Market Commentary  14031
September, 2013 Data:

Part 1
FORECASTS

12 MONTH FORECAST
The 12 month forecast for the Russell 2000 Index is in the table at the top of
this page. Forecast-Chart.com is forecasting a Russell 2000 Stock Index of
1071. The table shows a HDTFA of 177 which suggests that the October, 2014
Russell 2000 could easily close anywhere between 1248 and 894. Links to
Forecasts for twenty-two other stock indexes may be found by clicking Stock
Market Forecast at the top of any page.

BULL MARKET or BEAR MARKET?
A forecast for the primary trend in the U.S. Stock Market is updated in this site
with a three month time delay. Artificial Intelligence is used to identify major
turning points in the broad U.S. Stock Market. The forecast is either a Bull
Market Signal (up) or a Bear Market Signal (down). This mathematical system
performed very well in a one hundred year backtest and also in real time since
going live in 2005. To get the forecast signal for the broad U.S Stock Market,
click Stock Market Forecast at the top of any page. Then select the Bull Market
& Bear Market Forecast.

10 YEAR FORECAST
Forecast-Chart.com publishes a Ten Year Forecast for the Russell 2000 Stock
Index. The Ten Year Forecast estimates the probability that the Russell 2000
equity index will achieve certain gain or loss benchmarks at a point in time ten
years in the future. For example, look at the top line of the table immediately
below this paragraph. Forecast-Chart.com is forecasting a probability of 4%
that the Russell 2000 Index will be down at least 20% in 10 years (September,
2023 close compared to September, 2013 close).

                           PROBABILITY
Down at least 20%          4%
Down at least 10%          5%
Down                               7%
Up                                   93%
Up at least 10%               88%
Up at least 20%               78%
Up at least 30%               66%
Up at least 40%               55%
Up at least 50%               44%
Up at least 100%             20%
Up at least 150%             5%
Up at least 200%               NS

NS - Not Significant

Over 100 YEARS of historical data was used to calculate the probabilities in the
table above.  Dividends are not included. So you must add expected dividends
to the forecasted gain to estimate the total return for the equities represented
by this index.  Each month, new data is entered into the forecasting model and
the Russell 2000 is assigned a rank from 1 to 10. The best rank is 10 and the
worst is 1. That ranking determines the Ten Year Forecast for the Russell 2000
Stock Index . The data used in the forecasting model is updated monthly and
may change the forecast, particularly after substantial movements in the
Russell 2000. The latest ranking of the Russell 2000 Index is 4.
Forecast-Chart.com publishes a 10 Year Forecast for 12 of the 23 stock market
indexes covered at Forecast-Chart.com. The indexes with the highest
probability of gaining over 200% in the next 10 years are the S&P TSX Index
and the S&P 500. The indexes with the lowest probability of gaining over 200%
in the next 10 years are the S&P SmallCap 600, the S&P MidCap 400 and the
Russell 2000. To see these forecasts, click the Stock Market Forecast link at
the top of any page, then select the index you are interested in.

The last time that the Russell 2000 Stock Index received a rank of 9 was
3/2009, when the Russell 2000 Index closed at 423. The last time that the
Russell 2000 Stock Index received the worst rank (1) was 8/2000, when the
Russell 2000 Index closed at 538. The last time that the Russell 2000 Stock
Index received a rank of 2 was 5/2007, when the Russell 2000 Index closed at
847. Last month's close for the Russell 2000 Stock Index is in the Market
Highlights section below.




Part 2
MARKET HIGHLIGHTS

All Time High                          1074 (September, 2013)
September, 2013 close          1074

10 Year Return                       120%
5 Year Low                             389 (February, 2009)
Gain From 5 Year Low            176%

The highest all time monthly close in the Russell 2000 Index was 1074 in
September, of 2013.  The Russell 2000 Index is up 120% over the last 10
years. It has gained 27% over the last 12 months.

The September close was 62.89 points higher than the August, 2013 close of
1011, resulting in a 6.22% rise in September.

The 5 year market low for the Russell 2000 Stock Index was 389 in February of
2009. The September, 2013 close at 1073.79 represents a 176% gain since
February, 2009.

Forecast-Chart.com's historical research covers the Russell 2000 back to
October, 1987. All calculations are based on the monthly market close in the
Russell 2000 Index, excluding dividends.

This page provides a five year chart and a forecast for the Russell 2000 Stock
Index. For links to longer term charts, look at the links under the five year chart
(above). One link opens a ten year chart. Another opens our longest term
graph on the Russell 2000 Index. Just one glance at our long term charts can
provide tremendous insight into the historical trends of the financial markets.
The table above presents historical data on the Russell 2000 Stock Index
categorized by the months of the calendar.





























Part 3
ROLLING RETURNS, 1987 - 2013: Russell 2000 Index

Rolling Period          Last / Percentile          Best / Average / Worst
1 Year                     27% / 85th                  62% / 10% / -43%
2 Year                     67% / 95th                  112% / 19% / -51%
4 Year                     78% / 87th                  134% / 39% / -39%
8 Year                     61% / 37th                  219% / 88% / -18%
16 Year                   137% / 18th               545% / 240% / 75%

How do you read the table?
For example: Rolling 2 year period returns are shown on the second row. In the
latest rolling 2 year period, (10/2011 - 9/2013), the Russell 2000 Index returned
67%. That period scored in the 95th percentile, meaning that it scored better
than 95% of all rolling 2 year periods since 1987. The Best rolling 2 Year period
since 1987 returned 112%. The worst returned -51%. The average rolling 2
year period returned 19%.

