents a 37% gain since March,
2009.
ForecastChart.com's historical research covers the Nikkei 225 back to
September, 1984. All calculations are based on the monthly market close in the
Nikkei 225 Index, excluding dividends.
This page provides a five year chart and a forecast for the Nikkei 225 Stock
Index. For links to longer term charts, look at the links under the five year chart
(above). One link opens a ten year chart. Another opens our longest term
graph on the Nikkei 225 Index. Just one glance at our long term charts can
provide tremendous insight into the historical trends of the financial markets.
The table above presents historical data on the Nikkei 225 Stock Index
categorized by the months of the calendar.
Market Commentary 3291
February, 2010 Data:
The 12 month forecast for the Nikkei 225 Index is in the table at the top of this
page. ForecastChart.com is forecasting a Nikkei 225 Stock Index of 9574. The
table shows a HDTFA of 1876 which suggests that the March, 2011 Nikkei 225
could easily close anywhere between 11450 and 7698. Links to Forecasts for
twenty-two other stock indexes may be found on the right side of this page.
The highest all time monthly close in the Nikkei 225 Index was 38424 in May, of
1990. The February, 2010 close was 10126. That's a decline of 28298 points
or 74% below the Nikkei 225 Stock Index all time high. The Nikkei 225 Index is
down 44% over the last 10 years. It has gained 25% over the last 12 months.
The February close was 72.01 points lower than the January, 2010 close of
10198, resulting in a 0.71% decline for February.
The 5 year market low for the Nikkei 225 Stock Index was 8110 in March of
2009. The February, 2010 close at 10126.03 represents a 25% gain since
March, 2009.
ForecastChart.com's historical research covers the Nikkei 225 back to
September, 1984. All calculations are based on the monthly market close in the
Nikkei 225 Index, excluding dividends.
This page provides a five year chart and a forecast for the Nikkei 225 Stock
Index. For links to longer term charts, look at the links under the five year chart
(above). One link opens a ten year chart. Another opens our longest term
graph on the Nikkei 225 Index. Just one glance at our long term charts can
provide tremendous insight into the historical trends of the financial markets.
The table above presents historical data on the Nikkei 225 Stock Index
categorized by the months of the calendar.
Commentary 3215
January, 2010 Data:
The 12 month forecast for the Nikkei 225 Index is in the table at the top of this
page. ForecastChart.com is forecasting a Nikkei 225 Stock Index of 9551. The
table shows a HDTFA of 1869 which suggests that the February, 2011 Nikkei
225 could easily close anywhere between 11419 and 7682. Links to Forecasts
for twenty-two other stock indexes may be found on the right side of this page.
The highest all time monthly close in the Nikkei 225 Index was 38424 in May, of
1990. The January, 2010 close was 10198. That's a decline of 28226 points or
73% below the Nikkei 225 Stock Index all time high. The Nikkei 225 Index is
down 46% over the last 10 years. It has gained 17% over the last 12 months.
The January close was 348.40 points lower than the December, 2009 close of
10546, resulting in a 3.30% decline for January.
The 5 year low for the Nikkei 225 Stock Index was 8110 in March of 2009. The
January, 2010 close at 10198.04 represents a 26% gain since March, 2009.
ForecastChart.com's historical research covers the Nikkei 225 back to
September, 1984. All calculations are based on the monthly close in the Nikkei
225 Index, excluding dividends.
This page provides a five year chart and a forecast for the Nikkei 225 Stock
Index. For links to longer term charts, look at the links under the five year chart
(above). One link opens a ten year chart. Another opens our longest term
graph on the Nikkei 225 Index. Just one glance at our long term charts can
provide tremendous insight into the historical trends of the financial markets.
The table above presents historical data on the Nikkei 225 Stock Index
categorized by the months of the calendar.
Commentary 2224
December, 2009 Data:
The 12 month forecast for the Nikkei 225 Index is in the table at the top of this
page. We are forecasting a Nikkei 225 Stock Index of 9874. The table shows a
HDTFA of 1930 which suggests that the January, 2011 Nikkei 225 could easily
close anywhere between 11805 and 7944. Links to Forecasts for twenty-two
other stock indexes may be found on the right side of this page.
The highest all time monthly close in the Nikkei 225 Index was 38424 in May, of
1990. The December, 2009 close was 10546. That's a decline of 27878 points
or 73% below the Nikkei 225 Stock Index all time high. The Nikkei 225 Index is
down 40% over the last 10 years. It has gained 17% over the last 12 months.
The December close was 1200.89 points higher than the November, 2009 close
of 9346, resulting in a 12.85% rise in December.
The 5 year low for the Nikkei 225 Stock Index was 8110 in March of 2009. The
December, 2009 close at 10546.44 represents a 30% gain since March, 2009.
ForecastChart.com's historical research covers the Nikkei 225 back to
September, 1984. All calculations are based on the monthly close in the Nikkei
225 Index, excluding dividends.
This page provides a five year chart and a forecast for the Nikkei 225 Stock
Index. For links to longer term charts, look at the links under the five year chart
(above). One link opens a ten year chart. Another opens our longest term
graph on the Nikkei 225 Index. Just one glance at our long term charts can
provide tremendous insight into the historical trends of the financial markets.
The table above presents historical data on the Nikkei 225 Stock Index
categorized by the months of the calendar.
Commentary 2148
November, 2009 Data:
The 12 month forecast for the Nikkei 225 Index is in the table at the top of this
page. We are forecasting a Nikkei 225 Stock Index of 8481. The table shows a
HDTFA of 1660 which suggests that the December, 2010 Nikkei 225 could
easily close anywhere between 10142 and 6821. Links to Forecasts for
twenty-two other stock indexes may be found on the right side of this page.
The highest all time monthly close in the Nikkei 225 Index was 38424 in May, of
1990. The November, 2009 close was 9346. That's a decline of 29078 points or
76% below the Nikkei 225 Stock Index all time high. The Nikkei 225 Index is
down 47% over the last 10 years. It has gained 1% over the last 12 months.
The November close was 689.19 points lower than the October, 2009 close of
10035, resulting in a 6.87% decline for November.
The 5 year low for the Nikkei 225 Stock Index was 8110 in March of 2009. The
November, 2009 close at 9345.55 represents a 15% gain since March, 2009.
Our historical research covers the Nikkei 225 back to September, 1984. All
calculations are based on the monthly close in the Nikkei 225 Index, excluding
dividends.