What is a rolling period?
It's an overlapping period in a data base. For example: In the 2 year period
included in 2000 - 2001, there are 13 complete rolling 12 Month Periods. The
first is January, 2000 - December, 2000. The second is February, 2000 -
January, 2001. The third is March, 2000 - February, 2001 and so on. The last
complete rolling 12 Month Period in the 2000 - 2001 period is January, 2001 -
December, 2001.

How is this information useful?
Best and worst case scenarios may be estimated based on historical facts.
Also, the relationship of the periods is sometimes very helpful. Suppose that the
worst rolling 8 year period in the last 50 years returned -30%. Suppose also
that the latest 4 year period has returned -50%. Market psychology at this point
may be one of great fear or possibly even panic. If the market stays flat for 4
more years, it will break the 8 year decline record by a whopping 20%! (-50%
minus -30% equals -20%.)  50 plus year records are not often broken. That
provides reason to hope that the market will recover that 20% over the next 4
years. If it does, then the 8 year loss will be 30%. The longest index histories
are found in the DJIA, FTSE 100 with FT 30, DJTA, DJUA, S&P 500, & NASDAQ
100

The number of periods in each category for the Russell 2000 Index are as
follows:
1 Year: 301
2 Year: 289
4 Year: 265
8 Year: 217
16 Year: 121

Dividends are not included.











































Market Commentary  13955
August, 2013 Data:

Part 1
FORECASTS

12 MONTH FORECAST
The 12 month forecast for the Russell 2000 Index is in the table at the top of
this page. Forecast-Chart.com is forecasting a Russell 2000 Stock Index of
1014. The table shows a HDTFA of 167 which suggests that the September,
2014 Russell 2000 could easily close anywhere between 1181 and 847. Links
to Forecasts for twenty-two other stock indexes may be found by clicking Stock
Market Forecast at the top of any page.

BULL MARKET or BEAR MARKET?
A forecast for the primary trend in the U.S. Stock Market is updated in this site
with a three month time delay. Artificial Intelligence is used to identify major
turning points in the broad U.S. Stock Market. The forecast is either a Bull
Market Signal (up) or a Bear Market Signal (down). This mathematical system
performed very well in a one hundred year backtest and also in real time since
going live in 2005. To get the forecast signal for the broad U.S Stock Market,
click Stock Market Forecast at the top of any page. Then select the Bull Market
& Bear Market Forecast.

10 YEAR FORECAST
Forecast-Chart.com publishes a Ten Year Forecast for the Russell 2000 Stock
Index. The Ten Year Forecast estimates the probability that the Russell 2000
equity index will achieve certain gain or loss benchmarks at a point in time ten
years in the future. For example, look at the top line of the table immediately
below this paragraph. Forecast-Chart.com is forecasting a probability of 3%
that the Russell 2000 Index will be down at least 20% in 10 years (August, 2023
close compared to August, 2013 close).

                        PROBABILITY
Down at least 20%          3%
Down at least 10%          4%
Down                               5%
Up                                   95%
Up at least 10%               92%
Up at least 20%               86%
Up at least 30%               77%
Up at least 40%               67%
Up at least 50%               59%
Up at least 100%             34%
Up at least 150%             22%
Up at least 200%             12%



Over 100 YEARS of historical data was used to calculate the probabilities in the
table above.  Dividends are not included. So you must add expected dividends
to the forecasted gain to estimate the total return for the equities represented
by this index.  Each month, new data is entered into the forecasting model and
the Russell 2000 is assigned a rank from 1 to 10. The best rank is 10 and the
worst is 1. That ranking determines the Ten Year Forecast for the Russell 2000
Stock Index . The data used in the forecasting model is updated monthly and
may change the forecast, particularly after substantial movements in the
Russell 2000. The latest ranking of the Russell 2000 Index is 5.
Forecast-Chart.com publishes a 10 Year Forecast for 12 of the 23 stock market
indexes covered at Forecast-Chart.com. The indexes with the highest
probability of gaining over 200% in the next 10 years are the S&P TSX Index
and the NASDAQ 100. The indexes with the lowest probability of gaining over
200% in the next 10 years are the S&P SmallCap 600 and the S&P MidCap
400. To see these forecasts, click the Stock Market Forecast link at the top of
any page, then select the index you are interested in.

The last time that the Russell 2000 Stock Index received a rank of 9 was
3/2009, when the Russell 2000 Index closed at 423. The last time that the
Russell 2000 Stock Index received the worst rank (1) was 8/2000, when the
Russell 2000 Index closed at 538. The last time that the Russell 2000 Stock
Index received a rank of 2 was 5/2007, when the Russell 2000 Index closed at
847. Last month's close for the Russell 2000 Stock Index is in the Market
Highlights section below.




Part 2
MARKET HIGHLIGHTS

All Time High                          1045 (July, 2013)
August, 2013 close                1011
Decline From All Time High     3%
10 Year Return                       103%
5 Year Low                             389 (February, 2009)
Gain From 5 Year Low            160%

The highest all time monthly close in the Russell 2000 Index was 1045 in July, of
2013. The August, 2013 close was 1011. That's a decline of 34 points or 3%
below the Russell 2000 Stock Index all time high.  The Russell 2000 Index is up
103% over the last 10 years. It has gained 24% over the last 12 months.

The August close was 34.36 points lower than the July, 2013 close of 1045,
resulting in a 3.29% decline for August.

The 5 year market low for the Russell 2000 Stock Index was 389 in February of
2009. The August, 2013 close at 1010.9 represents a 160% gain since
February, 2009.

Forecast-Chart.com's historical research covers the Russell 2000 back to
October, 1987. All calculations are based on the monthly market close in the
Russell 2000 Index, excluding dividends.

This page provides a five year chart and a forecast for the Russell 2000 Stock
Index. For links to longer term charts, look at the links under the five year chart
(above). One link opens a ten year chart. Another opens our longest term
graph on the Russell 2000 Index. Just one glance at our long term charts can
provide tremendous insight into the historical trends of the financial markets.
The table above presents historical data on the Russell 2000 Stock Index
categorized by the months of the calendar.





























Part 3
ROLLING RETURNS, 1987 - 2013: Russell 2000 Index

Rolling Period          Last / Percentile          Best / Average / Worst
1 Year                     24% / 80th                  62% / 10% / -43%
2 Year                     39% / 82nd                  112% / 18% / -51%
4 Year                     77% / 86th                  134% / 39% / -39%
8 Year                     52% / 26th                  219% / 88% / -18%
16 Year                   139% / 20th               545% / 241% / 75%

How do you read the table?
For example: Rolling 2 year period returns are shown on the second row. In the
latest rolling 2 year period, (9/2011 - 8/2013), the Russell 2000 Index returned
39%. That period scored in the 82nd percentile, meaning that it scored better
than 82% of all rolling 2 year periods since 1987. The Best rolling 2 Year period
since 1987 returned 112%. The worst returned -51%. The average rolling 2
year period returned 18%.

What is a rolling period?
It's an overlapping period in a data base. For example: In the 2 year period
included in 2000 - 2001, there are 13 complete rolling 12 Month Periods. The
first is January, 2000 - December, 2000. The second is February, 2000 -
January, 2001. The third is March, 2000 - February, 2001 and so on. The last
complete rolling 12 Month Period in the 2000 - 2001 period is January, 2001 -
December, 2001.

How is this information useful?
Best and worst case scenarios may be estimated based on historical facts.
Also, the relationship of the periods is sometimes very helpful. Suppose that the
worst rolling 8 year period in the last 50 years returned -30%. Suppose also
that the latest 4 year period has returned -50%. Market psychology at this point
may be one of great fear or possibly even panic. If the market stays flat for 4
more years, it will break the 8 year decline record by a whopping 20%! (-50%
minus -30% equals -20%.)  50 plus year records are not often broken. That
provides reason to hope that the market will recover that 20% over the next 4
years. If it does, then the 8 year loss will be 30%. The longest index histories
are found in the DJIA, FTSE 100 with FT 30, DJTA, DJUA, S&P 500, & NASDAQ
100

The number of periods in each category for the Russell 2000 Index are as
follows:
1 Year: 300
2 Year: 288
4 Year: 264
8 Year: 216
16 Year: 120

Dividends are not included.











































Market Commentary  13879
July, 2013 Data:

Part 1
FORECASTS

12 MONTH FORECAST
The 12 month forecast for the Russell 2000 Index is in the table at the top of
this page. Forecast-Chart.com is forecasting a Russell 2000 Stock Index of
1032. The table shows a HDTFA of 169 which suggests that the August, 2014
Russell 2000 could easily close anywhere between 1201 and 863. Links to
Forecasts for twenty-two other stock indexes may be found by clicking Stock
Market Forecast at the top of any page.

BULL MARKET or BEAR MARKET?
A forecast for the primary trend in the U.S. Stock Market is updated in this site
with a three month time delay. Artificial Intelligence is used to identify major
turning points in the broad U.S. Stock Market. The forecast is either a Bull
Market Signal (up) or a Bear Market Signal (down). This mathematical system
performed very well in a one hundred year backtest and also in real time since
going live in 2005. To get the forecast signal for the broad U.S Stock Market,
click Stock Market Forecast at the top of any page. Then select the Bull Market
& Bear Market Forecast.

10 YEAR FORECAST
Forecast-Chart.com publishes a Ten Year Forecast for the Russell 2000 Stock
Index. The Ten Year Forecast estimates the probability that the Russell 2000
equity index will achieve certain gain or loss benchmarks at a point in time ten
years in the future. For example, look at the top line of the table immediately
below this paragraph. Forecast-Chart.com is forecasting a probability of 4%
that the Russell 2000 Index will be down at least 20% in 10 years (July, 2023
close compared to July, 2013 close).

                      PROBABILITY
Down at least 20%          4%
Down at least 10%          5%
Down                               7%
Up                                   93%
Up at least 10%               88%
Up at least 20%               78%
Up at least 30%               66%
Up at least 40%               55%
Up at least 50%               44%
Up at least 100%             20%
Up at least 150%             5%
Up at least 200%               NS

NS - Not Significant

Over 100 YEARS of historical data was used to calculate the probabilities in the
table above.  Dividends are not included. So you must add expected dividends
to the forecasted gain to estimate the total return for the equities represented
by this index.  Each month, new data is entered into the forecasting model and
the Russell 2000 is assigned a rank from 1 to 10. The best rank is 10 and the
worst is 1. That ranking determines the Ten Year Forecast for the Russell 2000
Stock Index . The data used in the forecasting model is updated monthly and
may change the forecast, particularly after substantial movements in the
Russell 2000. The latest ranking of the Russell 2000 Index is 4.
Forecast-Chart.com publishes a 10 Year Forecast for 12 of the 23 stock market
indexes covered at Forecast-Chart.com. The indexes with the highest
probability of gaining over 200% in the next 10 years are the S&P TSX Index
and the NASDAQ 100. The indexes with the lowest probability of gaining over
200% in the next 10 years are the S&P SmallCap 600, the S&P MidCap 400
and the Russell 2000. To see these forecasts, click the Stock Market Forecast
link at the top of any page, then select the index you are interested in.