This page provides a five year chart and a forecast for the Nikkei 225 Stock
Index. For links to longer term charts, look at the links under the five year chart
(above). One link opens a ten year chart. Another opens our longest term
graph on the Nikkei 225 Index. Just one glance at our long term charts can
provide tremendous insight into the historical trends of the financial markets.
The table above presents historical data on the Nikkei 225 Stock Index
categorized by the months of the calendar.
Commentary 2072
October, 2009 Data:
The 12 month forecast for the Nikkei 225 Index is in the table at the top of this
page. We are forecasting a Nikkei 225 Stock Index of 9031. The table shows a
HDTFA of 1784 which suggests that the November, 2010 Nikkei 225 could
easily close anywhere between 10815 and 7248. Links to Forecasts for
twenty-two other stock indexes may be found on the right side of this page.
The highest all time monthly close in the Nikkei 225 Index was 38424 in May, of
1990. The October, 2009 close was 10035. That's a decline of 28389 points or
74% below the Nikkei 225 Stock Index all time high. The Nikkei 225 Index is
down 44% over the last 10 years. It has gained 3% over the last 12 months.
The October close was 98.49 points lower than the September, 2009 close of
10133, resulting in a 0.97% decline for October.
The 5 year low for the Nikkei 225 Stock Index was 8110 in March of 2009. The
October, 2009 close at 10034.74 represents a 24% gain since March, 2009.
Our historical research covers the Nikkei 225 back to September, 1984. All
calculations are based on the monthly close in the Nikkei 225 Index, excluding
dividends.
This page provides a five year chart and a forecast for the Nikkei 225 Stock
Index. For links to longer term charts, look at the links under the five year chart
(above). One link opens a ten year chart. Another opens our longest term
graph on the Nikkei 225 Index. Just one glance at our long term charts can
provide tremendous insight into the historical trends of the financial markets.
The table above presents historical data on the Nikkei 225 Stock Index
categorized by the months of the calendar.
Commentary 1081
September, 2009 Data:
The 12 month forecast for the Nikkei 225 Index is in the table at the top of this
page. We are forecasting a Nikkei 225 Stock Index of 9049. The table shows a
HDTFA of 1800 which suggests that the October, 2010 Nikkei 225 could easily
close anywhere between 10849 and 7249. Links to Forecasts for twenty-two
other stock indexes may be found on the right side of this page.
The highest all time monthly close in the Nikkei 225 Index was 38424 in May, of
1990. The September, 2009 close was 10133. That's a decline of 28291 points
or 74% below the Nikkei 225 Stock Index all time high. The Nikkei 225 Index is
down 44% over the last 10 years. It has lost 14% over the last 12 months.
The September close was 359.30 points lower than the August, 2009 close of
10493, resulting in a 3.42% decline for September.
The 5 year low for the Nikkei 225 Stock Index was 8110 in March of 2009. The
September, 2009 close at 10133.23 represents a 25% gain since March, 2009.
Our historical research covers the Nikkei 225 back to September, 1984. All
calculations are based on the monthly close in the Nikkei 225 Index, excluding
dividends.
This page provides a five year chart and a forecast for the Nikkei 225 Stock
Index. For links to longer term charts, look at the links under the five year chart
(above). One link opens a ten year chart. Another opens our longest term
graph on the Nikkei 225 Index. Just one glance at our long term charts can
provide tremendous insight into the historical trends of the financial markets.
The table above presents historical data on the Nikkei 225 Stock Index
categorized by the months of the calendar.
Commentary 1005
August, 2009 Data:
The 12 month forecast for the Nikkei 225 Index is in the table at the top of this
page. We are forecasting a Nikkei 225 Stock Index of 9430. The table shows a
HDTFA of 1881 which suggests that the September, 2010 Nikkei 225 could
easily close anywhere between 11312 and 7549. Links to Forecasts for
twenty-two other stock indexes may be found on the right side of this page.
The highest all time monthly close in the Nikkei 225 Index was 38424 in May, of
1990. The August, 2009 close was 10493. That's a decline of 27931 points or
73% below the Nikkei 225 Stock Index all time high. The Nikkei 225 Index is
down 41% over the last 10 years. It has lost 20% over the last 12 months.
The August close was 135.70 points higher than the July, 2009 close of 10357,
resulting in a 1.31% rise in August.
The 5 year low for the Nikkei 225 Stock Index was 8110 in March of 2009. The
August, 2009 close at 10492.53 represents a 29% gain since March, 2009.
Our historical research covers the Nikkei 225 back to September, 1984. All
calculations are based on the monthly close in the Nikkei 225 Index, excluding
dividends.
This page provides a five year chart and a forecast for the Nikkei 225 Stock
Index. For links to longer term charts, look at the links under the five year chart
(above). One link opens a ten year chart. Another opens our longest term
graph on the Nikkei 225 Index. Just one glance at our long term charts can
provide tremendous insight into the historical trends of the financial markets.
The table above presents historical data on the Nikkei 225 Stock Index
categorized by the months of the calendar.
Commentary 929
July, 2009 Data:
The 12 month forecast for the Nikkei 225 Index is in the table at the top of this
page. We are forecasting a Nikkei 225 Stock Index of 9513. The table shows a
HDTFA of 1908 which suggests that the August, 2010 Nikkei 225 could easily
close anywhere between 11421 and 7605. Links to Forecasts for twenty-two
other stock indexes may be found on the right side of this page.
The highest all time monthly close in the Nikkei 225 Index was 38424 in May, of
1990. The July, 2009 close was 10357. That's a decline of 28067 points or 73%
below the Nikkei 225 Stock Index all time high. The Nikkei 225 Index is down
36% over the last 10 years. It has lost 23% over the last 12 months.
The July close was 398.39 points higher than the June, 2009 close of 9958,
resulting in a 4.00% rise in July.
The 5 year low for the Nikkei 225 Stock Index was 8110 in March of 2009. The
July, 2009 close at 10356.83 represents a 28% gain since March, 2009.
Our historical research covers the Nikkei 225 back to September, 1984. All
calculations are based on the monthly close in the Nikkei 225 Index, excluding
dividends.
This page provides a five year chart and a forecast for the Nikkei 225 Stock
Index. For links to longer term charts, look at the links under the five year chart
(above). One link opens a ten year chart. Another opens our longest term
graph on the Nikkei 225 Index. Just one glance at our long term charts can
provide tremendous insight into the historical trends of the financial markets.
The table above presents historical data on the Nikkei 225 Stock Index
categorized by the months of the calendar.