The last time that the Russell 2000 Stock Index received a rank of 9 was
3/2009, when the Russell 2000 Index closed at 423. The last time that the
Russell 2000 Stock Index received the worst rank (1) was 8/2000, when the
Russell 2000 Index closed at 538. The last time that the Russell 2000 Stock
Index received a rank of 2 was 5/2007, when the Russell 2000 Index closed at
847. Last month's close for the Russell 2000 Stock Index is in the Market
Highlights section below.




Part 2
MARKET HIGHLIGHTS

All Time High                          1045 (July, 2013)
July, 2013 close                     1045

10 Year Return                       120%
5 Year Low                             389 (February, 2009)
Gain From 5 Year Low            169%

The highest all time monthly close in the Russell 2000 Index was 1045 in July, of
2013.  The Russell 2000 Index is up 120% over the last 10 years. It has gained
33% over the last 12 months.

The July close was 154.59 points higher than the June, 2013 close of 891,
resulting in a 17.36% rise in July.

The 5 year market low for the Russell 2000 Stock Index was 389 in February of
2009. The July, 2013 close at 1045.26 represents a 169% gain since February,
2009.

Forecast-Chart.com's historical research covers the Russell 2000 back to
October, 1987. All calculations are based on the monthly market close in the
Russell 2000 Index, excluding dividends.

This page provides a five year chart and a forecast for the Russell 2000 Stock
Index. For links to longer term charts, look at the links under the five year chart
(above). One link opens a ten year chart. Another opens our longest term
graph on the Russell 2000 Index. Just one glance at our long term charts can
provide tremendous insight into the historical trends of the financial markets.
The table above presents historical data on the Russell 2000 Stock Index
categorized by the months of the calendar.





























Part 3
ROLLING RETURNS, 1987 - 2013: Russell 2000 Index

Rolling Period          Last / Percentile          Best / Average / Worst
1 Year                     33% / 92nd                  62% / 10% / -43%
2 Year                     31% / 71st                  112% / 18% / -51%
4 Year                     88% / 92nd                  134% / 38% / -39%
8 Year                     54% / 28th                  219% / 88% / -18%
16 Year                   152% / 30th               545% / 241% / 75%

How do you read the table?
For example: Rolling 2 year period returns are shown on the second row. In the
latest rolling 2 year period, (8/2011 - 7/2013), the Russell 2000 Index returned
31%. That period scored in the 71st percentile, meaning that it scored better
than 71% of all rolling 2 year periods since 1987. The Best rolling 2 Year period
since 1987 returned 112%. The worst returned -51%. The average rolling 2
year period returned 18%.

What is a rolling period?
It's an overlapping period in a data base. For example: In the 2 year period
included in 2000 - 2001, there are 13 complete rolling 12 Month Periods. The
first is January, 2000 - December, 2000. The second is February, 2000 -
January, 2001. The third is March, 2000 - February, 2001 and so on. The last
complete rolling 12 Month Period in the 2000 - 2001 period is January, 2001 -
December, 2001.

How is this information useful?
Best and worst case scenarios may be estimated based on historical facts.
Also, the relationship of the periods is sometimes very helpful. Suppose that the
worst rolling 8 year period in the last 50 years returned -30%. Suppose also
that the latest 4 year period has returned -50%. Market psychology at this point
may be one of great fear or possibly even panic. If the market stays flat for 4
more years, it will break the 8 year decline record by a whopping 20%! (-50%
minus -30% equals -20%.)  50 plus year records are not often broken. That
provides reason to hope that the market will recover that 20% over the next 4
years. If it does, then the 8 year loss will be 30%. The longest index histories
are found in the DJIA, FTSE 100 with FT 30, DJTA, DJUA, S&P 500, & NASDAQ
100

The number of periods in each category for the Russell 2000 Index are as
follows:
1 Year: 299
2 Year: 287
4 Year: 263
8 Year: 215
16 Year: 119

Dividends are not included.











































Market Commentary  13269
June, 2013 Data:

Part 1
FORECASTS

12 MONTH FORECAST
The 12 month forecast for the Russell 2000 Index is in the table at the top of
this page. Forecast-Chart.com is forecasting a Russell 2000 Stock Index of 909.
The table shows a HDTFA of 148 which suggests that the July, 2014 Russell
2000 could easily close anywhere between 1057 and 762. Links to Forecasts
for twenty-two other stock indexes may be found by clicking Stock Market
Forecast at the top of any page.

BULL MARKET or BEAR MARKET?
A forecast for the primary trend in the U.S. Stock Market is updated in this site
with a three month time delay. Artificial Intelligence is used to identify major
turning points in the broad U.S. Stock Market. The forecast is either a Bull
Market Signal (up) or a Bear Market Signal (down). This mathematical system
performed very well in a one hundred year backtest and also in real time since
going live in 2005. To get the forecast signal for the broad U.S Stock Market,
click Stock Market Forecast at the top of any page. Then select the Bull Market
& Bear Market Forecast.

10 YEAR FORECAST
Forecast-Chart.com publishes a Ten Year Forecast for the Russell 2000 Stock
Index. The Ten Year Forecast estimates the probability that the Russell 2000
equity index will achieve certain gain or loss benchmarks at a point in time ten
years in the future. For example, look at the top line of the table immediately
below this paragraph. Forecast-Chart.com is forecasting a probability of 3%
that the Russell 2000 Index will be down at least 20% in 10 years (June, 2023
close compared to June, 2013 close).

                   PROBABILITY
Down at least 20%          3%
Down at least 10%          4%
Down                               5%
Up                                   95%
Up at least 10%               92%
Up at least 20%               85%
Up at least 30%               77%
Up at least 40%               67%
Up at least 50%               58%
Up at least 100%             34%
Up at least 150%             22%
Up at least 200%             12%



Over 100 YEARS of historical data was used to calculate the probabilities in the
table above.  Dividends are not included. So you must add expected dividends
to the forecasted gain to estimate the total return for the equities represented
by this index.  Each month, new data is entered into the forecasting model and
the Russell 2000 is assigned a rank from 1 to 10. The best rank is 10 and the
worst is 1. That ranking determines the Ten Year Forecast for the Russell 2000
Stock Index . The data used in the forecasting model is updated monthly and
may change the forecast, particularly after substantial movements in the
Russell 2000. The latest ranking of the Russell 2000 Index is 5.
Forecast-Chart.com publishes a 10 Year Forecast for 12 of the 23 stock market
indexes covered at Forecast-Chart.com. The indexes with the highest
probability of gaining over 200% in the next 10 years are the S&P TSX Index
and the NASDAQ 100. The indexes with the lowest probability of gaining over
200% in the next 10 years are the S&P SmallCap 600 and the S&P MidCap
400. To see these forecasts, click the Stock Market Forecast link at the top of
any page, then select the index you are interested in.

The last time that the Russell 2000 Stock Index received a rank of 9 was
3/2009, when the Russell 2000 Index closed at 423. The last time that the
Russell 2000 Stock Index received the worst rank (1) was 8/2000, when the
Russell 2000 Index closed at 538. The last time that the Russell 2000 Stock
Index received a rank of 2 was 5/2007, when the Russell 2000 Index closed at
847. Last month's close for the Russell 2000 Stock Index is in the Market
Highlights section below.




Part 2
MARKET HIGHLIGHTS

All Time High                          984 (May, 2013)
June, 2013 close                    891
Decline From All Time High     9%
10 Year Return                       99%
5 Year Low                             389 (February, 2009)
Gain From 5 Year Low            129%

The highest all time monthly close in the Russell 2000 Index was 984 in May, of
2013. The June, 2013 close was 891. That's a decline of 93 points or 9% below
the Russell 2000 Stock Index all time high.  The Russell 2000 Index is up 99%
over the last 10 years. It has gained 12% over the last 12 months.

The June close was 93.48 points lower than the May, 2013 close of 984,
resulting in a 9.50% decline for June.

The 5 year market low for the Russell 2000 Stock Index was 389 in February of
2009. The June, 2013 close at 890.67 represents a 129% gain since February,
2009.

Forecast-Chart.com's historical research covers the Russell 2000 back to
October, 1987. All calculations are based on the monthly market close in the
Russell 2000 Index, excluding dividends.

This page provides a five year chart and a forecast for the Russell 2000 Stock
Index. For links to longer term charts, look at the links under the five year chart
(above). One link opens a ten year chart. Another opens our longest term
graph on the Russell 2000 Index. Just one glance at our long term charts can
provide tremendous insight into the historical trends of the financial markets.
The table above presents historical data on the Russell 2000 Stock Index
categorized by the months of the calendar.





























Part 3
ROLLING RETURNS, 1987 - 2013: Russell 2000 Index

Rolling Period          Last / Percentile          Best / Average / Worst
1 Year                     12% / 51st                  62% / 9% / -43%
2 Year                     8% / 29th                    112% / 18% / -51%
4 Year                     75% / 86th                  134% / 38% / -39%
8 Year                     39% / 15th                  219% / 89% / -18%
16 Year                   125% / 8th                  545% / 242% / 75%

How do you read the table?
For example: Rolling 2 year period returns are shown on the second row. In the
latest rolling 2 year period, (7/2011 - 6/2013), the Russell 2000 Index returned
8%. That period scored in the 29th percentile, meaning that it scored better
than 29% of all rolling 2 year periods since 1987. The Best rolling 2 Year period
since 1987 returned 112%. The worst returned -51%. The average rolling 2
year period returned 18%.

What is a rolling period?
It's an overlapping period in a data base. For example: In the 2 year period
included in 2000 - 2001, there are 13 complete rolling 12 Month Periods. The
first is January, 2000 - December, 2000. The second is February, 2000 -
January, 2001. The third is March, 2000 - February, 2001 and so on. The last
complete rolling 12 Month Period in the 2000 - 2001 period is January, 2001 -
December, 2001.