June, 2009 Data:
The 12 month forecast for the Nikkei 225 Index is in the table at the top of this
page. We are forecasting a Nikkei 225 Stock Index of 9278. The table shows a
HDTFA of 1859 which suggests that the July, 2010 Nikkei 225 could easily close
anywhere between 11137 and 7419. Links to Forecasts for twenty-two other
stock indexes may be found on the right side of this page.
The highest all time monthly close in the Nikkei 225 Index was 38424 in May, of
1990. The June, 2009 close was 9958. That's a decline of 28466 points or 74%
below the Nikkei 225 Stock Index all time high. The Nikkei 225 Index is down
40% over the last 10 years. It has lost 26% over the last 12 months.
The June close was 435.94 points higher than the May, 2009 close of 9523,
resulting in a 4.58% rise in June.
The 5 year low for the Nikkei 225 Stock Index was 8110 in March of 2009. The
June, 2009 close at 9958.44 represents a 23% gain since March, 2009.
Our historical research covers the Nikkei 225 back to August, 1984. All
calculations are based on the monthly close in the Nikkei 225 Index, excluding
dividends.
This page provides a five year chart and a forecast for the Nikkei 225 Stock
Index. For links to longer term charts, look at the links under the five year chart
(above). One link opens a ten year chart. Another opens our longest term
graph on the Nikkei 225 Index. Just one glance at our long term charts can
provide tremendous insight into the historical trends of the financial markets.
The table below presents historical data on the Nikkei 225 Stock Index
categorized by the months of the calendar.
_____________________________________________________________
Home About Search 1000 Charts Report a Problem with this Page
Site Map Contact Us Privacy Policy Terms of Use/Disclosure
SignalTrend Inc. 2008 - 2009, All Rights Reserved
August, 2010 Data:
Part 1
SUMMARY
All Time High 38424 (May, 1990)
August, 2010 close 8824
Decline From All Time High 77%
10 Year Return -49%
5 Year Low 8110 (March, 2009)
Gain From 5 Year Low 9%
Part 2
MARKET HIGHLIGHTS
The 12 month forecast for the Nikkei 225 Index is in the table at the top of this
page. ForecastChart.com is forecasting a Nikkei 225 Stock Index of 8019. The
table shows a HDTFA of 1570 which suggests that the September, 2011 Nikkei
225 could easily close anywhere between 9589 and 6449. Links to Forecasts
for twenty-two other stock indexes may be found on the right side of this page.
The highest all time monthly close in the Nikkei 225 Index was 38424 in May, of
1990. The August, 2010 close was 8824. That's a decline of 29600 points or
77% below the Nikkei 225 Stock Index all time high. The Nikkei 225 Index is
down 49% over the last 10 years. It has lost 16% over the last 12 months.
The August close was 713.24 points lower than the July, 2010 close of 9537,
resulting in a 7.48% decline for August.
The 5 year market low for the Nikkei 225 Stock Index was 8110 in March of
2009. The August, 2010 close at 8824.06 represents a 9% gain since March,
2009.
ForecastChart.com's historical research covers the Nikkei 225 back to
September, 1984. All calculations are based on the monthly market close in the
Nikkei 225 Index, excluding dividends.
This page provides a five year chart and a forecast for the Nikkei 225 Stock
Index. For links to longer term charts, look at the links under the five year chart
(above). One link opens a ten year chart. Another opens our longest term
graph on the Nikkei 225 Index. Just one glance at our long term charts can
provide tremendous insight into the historical trends of the financial markets.
The table above presents historical data on the Nikkei 225 Stock Index
categorized by the months of the calendar.
Part 3
ROLLING RETURNS, 1984 - 2010: Nikkei 225 Index
Rolling Period Last / Percentile Best / Average / Worst
1 Year -16% / 27th 57% / 3% / -42%
2 Year -33% / 16th 110% / 5% / -55%
4 Year -45% / 4th 200% / 10% / -52%
8 Year -17% / 59th 84% / -16% / -59%
16 Year -56% / 20th 71% / -36% / -64%
How do you read the table?
For example: Rolling 2 year period returns are shown on the second row. In the
latest rolling 2 year period, (9/2008 - 8/2010), the Nikkei 225 Index returned
-33%. That period scored in the 16th percentile, meaning that it scored better
than 16% of all rolling 2 years periods since 1984. The Best rolling 2 Year
period since 1984 returned 110%. The worst returned -55%. The average
rolling 2 year period returned 5%.
What is a rolling period?
It's an overlapping period in a data base. For example: In the 2 year period
included in 2000 - 2001, there are 13 complete rolling 12 Month Periods. The
first is January, 2000 - December, 2000. The second is February, 2000 -
January, 2001. The third is March, 2000 - February, 2001 and so on. The last
complete rolling 12 Month Period in the 2000 - 2001 period is January, 2001 -
December, 2001.
How is this information useful?
Best and worst case scenarios may be estimated based on historical facts.
Also, the relationship of the periods is sometimes very helpful. Suppose that the
worst rolling 8 year period in the last 50 years returned -30%. Suppose also
that the latest 4 year period has returned -50%. Market psychology at this point
may be one of great fear or possibly even panic. If the market stays flat for 4
more years, it will break the 8 year decline record by a whopping 20%! (-50%
minus -30% equals -20%.) 50 plus year records are not often broken. That
provides reason to hope that the market will recover that 20% over the next 4
years. If it does, then the 8 year loss will be 30%. The longest index histories
are found in the DJIA, FTSE 100 with FT 30, DJTA, DJUA, S&P 500, & NASDAQ
100
The number of periods in each category for the Nikkei 225 Index are as follows:
1 Year: 301
2 Year: 289
4 Year: 265
8 Year: 217
16 Year: 121
Dividends are not included.
Market Commentary 4739
July, 2010 Data:
Part 1
SUMMARY
All Time High 38424 (May, 1990)
July, 2010 close 9537
Decline From All Time High 75%
10 Year Return -41%
5 Year Low 8110 (March, 2009)
Gain From 5 Year Low 18%
Part 2
MARKET HIGHLIGHTS
The 12 month forecast for the Nikkei 225 Index is in the table at the top of this
page. ForecastChart.com is forecasting a Nikkei 225 Stock Index of 9029. The
table shows a HDTFA of 1766 which suggests that the August, 2011 Nikkei 225
could easily close anywhere between 10795 and 7263. Links to Forecasts for
twenty-two other stock indexes may be found on the right side of this page.
The highest all time monthly close in the Nikkei 225 Index was 38424 in May, of
1990. The July, 2010 close was 9537. That's a decline of 28887 points or 75%
below the Nikkei 225 Stock Index all time high. The Nikkei 225 Index is down
41% over the last 10 years. It has lost 8% over the last 12 months.