How is this information useful?
Best and worst case scenarios may be estimated based on historical facts.
Also, the relationship of the periods is sometimes very helpful. Suppose that the
worst rolling 8 year period in the last 50 years returned -30%. Suppose also
that the latest 4 year period has returned -50%. Market psychology at this point
may be one of great fear or possibly even panic. If the market stays flat for 4
more years, it will break the 8 year decline record by a whopping 20%! (-50%
minus -30% equals -20%.)  50 plus year records are not often broken. That
provides reason to hope that the market will recover that 20% over the next 4
years. If it does, then the 8 year loss will be 30%. The longest index histories
are found in the DJIA, FTSE 100 with FT 30, DJTA, DJUA, S&P 500, & NASDAQ
100

The number of periods in each category for the Russell 2000 Index are as
follows:
1 Year: 298
2 Year: 286
4 Year: 262
8 Year: 214
16 Year: 118

Dividends are not included.











































Market Commentary  13193
May, 2013 Data:

Part 1
FORECASTS

12 MONTH FORECAST
The 12 month forecast for the Russell 2000 Index is in the table at the top of
this page. Forecast-Chart.com is forecasting a Russell 2000 Stock Index of 973.
The table shows a HDTFA of 158 which suggests that the June, 2014 Russell
2000 could easily close anywhere between 1131 and 815. Links to Forecasts
for twenty-two other stock indexes may be found by clicking Stock Market
Forecast at the top of any page.

BULL MARKET or BEAR MARKET?
A forecast for the primary trend in the U.S. Stock Market is updated in this site
with a three month time delay. Artificial Intelligence is used to identify major
turning points in the broad U.S. Stock Market. The forecast is either a Bull
Market Signal (up) or a Bear Market Signal (down). This mathematical system
performed very well in a one hundred year backtest and also in real time since
going live in 2005. To get the forecast signal for the broad U.S Stock Market,
click Stock Market Forecast at the top of any page. Then select the Bull Market
& Bear Market Forecast.

10 YEAR FORECAST
Forecast-Chart.com publishes a Ten Year Forecast for the Russell 2000 Stock
Index. The Ten Year Forecast estimates the probability that the Russell 2000
equity index will achieve certain gain or loss benchmarks at a point in time ten
years in the future. For example, look at the top line of the table immediately
below this paragraph. Forecast-Chart.com is forecasting a probability of 3%
that the Russell 2000 Index will be down at least 20% in 10 years (May, 2023
close compared to May, 2013 close).

               PROBABILITY
Down at least 20%          3%
Down at least 10%          4%
Down                               5%
Up                                   95%
Up at least 10%               92%
Up at least 20%               85%
Up at least 30%               77%
Up at least 40%               67%
Up at least 50%               58%
Up at least 100%             34%
Up at least 150%             22%
Up at least 200%             12%



Over 100 YEARS of historical data was used to calculate the probabilities in the
table above.  Dividends are not included. So you must add expected dividends
to the forecasted gain to estimate the total return for the equities represented
by this index.  Each month, new data is entered into the forecasting model and
the Russell 2000 is assigned a rank from 1 to 10. The best rank is 10 and the
worst is 1. That ranking determines the Ten Year Forecast for the Russell 2000
Stock Index . The data used in the forecasting model is updated monthly and
may change the forecast, particularly after substantial movements in the
Russell 2000. The latest ranking of the Russell 2000 Index is 5.
Forecast-Chart.com publishes a 10 Year Forecast for 12 of the 23 stock market
indexes covered at Forecast-Chart.com. The indexes with the highest
probability of gaining over 200% in the next 10 years are the S&P TSX Index
and the NASDAQ 100. The indexes with the lowest probability of gaining over
200% in the next 10 years are the S&P SmallCap 600 and the S&P MidCap
400. To see these forecasts, click the Stock Market Forecast link at the top of
any page, then select the index you are interested in.

The last time that the Russell 2000 Stock Index received a rank of 9 was
3/2009, when the Russell 2000 Index closed at 423. The last time that the
Russell 2000 Stock Index received the worst rank (1) was 8/2000, when the
Russell 2000 Index closed at 538. The last time that the Russell 2000 Stock
Index received a rank of 2 was 5/2007, when the Russell 2000 Index closed at
847. Last month's close for the Russell 2000 Stock Index is in the Market
Highlights section below.




Part 2
MARKET HIGHLIGHTS

All Time High                          984 (May, 2013)
May, 2013 close                    984

10 Year Return                       123%
5 Year Low                             389 (February, 2009)
Gain From 5 Year Low            153%

The highest all time monthly close in the Russell 2000 Index was 984 in May, of
2013.  The Russell 2000 Index is up 123% over the last 10 years. It has gained
29% over the last 12 months.

The May close was 97.26 points higher than the April, 2013 close of 887,
resulting in a 10.97% rise in May.

The 5 year market low for the Russell 2000 Stock Index was 389 in February of
2009. The May, 2013 close at 984.15 represents a 153% gain since February,
2009.

Forecast-Chart.com's historical research covers the Russell 2000 back to
October, 1987. All calculations are based on the monthly market close in the
Russell 2000 Index, excluding dividends.

This page provides a five year chart and a forecast for the Russell 2000 Stock
Index. For links to longer term charts, look at the links under the five year chart
(above). One link opens a ten year chart. Another opens our longest term
graph on the Russell 2000 Index. Just one glance at our long term charts can
provide tremendous insight into the historical trends of the financial markets.
The table above presents historical data on the Russell 2000 Stock Index
categorized by the months of the calendar.





