The July close was 154.66 points higher than the June, 2010 close of 9383,
resulting in a 1.65% rise in July.
The 5 year market low for the Nikkei 225 Stock Index was 8110 in March of
2009. The July, 2010 close at 9537.3 represents a 18% gain since March, 2009.
ForecastChart.com's historical research covers the Nikkei 225 back to
September, 1984. All calculations are based on the monthly market close in the
Nikkei 225 Index, excluding dividends.
This page provides a five year chart and a forecast for the Nikkei 225 Stock
Index. For links to longer term charts, look at the links under the five year chart
(above). One link opens a ten year chart. Another opens our longest term
graph on the Nikkei 225 Index. Just one glance at our long term charts can
provide tremendous insight into the historical trends of the financial markets.
The table above presents historical data on the Nikkei 225 Stock Index
categorized by the months of the calendar.
Part 3
ROLLING RETURNS, 1984 - 2010: Nikkei 225 Index
Rolling Period Last / Percentile Best / Average / Worst
1 Year -8% / 38th 57% / 3% / -42%
2 Year -29% / 23rd 110% / 5% / -55%
4 Year -36% / 22nd 200% / 10% / -52%
8 Year -16% / 61st 84% / -16% / -59%
16 Year -51% / 36th 71% / -36% / -64%
How do you read the table?
For example: Rolling 2 year period returns are shown on the second row. In the
latest rolling 2 year period, (8/2008 - 7/2010), the Nikkei 225 Index returned
-29%. That period scored in the 23rd percentile, meaning that it scored better
than 23% of all rolling 2 years periods since 1984. The Best rolling 2 Year
period since 1984 returned 110%. The worst returned -55%. The average
rolling 2 year period returned 5%.
What is a rolling period?
It's an overlapping period in a data base. For example: In the 2 year period
included in 2000 - 2001, there are 13 complete rolling 12 Month Periods. The
first is January, 2000 - December, 2000. The second is February, 2000 -
January, 2001. The third is March, 2000 - February, 2001 and so on. The last
complete rolling 12 Month Period in the 2000 - 2001 period is January, 2001 -
December, 2001.
How is this information useful?
Best and worst case scenarios may be estimated based on historical facts.
Also, the relationship of the periods is sometimes very helpful. Suppose that the
worst rolling 8 year period in the last 50 years returned -30%. Suppose also
that the latest 4 year period has returned -50%. Market psychology at this point
may be one of great fear or possibly even panic. If the market stays flat for 4
more years, it will break the 8 year decline record by a whopping 20%! (-50%
minus -30% equals -20%.) 50 plus year records are not often broken. That
provides reason to hope that the market will recover that 20% over the next 4
years. If it does, then the 8 year loss will be 30%. The longest index histories
are found in the DJIA, FTSE 100 with FT 30, DJTA, DJUA, S&P 500, & NASDAQ
100
The number of periods in each category for the Nikkei 225 Index are as follows:
1 Year: 300
2 Year: 288
4 Year: 264
8 Year: 216
16 Year: 120
Dividends are not included.
Market Commentary 4129
June, 2010 Data:
Part 1
SUMMARY
All Time High 38424 (May, 1990)
June, 2010 close 9383
Decline From All Time High 76%
10 Year Return -48%
5 Year Low 8110 (March, 2009)
Gain From 5 Year Low 16%
Part 2
MARKET HIGHLIGHTS
The 12 month forecast for the Nikkei 225 Index is in the table at the top of this
page. ForecastChart.com is forecasting a Nikkei 225 Stock Index of 8690. The
table shows a HDTFA of 1704 which suggests that the July, 2011 Nikkei 225
could easily close anywhere between 10393 and 6986. Links to Forecasts for
twenty-two other stock indexes may be found on the right side of this page.
The highest all time monthly close in the Nikkei 225 Index was 38424 in May, of
1990. The June, 2010 close was 9383. That's a decline of 29041 points or 76%
below the Nikkei 225 Stock Index all time high. The Nikkei 225 Index is down
48% over the last 10 years. It has lost 6% over the last 12 months.
The June close was 386.06 points lower than the May, 2010 close of 9769,
resulting in a 3.95% decline for June.
The 5 year market low for the Nikkei 225 Stock Index was 8110 in March of
2009. The June, 2010 close at 9382.64 represents a 16% gain since March,
2009.
ForecastChart.com's historical research covers the Nikkei 225 back to
September, 1984. All calculations are based on the monthly market close in the
Nikkei 225 Index, excluding dividends.
This page provides a five year chart and a forecast for the Nikkei 225 Stock
Index. For links to longer term charts, look at the links under the five year chart
(above). One link opens a ten year chart. Another opens our longest term
graph on the Nikkei 225 Index. Just one glance at our long term charts can
provide tremendous insight into the historical trends of the financial markets.
The table above presents historical data on the Nikkei 225 Stock Index
categorized by the months of the calendar.
Part 3
ROLLING RETURNS, 1984 - 2010: Nikkei 225 Index
Rolling Period Last / Percentile Best / Average / Worst
1 Year -6% / 41st 57% / 3% / -42%
2 Year -30% / 20th 110% / 6% / -55%
4 Year -37% / 20th 200% / 10% / -52%
8 Year -17% / 59th 84% / -16% / -59%
16 Year -53% / 31st 71% / -36% / -64%
How do you read the table?
For example: Rolling 2 year period returns are shown on the second row. In the
latest rolling 2 year period, (7/2008 - 6/2010), the Nikkei 225 Index returned
-30%. That period scored in the 20th percentile, meaning that it scored better
than 20% of all rolling 2 years periods since 1984. The Best rolling 2 Year
period since 1984 returned 110%. The worst returned -55%. The average
rolling 2 year period returned 6%.
What is a rolling period?
It's an overlapping period in a data base. For example: In the 2 year period
included in 2000 - 2001, there are 13 complete rolling 12 Month Periods. The
first is January, 2000 - December, 2000. The second is February, 2000 -
January, 2001. The third is March, 2000 - February, 2001 and so on. The last
complete rolling 12 Month Period in the 2000 - 2001 period is January, 2001 -
December, 2001.
How is this information useful?
Best and worst case scenarios may be estimated based on historical facts.
Also, the relationship of the periods is sometimes very helpful. Suppose that the
worst rolling 8 year period in the last 50 years returned -30%. Suppose also
that the latest 4 year period has returned -50%. Market psychology at this point
may be one of great fear or possibly even panic. If the market stays flat for 4
more years, it will break the 8 year decline record by a whopping 20%! (-50%
minus -30% equals -20%.) 50 plus year records are not often broken. That
provides reason to hope that the market will recover that 20% over the next 4
years. If it does, then the 8 year loss will be 30%. The longest index histories
are found in the DJIA, FTSE 100 with FT 30, DJTA, DJUA, S&P 500, & NASDAQ
100
The number of periods in each category for the Nikkei 225 Index are as follows:
1 Year: 299
2 Year: 287
4 Year: 263
8 Year: 215
16 Year: 119
Dividends are not included.
Market Commentary 4053
May, 2010 Data:
Part 1
SUMMARY
All Time High 38424 (May, 1990)
May, 2010 close 9769
Decline From All Time High 75%
10 Year Return -52%
5 Year Low 8110 (March, 2009)
Gain From 5 Year Low 20%
Part 2
MARKET HIGHLIGHTS
The 12 month forecast for the Nikkei 225 Index is in the table at the top of this
page. ForecastChart.com is forecasting a Nikkei 225 Stock Index of 8906. The
table shows a HDTFA of 1755 which suggests that the June, 2011 Nikkei 225
could easily close anywhere between 10661 and 7152. Links to Forecasts for
twenty-two other stock indexes may be found on the right side of this page.
The highest all time monthly close in the Nikkei 225 Index was 38424 in May, of
1990. The May, 2010 close was 9769. That's a decline of 28655 points or 75%
below the Nikkei 225 Stock Index all time high. The Nikkei 225 Index is down
52% over the last 10 years. It has gained 3% over the last 12 months.
The May close was 1288.70 points lower than the April, 2010 close of 11057,
resulting in a 11.65% decline for May.
The 5 year market low for the Nikkei 225 Stock Index was 8110 in March of
2009. The May, 2010 close at 9768.7 represents a 20% gain since March,
2009.
ForecastChart.com's historical research covers the Nikkei 225 back to
September, 1984. All calculations are based on the monthly market close in the
Nikkei 225 Index, excluding dividends.
This page provides a five year chart and a forecast for the Nikkei 225 Stock
Index. For links to longer term charts, look at the links under the five year chart
(above). One link opens a ten year chart. Another opens our longest term
graph on the Nikkei 225 Index. Just one glance at our long term charts can
provide tremendous insight into the historical trends of the financial markets.
The table above presents historical data on the Nikkei 225 Stock Index
categorized by the months of the calendar.
Part 3
ROLLING RETURNS, 1984 - 2010: Nikkei 225 Index
Rolling Period Last / Percentile Best / Average / Worst
1 Year 3% / 50th 57% / 3% / -42%
2 Year -32% / 17th 110% / 6% / -55%
4 Year -40% / 12th 200% / 10% / -52%
8 Year -13% / 63rd 84% / -16% / -59%
16 Year -52% / 35th 71% / -35% / -64%
How do you read the table?
For example: Rolling 2 year period returns are shown on the second row. In the
latest rolling 2 year period, (6/2008 - 5/2010), the Nikkei 225 Index returned
-32%. That period scored in the 17th percentile, meaning that it scored better
than 17% of all rolling 2 years periods since 1984. The Best rolling 2 Year
period since 1984 returned 110%. The worst returned -55%. The average
rolling 2 year period returned 6%.
What is a rolling period?
It's an overlapping period in a data base. For example: In the 2 year period
included in 2000 - 2001, there are 13 complete rolling 12 Month Periods. The
first is January, 2000 - December, 2000. The second is February, 2000 -
January, 2001. The third is March, 2000 - February, 2001 and so on. The last
complete rolling 12 Month Period in the 2000 - 2001 period is January, 2001 -
December, 2001.
How is this information useful?
Best and worst case scenarios may be estimated based on historical facts.
Also, the relationship of the periods is sometimes very helpful. Suppose that the
worst rolling 8 year period in the last 50 years returned -30%. Suppose also
that the latest 4 year period has returned -50%. Market psychology at this point
may be one of great fear or possibly even panic. If the market stays flat for 4
more years, it will break the 8 year decline record by a whopping 20%! (-50%
minus -30% equals -20%.) 50 plus year records are not often broken. That
provides reason to hope that the market will recover that 20% over the next 4
years. If it does, then the 8 year loss will be 30%. The longest index histories
are found in the DJIA, FTSE 100 with FT 30, DJTA, DJUA, S&P 500, & NASDAQ
100
The number of periods in each category for the Nikkei 225 Index are as follows:
1 Year: 298
2 Year: 286
4 Year: 262
8 Year: 214
16 Year: 118
Dividends are not included.
Market Commentary 3977
April, 2010 Data:
Part 1
SUMMARY
All Time High 38424 (May, 1990)
April, 2010 close 11057
Decline From All Time High 71%
10 Year Return -44%
5 Year Low 8110 (March, 2009)
Gain From 5 Year Low 36%
Part 2
MARKET HIGHLIGHTS
The 12 month forecast for the Nikkei 225 Index is in the table at the top of this
page. ForecastChart.com is forecasting a Nikkei 225 Stock Index of 9967. The
table shows a HDTFA of 1969 which suggests that the May, 2011 Nikkei 225
could easily close anywhere between 11936 and 7998. Links to Forecasts for
twenty-two other stock indexes may be found on the right side of this page.
The highest all time monthly close in the Nikkei 225 Index was 38424 in May, of
1990. The April, 2010 close was 11057. That's a decline of 27367 points or
71% below the Nikkei 225 Stock Index all time high. The Nikkei 225 Index is
down 44% over the last 10 years. It has gained 25% over the last 12 months.
The April close was 32.54 points lower than the March, 2010 close of 11090,
resulting in a 0.29% decline for April.
The 5 year market low for the Nikkei 225 Stock Index was 8110 in March of
2009. The April, 2010 close at 11057.4 represents a 36% gain since March,
2009.
ForecastChart.com's historical research covers the Nikkei 225 back to
September, 1984. All calculations are based on the monthly market close in the
Nikkei 225 Index, excluding dividends.
This page provides a five year chart and a forecast for the Nikkei 225 Stock
Index. For links to longer term charts, look at the links under the five year chart
(above). One link opens a ten year chart. Another opens our longest term
graph on the Nikkei 225 Index. Just one glance at our long term charts can
provide tremendous insight into the historical trends of the financial markets.
The table above presents historical data on the Nikkei 225 Stock Index
categorized by the months of the calendar.