Part 3
ROLLING RETURNS, 1987 - 2013: Russell 2000 Index

Rolling Period          Last / Percentile          Best / Average / Worst
1 Year                     29% / 87th                  62% / 9% / -43%
2 Year                     16% / 45th                  112% / 18% / -51%
4 Year                     96% / 95th                  134% / 38% / -39%
8 Year                     60% / 35th                  219% / 89% / -18%
16 Year                   158% / 31st               545% / 243% / 75%

How do you read the table?
For example: Rolling 2 year period returns are shown on the second row. In the
latest rolling 2 year period, (6/2011 - 5/2013), the Russell 2000 Index returned
16%. That period scored in the 45th percentile, meaning that it scored better
than 45% of all rolling 2 year periods since 1987. The Best rolling 2 Year period
since 1987 returned 112%. The worst returned -51%. The average rolling 2
year period returned 18%.

What is a rolling period?
It's an overlapping period in a data base. For example: In the 2 year period
included in 2000 - 2001, there are 13 complete rolling 12 Month Periods. The
first is January, 2000 - December, 2000. The second is February, 2000 -
January, 2001. The third is March, 2000 - February, 2001 and so on. The last
complete rolling 12 Month Period in the 2000 - 2001 period is January, 2001 -
December, 2001.

How is this information useful?
Best and worst case scenarios may be estimated based on historical facts.
Also, the relationship of the periods is sometimes very helpful. Suppose that the
worst rolling 8 year period in the last 50 years returned -30%. Suppose also
that the latest 4 year period has returned -50%. Market psychology at this point
may be one of great fear or possibly even panic. If the market stays flat for 4
more years, it will break the 8 year decline record by a whopping 20%! (-50%
minus -30% equals -20%.)  50 plus year records are not often broken. That
provides reason to hope that the market will recover that 20% over the next 4
years. If it does, then the 8 year loss will be 30%. The longest index histories
are found in the DJIA, FTSE 100 with FT 30, DJTA, DJUA, S&P 500, & NASDAQ
100

The number of periods in each category for the Russell 2000 Index are as
follows:
1 Year: 297
2 Year: 285
4 Year: 261
8 Year: 213
16 Year: 117

Dividends are not included.











































Market Commentary  13117
April, 2013 Data:

Part 1
FORECASTS

12 MONTH FORECAST
The 12 month forecast for the Russell 2000 Index is in the table at the top of
this page. Forecast-Chart.com is forecasting a Russell 2000 Stock Index of 914.
The table shows a HDTFA of 149 which suggests that the May, 2014 Russell
2000 could easily close anywhere between 1063 and 766. Links to Forecasts
for twenty-two other stock indexes may be found by clicking Stock Market
Forecast at the top of any page.

BULL MARKET or BEAR MARKET?
A forecast for the primary trend in the U.S. Stock Market is updated in this site
with a three month time delay. Artificial Intelligence is used to identify major
turning points in the broad U.S. Stock Market. The forecast is either a Bull
Market Signal (up) or a Bear Market Signal (down). This mathematical system
performed very well in a one hundred year backtest and also in real time since
going live in 2005. To get the forecast signal for the broad U.S Stock Market,
click Stock Market Forecast at the top of any page. Then select the Bull Market
& Bear Market Forecast.

10 YEAR FORECAST
Forecast-Chart.com publishes a Ten Year Forecast for the Russell 2000 Stock
Index. The Ten Year Forecast estimates the probability that the Russell 2000
equity index will achieve certain gain or loss benchmarks at a point in time ten
years in the future. For example, look at the top line of the table immediately
below this paragraph. Forecast-Chart.com is forecasting a probability of 3%
that the Russell 2000 Index will be down at least 20% in 10 years (April, 2023
close compared to April, 2013 close).

       PROBABILITY
Down at least 20%          3%
Down at least 10%          4%
Down                               5%
Up                                   95%
Up at least 10%               92%
Up at least 20%               85%
Up at least 30%               77%
Up at least 40%               67%
Up at least 50%               58%
Up at least 100%             34%
Up at least 150%             22%
Up at least 200%             12%



Over 100 YEARS of historical data was used to calculate the probabilities in the
table above.  Dividends are not included. So you must add expected dividends
to the forecasted gain to estimate the total return for the equities represented
by this index.  Each month, new data is entered into the forecasting model and
the Russell 2000 is assigned a rank from 1 to 10. The best rank is 10 and the
worst is 1. That ranking determines the Ten Year Forecast for the Russell 2000
Stock Index . The data used in the forecasting model is updated monthly and
may change the forecast, particularly after substantial movements in the
Russell 2000. The latest ranking of the Russell 2000 Index is 5.
Forecast-Chart.com publishes a 10 Year Forecast for 12 of the 23 stock market
indexes covered at Forecast-Chart.com. The indexes with the highest
probability of gaining over 200% in the next 10 years are the S&P TSX Index
and the NASDAQ 100. The indexes with the lowest probability of gaining over
200% in the next 10 years are the S&P SmallCap 600 and the S&P MidCap
400. To see these forecasts, click the Stock Market Forecast link at the top of
any page, then select the index you are interested in.

The last time that the Russell 2000 Stock Index received a rank of 9 was
3/2009, when the Russell 2000 Index closed at 423. The last time that the
Russell 2000 Stock Index received the worst rank (1) was 8/2000, when the
Russell 2000 Index closed at 538. The last time that the Russell 2000 Stock
Index received a rank of 2 was 5/2007, when the Russell 2000 Index closed at
847. Last month's close for the Russell 2000 Stock Index is in the Market
Highlights section below.




Part 2
MARKET HIGHLIGHTS

All Time High                          952 (March, 2013)
April, 2013 close                    887
Decline From All Time High     7%
10 Year Return                       122%
5 Year Low                             389 (February, 2009)
Gain From 5 Year Low            128%

The highest all time monthly close in the Russell 2000 Index was 952 in March,
of 2013. The April, 2013 close was 887. That's a decline of 65 points or 7%
below the Russell 2000 Stock Index all time high.  The Russell 2000 Index is up
122% over the last 10 years. It has gained 9% over the last 12 months.

The April close was 64.65 points lower than the March, 2013 close of 952,
resulting in a 6.79% decline for April.

The 5 year market low for the Russell 2000 Stock Index was 389 in February of
2009. The April, 2013 close at 886.89 represents a 128% gain since February,
2009.

Forecast-Chart.com's historical research covers the Russell 2000 back to
October, 1987. All calculations are based on the monthly market close in the
Russell 2000 Index, excluding dividends.

This page provides a five year chart and a forecast for the Russell 2000 Stock
Index. For links to longer term charts, look at the links under the five year chart
(above). One link opens a ten year chart. Another opens our longest term
graph on the Russell 2000 Index. Just one glance at our long term charts can
provide tremendous insight into the historical trends of the financial markets.
The table above presents historical data on the Russell 2000 Stock Index
categorized by the months of the calendar.

In this site, you may view the month, year, five & ten year returns for 23 stock
market indexes in one convenient table. U.S. & foreign, small cap & large cap
indexes are included. Click the Market Trend Analysis link above. It's under the
chart. The table of contents for Market Trend Analysis will open. Click the link to
the Stock Index Return Scoreboard in the table of contents.



























Part 3
ROLLING RETURNS, 1987 - 2013: Russell 2000 Index

Rolling Period          Last / Percentile          Best / Average / Worst
1 Year                     9% / 45th                    62% / 9% / -43%
2 Year                     2% / 24th                    112% / 18% / -51%
4 Year                     82% / 90th                  134% / 38% / -39%
8 Year                     53% / 27th                  219% / 89% / -18%
16 Year                   159% / 32nd               545% / 244% / 75%

How do you read the table?
For example: Rolling 2 year period returns are shown on the second row. In the
latest rolling 2 year period, (5/2011 - 4/2013), the Russell 2000 Index returned
2%. That period scored in the 24th percentile, meaning that it scored better
than 24% of all rolling 2 year periods since 1987. The Best rolling 2 Year period
since 1987 returned 112%. The worst returned -51%. The average rolling 2
year period returned 18%.

What is a rolling period?
It's an overlapping period in a data base. For example: In the 2 year period
included in 2000 - 2001, there are 13 complete rolling 12 Month Periods. The
first is January, 2000 - December, 2000. The second is February, 2000 -
January, 2001. The third is March, 2000 - February, 2001 and so on. The last
complete rolling 12 Month Period in the 2000 - 2001 period is January, 2001 -
December, 2001.

How is this information useful?
Best and worst case scenarios may be estimated based on historical facts.
Also, the relationship of the periods is sometimes very helpful. Suppose that the
worst rolling 8 year period in the last 50 years returned -30%. Suppose also
that the latest 4 year period has returned -50%. Market psychology at this point
may be one of great fear or possibly even panic. If the market stays flat for 4
more years, it will break the 8 year decline record by a whopping 20%! (-50%
minus -30% equals -20%.)  50 plus year records are not often broken. That
provides reason to hope that the market will recover that 20% over the next 4
years. If it does, then the 8 year loss will be 30%. The longest index histories
are found in the DJIA, FTSE 100 with FT 30, DJTA, DJUA, S&P 500, & NASDAQ
100

The number of periods in each category for the Russell 2000 Index are as
follows:
1 Year: 296
2 Year: 284
4 Year: 260
8 Year: 212
16 Year: 116

Dividends are not included.












































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Monthly close for the Russell 2000 Stock Index is plotted in gray. The forecast for the target month is
shown in green. See other links related to this stock index below.
Russell 2000 Stock Index - 5 Year History
Russell 2000 Stock Index Forecast
Target Month
Forecast
HDTFA
Forecast for the monthly close of the Russell
2000 Stock Index for the target month indicated.
Oct 2014
1071
177
Updated Tuesday, December 17, 2013.
Russell 2000 Stock Market Index Forecast
700
800
900
600
400
500
1000
300
Russell 2000 Index Forecast
Russell 2000 Index: Historical Monthly Change
Month
Percent
Month
Percent
Month
Percent
Month
Percent
Jan
Feb
Mar
0.18
0.12
1.20
April
May
June
2.03
1.09
-0.03
July
Aug
Sept
-0.22
-0.01
0.46
Oct
Nov
Dec
0.19
0.88
3.66
Over the last 20 years, certain months have typically performed better than others. The
average monthly return for each calender month over the last 20 years is shown above.
Dividends are not included.
Stock Market Forecast: Russell 2000 Index
Forecasts, charts and analysis...
1/08
1/2009
1/2010
1/2011
1/2012
1/2013
1/2014
1/15