Part 3
ROLLING RETURNS, 1984 - 2010: Nikkei 225 Index
Rolling Period Last / Percentile Best / Average / Worst
1 Year 25% / 81st 57% / 3% / -42%
2 Year -20% / 30th 110% / 6% / -55%
4 Year -36% / 22nd 200% / 10% / -52%
8 Year -7% / 70th 84% / -16% / -59%
16 Year -36% / 64th 71% / -35% / -64%
How do you read the table?
For example: Rolling 2 year period returns are shown on the second row. In the
latest rolling 2 year period, (5/2008 - 4/2010), the Nikkei 225 Index returned
-20%. That period scored in the 30th percentile, meaning that it scored better
than 30% of all rolling 2 years periods since 1984. The Best rolling 2 Year
period since 1984 returned 110%. The worst returned -55%. The average
rolling 2 year period returned 6%.
What is a rolling period?
It's an overlapping period in a data base. For example: In the 2 year period
included in 2000 - 2001, there are 13 complete rolling 12 Month Periods. The
first is January, 2000 - December, 2000. The second is February, 2000 -
January, 2001. The third is March, 2000 - February, 2001 and so on. The last
complete rolling 12 Month Period in the 2000 - 2001 period is January, 2001 -
December, 2001.
How is this information useful?
Best and worst case scenarios may be estimated based on historical facts.
Also, the relationship of the periods is sometimes very helpful. Suppose that the
worst rolling 8 year period in the last 50 years returned -30%. Suppose also
that the latest 4 year period has returned -50%. Market psychology at this point
may be one of panic. If the market stays flat for 4 more years, it will break the 8
year decline record by a whopping 20%! (-50% minus -30% equals -20%.) 50
plus year records are not often broken. That provides reason to hope that the
market will recover that 20% over the next 4 years. If it does, then the 8 year
loss will be 30%. The longest index histories are found in the DJIA, FTSE 100
with FT 30, DJTA, DJUA, S&P 500, & NASDAQ 100
The number of periods in each category for the Nikkei 225 Index are as follows:
1 Year: 297
2 Year: 285
4 Year: 261
8 Year: 213
16 Year: 117
Dividends are not included.
Market Commentary 3367
March, 2010 Data:
The 12 month forecast for the Nikkei 225 Index is in the table at the top of this
page. ForecastChart.com is forecasting a Nikkei 225 Stock Index of 10754. The
table shows a HDTFA of 2117 which suggests that the April, 2011 Nikkei 225
could easily close anywhere between 12871 and 8637. Links to Forecasts for
twenty-two other stock indexes may be found on the right side of this page.
The highest all time monthly close in the Nikkei 225 Index was 38424 in May, of
1990. The March, 2010 close was 11090. That's a decline of 27334 points or
71% below the Nikkei 225 Stock Index all time high. The Nikkei 225 Index is
down 42% over the last 10 years. It has gained 37% over the last 12 months.
The March close was 963.91 points higher than the February, 2010 close of
10126, resulting in a 9.52% rise in March.
The 5 year market low for the Nikkei 225 Stock Index was 8110 in March of
2009. The March, 2010 close at 11089.94 represents a 37% gain since March,
2009.
ForecastChart.com's historical research covers the Nikkei 225 back to
September, 1984. All calculations are based on the monthly market close in the
Nikkei 225 Index, excluding dividends.
This page provides a five year chart and a forecast for the Nikkei 225 Stock
Index. For links to longer term charts, look at the links under the five year chart
(above). One link opens a ten year chart. Another opens our longest term
graph on the Nikkei 225 Index. Just one glance at our long term charts can
provide tremendous insight into the historical trends of the financial markets.
The table above presents historical data on the Nikkei 225 Stock Index
categorized by the months of the calendar.
Market Commentary 3291
February, 2010 Data:
The 12 month forecast for the Nikkei 225 Index is in the table at the top of this
page. ForecastChart.com is forecasting a Nikkei 225 Stock Index of 9574. The
table shows a HDTFA of 1876 which suggests that the March, 2011 Nikkei 225
could easily close anywhere between 11450 and 7698. Links to Forecasts for
twenty-two other stock indexes may be found on the right side of this page.
The highest all time monthly close in the Nikkei 225 Index was 38424 in May, of
1990. The February, 2010 close was 10126. That's a decline of 28298 points
or 74% below the Nikkei 225 Stock Index all time high. The Nikkei 225 Index is
down 44% over the last 10 years. It has gained 25% over the last 12 months.
The February close was 72.01 points lower than the January, 2010 close of
10198, resulting in a 0.71% decline for February.
The 5 year market low for the Nikkei 225 Stock Index was 8110 in March of
2009. The February, 2010 close at 10126.03 represents a 25% gain since
March, 2009.
ForecastChart.com's historical research covers the Nikkei 225 back to
September, 1984. All calculations are based on the monthly market close in the
Nikkei 225 Index, excluding dividends.
This page provides a five year chart and a forecast for the Nikkei 225 Stock
Index. For links to longer term charts, look at the links under the five year chart
(above). One link opens a ten year chart. Another opens our longest term
graph on the Nikkei 225 Index. Just one glance at our long term charts can
provide tremendous insight into the historical trends of the financial markets.
The table above presents historical data on the Nikkei 225 Stock Index
categorized by the months of the calendar.
Commentary 3215
January, 2010 Data:
The 12 month forecast for the Nikkei 225 Index is in the table at the top of this
page. ForecastChart.com is forecasting a Nikkei 225 Stock Index of 9551. The
table shows a HDTFA of 1869 which suggests that the February, 2011 Nikkei
225 could easily close anywhere between 11419 and 7682. Links to Forecasts
for twenty-two other stock indexes may be found on the right side of this page.
The highest all time monthly close in the Nikkei 225 Index was 38424 in May, of
1990. The January, 2010 close was 10198. That's a decline of 28226 points or
73% below the Nikkei 225 Stock Index all time high. The Nikkei 225 Index is
down 46% over the last 10 years. It has gained 17% over the last 12 months.
The January close was 348.40 points lower than the December, 2009 close of
10546, resulting in a 3.30% decline for January.
The 5 year low for the Nikkei 225 Stock Index was 8110 in March of 2009. The
January, 2010 close at 10198.04 represents a 26% gain since March, 2009.
ForecastChart.com's historical research covers the Nikkei 225 back to
September, 1984. All calculations are based on the monthly close in the Nikkei
225 Index, excluding dividends.
This page provides a five year chart and a forecast for the Nikkei 225 Stock
Index. For links to longer term charts, look at the links under the five year chart
(above). One link opens a ten year chart. Another opens our longest term
graph on the Nikkei 225 Index. Just one glance at our long term charts can
provide tremendous insight into the historical trends of the financial markets.
The table above presents historical data on the Nikkei 225 Stock Index
categorized by the months of the calendar.
Commentary 2224
December, 2009 Data:
The 12 month forecast for the Nikkei 225 Index is in the table at the top of this
page. We are forecasting a Nikkei 225 Stock Index of 9874. The table shows a
HDTFA of 1930 which suggests that the January, 2011 Nikkei 225 could easily
close anywhere between 11805 and 7944. Links to Forecasts for twenty-two
other stock indexes may be found on the right side of this page.
The highest all time monthly close in the Nikkei 225 Index was 38424 in May, of
1990. The December, 2009 close was 10546. That's a decline of 27878 points
or 73% below the Nikkei 225 Stock Index all time high. The Nikkei 225 Index is
down 40% over the last 10 years. It has gained 17% over the last 12 months.
The December close was 1200.89 points higher than the November, 2009 close
of 9346, resulting in a 12.85% rise in December.
The 5 year low for the Nikkei 225 Stock Index was 8110 in March of 2009. The
December, 2009 close at 10546.44 represents a 30% gain since March, 2009.
ForecastChart.com's historical research covers the Nikkei 225 back to
September, 1984. All calculations are based on the monthly close in the Nikkei
225 Index, excluding dividends.
This page provides a five year chart and a forecast for the Nikkei 225 Stock
Index. For links to longer term charts, look at the links under the five year chart
(above). One link opens a ten year chart. Another opens our longest term
graph on the Nikkei 225 Index. Just one glance at our long term charts can
provide tremendous insight into the historical trends of the financial markets.
The table above presents historical data on the Nikkei 225 Stock Index
categorized by the months of the calendar.
Commentary 2148
November, 2009 Data:
The 12 month forecast for the Nikkei 225 Index is in the table at the top of this
page. We are forecasting a Nikkei 225 Stock Index of 8481. The table shows a
HDTFA of 1660 which suggests that the December, 2010 Nikkei 225 could
easily close anywhere between 10142 and 6821. Links to Forecasts for
twenty-two other stock indexes may be found on the right side of this page.
The highest all time monthly close in the Nikkei 225 Index was 38424 in May, of
1990. The November, 2009 close was 9346. That's a decline of 29078 points or
76% below the Nikkei 225 Stock Index all time high. The Nikkei 225 Index is
down 47% over the last 10 years. It has gained 1% over the last 12 months.
The November close was 689.19 points lower than the October, 2009 close of
10035, resulting in a 6.87% decline for November.
The 5 year low for the Nikkei 225 Stock Index was 8110 in March of 2009. The
November, 2009 close at 9345.55 represents a 15% gain since March, 2009.
Our historical research covers the Nikkei 225 back to September, 1984. All
calculations are based on the monthly close in the Nikkei 225 Index, excluding
dividends.
This page provides a five year chart and a forecast for the Nikkei 225 Stock
Index. For links to longer term charts, look at the links under the five year chart
(above). One link opens a ten year chart. Another opens our longest term
graph on the Nikkei 225 Index. Just one glance at our long term charts can
provide tremendous insight into the historical trends of the financial markets.
The table above presents historical data on the Nikkei 225 Stock Index
categorized by the months of the calendar.
Commentary 2072
October, 2009 Data:
The 12 month forecast for the Nikkei 225 Index is in the table at the top of this
page. We are forecasting a Nikkei 225 Stock Index of 9031. The table shows a
HDTFA of 1784 which suggests that the November, 2010 Nikkei 225 could
easily close anywhere between 10815 and 7248. Links to Forecasts for
twenty-two other stock indexes may be found on the right side of this page.
The highest all time monthly close in the Nikkei 225 Index was 38424 in May, of
1990. The October, 2009 close was 10035. That's a decline of 28389 points or
74% below the Nikkei 225 Stock Index all time high. The Nikkei 225 Index is
down 44% over the last 10 years. It has gained 3% over the last 12 months.
The October close was 98.49 points lower than the September, 2009 close of
10133, resulting in a 0.97% decline for October.
The 5 year low for the Nikkei 225 Stock Index was 8110 in March of 2009. The
October, 2009 close at 10034.74 represents a 24% gain since March, 2009.
Our historical research covers the Nikkei 225 back to September, 1984. All
calculations are based on the monthly close in the Nikkei 225 Index, excluding
dividends.
This page provides a five year chart and a forecast for the Nikkei 225 Stock
Index. For links to longer term charts, look at the links under the five year chart
(above). One link opens a ten year chart. Another opens our longest term
graph on the Nikkei 225 Index. Just one glance at our long term charts can
provide tremendous insight into the historical trends of the financial markets.
The table above presents historical data on the Nikkei 225 Stock Index
categorized by the months of the calendar.
Commentary 1081
September, 2009 Data:
The 12 month forecast for the Nikkei 225 Index is in the table at the top of this
page. We are forecasting a Nikkei 225 Stock Index of 9049. The table shows a
HDTFA of 1800 which suggests that the October, 2010 Nikkei 225 could easily
close anywhere between 10849 and 7249. Links to Forecasts for twenty-two
other stock indexes may be found on the right side of this page.
The highest all time monthly close in the Nikkei 225 Index was 38424 in May, of
1990. The September, 2009 close was 10133. That's a decline of 28291 points
or 74% below the Nikkei 225 Stock Index all time high. The Nikkei 225 Index is
down 44% over the last 10 years. It has lost 14% over the last 12 months.
The September close was 359.30 points lower than the August, 2009 close of
10493, resulting in a 3.42% decline for September.
The 5 year low for the Nikkei 225 Stock Index was 8110 in March of 2009. The
September, 2009 close at 10133.23 represents a 25% gain since March, 2009.
Our historical research covers the Nikkei 225 back to September, 1984. All
calculations are based on the monthly close in the Nikkei 225 Index, excluding
dividends.
This page provides a five year chart and a forecast for the Nikkei 225 Stock
Index. For links to longer term charts, look at the links under the five year chart
(above). One link opens a ten year chart. Another opens our longest term
graph on the Nikkei 225 Index. Just one glance at our long term charts can
provide tremendous insight into the historical trends of the financial markets.
The table above presents historical data on the Nikkei 225 Stock Index
categorized by the months of the calendar.
Commentary 1005
August, 2009 Data:
The 12 month forecast for the Nikkei 225 Index is in the table at the top of this
page. We are forecasting a Nikkei 225 Stock Index of 9430. The table shows a
HDTFA of 1881 which suggests that the September, 2010 Nikkei 225 could
easily close anywhere between 11312 and 7549. Links to Forecasts for
twenty-two other stock indexes may be found on the right side of this page.
The highest all time monthly close in the Nikkei 225 Index was 38424 in May, of
1990. The August, 2009 close was 10493. That's a decline of 27931 points or
73% below the Nikkei 225 Stock Index all time high. The Nikkei 225 Index is
down 41% over the last 10 years. It has lost 20% over the last 12 months.
The August close was 135.70 points higher than the July, 2009 close of 10357,
resulting in a 1.31% rise in August.
The 5 year low for the Nikkei 225 Stock Index was 8110 in March of 2009. The
August, 2009 close at 10492.53 represents a 29% gain since March, 2009.
Our historical research covers the Nikkei 225 back to September, 1984. All
calculations are based on the monthly close in the Nikkei 225 Index, excluding
dividends.
This page provides a five year chart and a forecast for the Nikkei 225 Stock
Index. For links to longer term charts, look at the links under the five year chart
(above). One link opens a ten year chart. Another opens our longest term
graph on the Nikkei 225 Index. Just one glance at our long term charts can
provide tremendous insight into the historical trends of the financial markets.
The table above presents historical data on the Nikkei 225 Stock Index
categorized by the months of the calendar.
Commentary 929
July, 2009 Data:
The 12 month forecast for the Nikkei 225 Index is in the table at the top of this
page. We are forecasting a Nikkei 225 Stock Index of 9513. The table shows a
HDTFA of 1908 which suggests that the August, 2010 Nikkei 225 could easily
close anywhere between 11421 and 7605. Links to Forecasts for twenty-two
other stock indexes may be found on the right side of this page.
The highest all time monthly close in the Nikkei 225 Index was 38424 in May, of
1990. The July, 2009 close was 10357. That's a decline of 28067 points or 73%
below the Nikkei 225 Stock Index all time high. The Nikkei 225 Index is down
36% over the last 10 years. It has lost 23% over the last 12 months.
The July close was 398.39 points higher than the June, 2009 close of 9958,
resulting in a 4.00% rise in July.
The 5 year low for the Nikkei 225 Stock Index was 8110 in March of 2009. The
July, 2009 close at 10356.83 represents a 28% gain since March, 2009.
Our historical research covers the Nikkei 225 back to September, 1984. All
calculations are based on the monthly close in the Nikkei 225 Index, excluding
dividends.
This page provides a five year chart and a forecast for the Nikkei 225 Stock
Index. For links to longer term charts, look at the links under the five year chart
(above). One link opens a ten year chart. Another opens our longest term
graph on the Nikkei 225 Index. Just one glance at our long term charts can
provide tremendous insight into the historical trends of the financial markets.
The table above presents historical data on the Nikkei 225 Stock Index
categorized by the months of the calendar.
June, 2009 Data:
The 12 month forecast for the Nikkei 225 Index is in the table at the top of this
page. We are forecasting a Nikkei 225 Stock Index of 9278. The table shows a
HDTFA of 1859 which suggests that the July, 2010 Nikkei 225 could easily close
anywhere between 11137 and 7419. Links to Forecasts for twenty-two other
stock indexes may be found on the right side of this page.
The highest all time monthly close in the Nikkei 225 Index was 38424 in May, of
1990. The June, 2009 close was 9958. That's a decline of 28466 points or 74%
below the Nikkei 225 Stock Index all time high. The Nikkei 225 Index is down
40% over the last 10 years. It has lost 26% over the last 12 months.
The June close was 435.94 points higher than the May, 2009 close of 9523,
resulting in a 4.58% rise in June.
The 5 year low for the Nikkei 225 Stock Index was 8110 in March of 2009. The
June, 2009 close at 9958.44 represents a 23% gain since March, 2009.
Our historical research covers the Nikkei 225 back to August, 1984. All
calculations are based on the monthly close in the Nikkei 225 Index, excluding
dividends.
This page provides a five year chart and a forecast for the Nikkei 225 Stock
Index. For links to longer term charts, look at the links under the five year chart
(above). One link opens a ten year chart. Another opens our longest term
graph on the Nikkei 225 Index. Just one glance at our long term charts can
provide tremendous insight into the historical trends of the financial markets.
The table below presents historical data on the Nikkei 225 Stock Index
categorized by the months of the calendar.
_____________________________________________________________
Home About Search 1000 Charts Report a Problem with this Page
Site Map Contact Us Privacy Policy Terms of Use/Disclosure
SignalTrend Inc. 2008 - 2009, All Rights Reserved
Current Analysis & Forecast: Nikkei 225 Stock Index
British Pound to USD
Canadian Dollars to USD
Chinese Yuan to USD
Euro to US Dollar
Indian Rupee to USD
Japanese Yen to USD
Korean Won to USD
Mexican Peso to USD
Swiss Franc to USD
more...
Canadian Dollars to USD
Chinese Yuan to USD
Euro to US Dollar
Indian Rupee to USD
Japanese Yen to USD
Korean Won to USD
Mexican Peso to USD
Swiss Franc to USD
more...
CAC 40 (France)
DAX (Germany)
Dow Jones Industrial Avg.
FTSE 100 (UK)
Hang Seng (Hong Kong)
NASDAQ 100
Nikkei 225 (Japan)
Russell 2000
S&P 500
S&P Global
TSX Composite (Canada)
Wilshire 5000
more...
DAX (Germany)
Dow Jones Industrial Avg.
FTSE 100 (UK)
Hang Seng (Hong Kong)
NASDAQ 100
Nikkei 225 (Japan)
Russell 2000
S&P 500
S&P Global
TSX Composite (Canada)
Wilshire 5000
more...
1/05 1/2006 1/2007 1/2008 1/2009 1/2010 1/2011 1/12
Boston Real Estate Market
Dallas Real Estate Market
Houston Real Estate Market
Miami Real Estate Market
New York Real Estate Market
Portland Real Estate Market
Seattle Real Estate Market
all 500 Cities...
Dallas Real Estate Market
Houston Real Estate Market
Miami Real Estate Market
New York Real Estate Market
Portland Real Estate Market
Seattle Real Estate Market
all 500 Cities...
...Over 1000 charts and
hundreds of commentaries
for hundreds of financial
indexes!
hundreds of commentaries
for hundreds of financial
indexes!
At ForecastChart.com
● Home Values: 500 Cities
● Economic Indicators
● Stock Indexes
● Foreign Currencies
● Interest Rates
Updated monthly, quarterly or annually.
● Economic Indicators
● Stock Indexes
● Foreign Currencies
● Interest Rates
Updated monthly, quarterly or annually.